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Spatial-temporal evaluation modeling of pandemic influenza risk with person trip survey data

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K16300
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionNagasaki University (2016)
Kumamoto University (2015)

Principal Investigator

YOSHIDA Mamoru  長崎大学, 水産・環境科学総合研究科(環境), 准教授 (60539550)

Research Collaborator KAKIMOTO Ryuji  
MARUYAMA Takuya  
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Keywordsリスク評価 / 新型インフルエンザ / パーソントリップ調査 / 時空間評価 / 都市工学 / 感染症 / シミュレーション工学 / 危機管理 / リスクマネジメント / 重要インフラ / 時空間シミュレーション
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research proposed a framework of spatial-temporal evaluation of pandemic influenza risk with person trip survey data. In details, it modeled the spatial-temporal infection process considering family infection and school infection, and proposed four indices: 1) the number of infected persons, 2) the infectious period, 3) the distribution of areas where individuals are infected, and 4) the distribution of areas where individuals live, and showed these availability through a case study of Kumamoto Metropolitan person trip survey data. The results were presented in the related domestic and international conferences.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (3 results)

All 2016 2015

All Presentation (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Presentation] 新型インフルエンザの社会的リスク評価の試み2016

    • Author(s)
      吉田護
    • Organizer
      日本リスク研究学会第29回年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      ホルトホール大分(大分県大分市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-27
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 新型インフルエンザの時空間リスクマッピングに関する試行的取り組み2015

    • Author(s)
      吉田護
    • Organizer
      日本リスク研究学会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Spatio-Temporal Risk Analysis Model for Pandemic Influenza with Person-Trip Survey Data2015

    • Author(s)
      Mamoru Yoshida
    • Organizer
      World Congress on Risk 2015 -Society for Risk Analysis-
    • Place of Presentation
      Matrix@Biopolis, Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-20
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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