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News Shocks: Sectoral Comovement and Forward Guidance

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K17020
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Economic theory
Research InstitutionWaseda University (2017)
Kyoto University (2015-2016)

Principal Investigator

Katayama Munechika  早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 准教授(任期付) (20718134)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords予期されたショック / 産業間の連動性 / 労働の非完全代替性 / 不確実性ショック / DSGE model / News shock / Comovement / マクロ経済学 / DSGEモデル / ベイズ推定 / News Shock
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study analyzes the impact of the anticipated shocks, where there are no changes in current fundamentals, but agents anticipate that fundamentals will be different in the near future, on the macroeconomic dynamics. To maintain consistency with empirical observations, it is important to correctly account for sectoral comovement. We propose a model and derive a condition for generating the sectoral comovement. In addition, our structural estimation reveals that labor immobility across sectors is the key mechanism. It turns out that the limited intersectoral factor mobility is also useful to account for business cycle fluctuations caused by uncertainty shocks. This new findings are summarized in another paper.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (21 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Open Access: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (17 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 7 results,  Invited: 8 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Yonsei University(韓国)

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2017

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama and Kwang Hwan Kim
    • Journal Title

      Kyoto University, Graduate School of Economics Discussion Paper No. E-16-015

      Volume: E-16-015 Pages: 1-34

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Inter-sectoral Labor Immobility, Sectoral Comovement, and News Shocks2017

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama and Kwang Hwan Kim
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Money, Credit and Banking

      Volume: 近刊

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Inter-sectoral Labor Immobility, Sectoral Co-movement, and News Shocks2015

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama and Kwang Hwan Kim
    • Journal Title

      Kyoto University Graduate School of Economics Discussion Paper

      Volume: E-15-011 Pages: 1-40

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2017

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      International Conference Recent Issues in the Global Economy
    • Place of Presentation
      Yonsei University
    • Year and Date
      2017-02-06
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2017

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      土曜研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      小樽商科大学
    • Year and Date
      2017-01-20
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2017

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      Asian Meeting of the Econometrics Society
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2017

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      Workshop of the Australasian Macroeconomics Society
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2017

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      Annual Congress of European Economic Association
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2017

    • Author(s)
      片山宗親
    • Organizer
      早稲田大学
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2016

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      Bi-weekly Seminar Series
    • Place of Presentation
      Henan University
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-23
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2016

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      第18回マクロ・コンファレンス
    • Place of Presentation
      ホテル阪急エキスポパーク
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2016

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      課題設定型ワークショップ: ミクロ・マクロ経済分析 - 理論と実証
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-02
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2016

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      六甲フォーラム
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-27
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2016

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      Summer Workshop on Economic Theory
    • Place of Presentation
      小樽商科大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-06
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2016

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      Western Economic Association International 91st Annual Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Hilton Portland & Executive Tower
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2016

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      2016 Taipei International Conference on Growth, Trade, and Dynamics
    • Place of Presentation
      Academia Sinica
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-24
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2015

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      DSGEコンファランス2015
    • Place of Presentation
      東海大学熊本キャンパス(熊本県)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-12
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2015

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      Fall Midwest Macro Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Rochester(アメリカ)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2015

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      経済理論・政策ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      首都大学東京 秋葉原サテライトキャンパス(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-31
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods2015

    • Author(s)
      Munechika Katayama
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Macroeconomics and Policy
    • Place of Presentation
      政策研究大学院大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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