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Study on predictability of heavy precipitation by estimating origins of precipitation and water vapor over Japan

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K16310
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Tanoue Masahiro  東京大学, 生産技術研究所, 特任研究員 (20735550)

Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) ICHIYANAGI Kimpei  熊本大学, 大学院先端科学研究部(理), 准教授 (50371737)
YOSHIMURA Kei  東京大学, 生産技術研究所, 准教授 (50376638)
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywords日本 / 同位体領域気候モデル / 起源解析 / 降水の安定同位体比 / 水蒸気起源 / 水同位体比 / データ同化
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study estimated the origins of precipitation and water vapor over Japan using a regional isotope climate model to explore a possibility of predication of heavy precipitation region from the isotopic ratio and origins of precipitation. The model showed good spatial and temporal distributions of isotopic ratio of precipitation over Japan, indicating that the model could reproduce the real atmospheric hydrological cycle. In summer season, the model showed that the d-excess value of water vapor at surface level is a a possibility of prediction of heavy rainfall region, because the values reflects atmospheric stability associated with the migration of Asia summer monsoon. In winter, we found positive relationship between d-excess value and a contribution of water vapor originating from the Sea of Japan, and the intensity of East Asia winter monsoon. The d-excess value is an index of the intensity.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Estimation of the isotopic composition and origins of winter precipitation over Japan using a regional isotope circulation model2017

    • Author(s)
      Tanoue, M., K. Ichiyanagi, K. Yoshimura, J. Shimada, and Y. Hirabayashi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research Atmosphere

      Volume: - Issue: 21 Pages: 11621-11637

    • DOI

      10.1002/2017jd026751

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Deuterium excess in precipitation and water vapor origins over Japan: A review2016

    • Author(s)
      田上雅浩・一柳錦平
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japanese Association of Hydrological Sciences

      Volume: 46 Issue: 2 Pages: 101-115

    • DOI

      10.4145/jahs.46.101

    • NAID

      130005408942

    • ISSN
      1342-9612, 1883-7166
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Verification of the isotopic composition of precipitation simulated by a regional isotope circulation model over Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Tanoue, M., K. Ichiyanagi and K. Yoshimura
    • Journal Title

      Isotopes in Environmental and Health Studies

      Volume: - Issue: 4-5 Pages: 1-14

    • DOI

      10.1080/10256016.2016.1148695

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] 水同位体研究の現状とブレークスルー2017

    • Author(s)
      田上雅浩
    • Organizer
      2017年度日本水文科学会学術大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 同位体領域気候モデルを用いた日本域における降水の同位体比の高解像度 再現実験2016

    • Author(s)
      田上雅浩・一柳錦平・芳村圭
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2016年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 2013年日本全国で採水された降水同位体比の 変動特性2016

    • Author(s)
      田上雅浩・一柳錦平
    • Organizer
      水文・水資源学会2016年度総会・研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      コラッセふくしま
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-15
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 2013 年冬季日本における降水の d-excess と起源との関係2015

    • Author(s)
      田上雅浩・一柳錦平
    • Organizer
      2015年度日本水文科学会学術大会
    • Place of Presentation
      産業技術総合研究所、茨城県つくば市
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-09
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 同位体領域気候モデルと日本全国で集中観測された降水安定同位体比との比較2015

    • Author(s)
      田上雅浩・一柳錦平
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2015年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ、千葉県千葉市
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 高密度降水同位体比データを用いた同位体領域気候モデルの検証2015

    • Author(s)
      田上雅浩・一柳錦平
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2015年春季大会予稿集
    • Place of Presentation
      つくば国際会議場、茨城県つくば市
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Verification of a regional isotope circulation model throughout Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Tanoue, M., and K. Ichiyanagi
    • Organizer
      International Symposium on Isotope Hydrology: Revisiting Foundations and Exploring Frontiers.
    • Place of Presentation
      Vienna, Austria
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-11
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Tanoue2016IHES

    • URL

      http://hydro.iis.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~masatano/research/Tanoue2016IHES.html

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Tanoue2017JGRA

    • URL

      http://hydro.iis.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~masatano/research/Tanoue2017JGRA.html

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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