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An analysis of the risk perception paradox and its application to promote the preparative behavior against disasters

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K13120
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Social psychology
Research InstitutionDoshisha University

Principal Investigator

Nakayachi Kazuya  同志社大学, 心理学部, 教授 (50212105)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywordsリスク認知 / リスク認知パラドクス / 災害リスク / 防災 / 減災 / 社会心理学
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The lack of connection between the public’s risk perception and actual preparative behavior - the risk perception paradox - has recently become problematic in the field of disaster risk management. If this paradox is true, even when governments inform people that there is a high risk of a disaster and people successfully understand it, this would not lead to preparative behavior. Thus, the risk perception paradox matters.
The analysis of a survey data using structural equation modeling indicated that two causal relationships coexist in opposite directions; a positive path from risk perception to preparative behavior and a negative path from preparative behavior to risk perception. While risk perception appears to have no relationship with preparative behavior on the surface, this study reveals that this is not the case. This study also suggests that providing people with a small material for a disaster will be a first step to increase their preparedness against disasters.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (1 results)

All 2015

All Presentation (1 results)

  • [Presentation] リスク認知パラドクス克服の試み2015

    • Author(s)
      中谷内一也
    • Organizer
      日本リスク研究学会第28回年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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