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Empicial study on labor mobility under shrinking population

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K17072
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Public finance/Public economy
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo (2016-2019)
Yokohama National University (2015)

Principal Investigator

Kondo Ayako  東京大学, 社会科学研究所, 准教授 (20551055)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords労働移動 / 高齢者雇用 / 東日本大震災 / 介護 / 労働需要 / 労働供給 / 高齢化 / 人口減少 / 介護報酬 / 労働経済学
Outline of Final Research Achievements

I found that supply chain disruptions caused by the Great East Japan Earthquake increased labor mobility in the short run, but it did not affect employment in the long run. As the evaluation of policies to promote elderly employment, I showed that such policies did not hurt youth employment much, while they actually increased employment of old men in large companies. The increased supply of formal long term care is found to have no effect on labor supply of middle-aged men or women, and the changes in LTCI reimbursement did not affect employment and wages in the long-term care industry.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

高齢者の雇用促進政策は若年層に与える影響が限定的であることから、総合的には労働力の活用につながることや、介護施設の整備は必ずしもすぐに労働供給の増加につながらないこと、介護報酬の調整だけでは介護産業の人手不足は解決できそうにないこと、など、人口減少下での労働力活用に役立つ知見を提供した。また、世界全体でみれば、労働移動についての実証研究は膨大な蓄積がなされてはいるが、日本のように労働力人口が減少しつつある国というのは今のところまだ多くないため、人口減少下での労働移動についての知見を得るという点で、国際的に見ても大きな貢献ができたと考えている。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (25 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 10 results,  Open Access: 8 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results) Presentation (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 7 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] サイモンフレイザー大学(カナダ)

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Simon Fraser University(カナダ)

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Simon Fraser Univerisity(カナダ)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Chinese University of Hong Kong(香港)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] The effects of graduating from college during a recession on living standards2020

    • Author(s)
      Daiji Kawaguchi and Ayako Kondo
    • Journal Title

      Economic Inquiry

      Volume: Vol. 55, No. 1 Issue: 1 Pages: 283-293

    • DOI

      10.1111/ecin.12835

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Impact of increased Long-term Care Insurance payments on employment and wages in formal long-term care2019

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economy

      Volume: Vol.53. Pages: 101034-101034

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2019.101034

    • NAID

      210000174481

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Peer Effects in Employment Status: Evidence from Housing Lotteries2019

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo and Masahiro Shoji
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Urban Economics

      Volume: Vol 113. Pages: 103195-103195

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jue.2019.103195

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The effects of supply chain disruptions caused by the Great East Japan Earthquake on workers2018

    • Author(s)
      Kondo Ayako
    • Journal Title

      Japan and the World Economy

      Volume: 47 Pages: 40-50

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.japwor.2018.03.007

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report 2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Effectiveness of Government Intervention to Promote Elderly Employment: Evidence from Elderly Employment Stabilization Law2017

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo and Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Journal Title

      Industrial and Labor Relations review

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 4 Pages: 1008-1036

    • DOI

      10.1177/0019793916676490

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report 2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Does Promoting Elderly Employment Hurt Young Japanese Workers?2017

    • Author(s)
      KONDO Ayako
    • Journal Title

      Social Science Jaapan Journal

      Volume: 20 Issue: 2 Pages: 279-285

    • DOI

      10.1093/ssjj/jyx022

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Availability of Long-term Care Facilities and Middle-aged People’s Labor Supply in Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Journal Title

      Asian Economic Policy Review

      Volume: Vol. 12 ,No.1 Issue: 1 Pages: 95-112

    • DOI

      10.1111/aepr.12163

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Researchers' career transitions over the life cycle2016

    • Author(s)
      Daiji Kawaguchi, Ayako Kondo and Keiji Saito
    • Journal Title

      Scientometrics

      Volume: 109 Issue: 3 Pages: 1435-1454

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11192-016-2131-y

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Effects of increased elderly employment on other workers' employment and elderly's earnings in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Journal Title

      IZA Journal of Labor Policy

      Volume: 5 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-23

    • DOI

      10.1186/s40173-016-0063-z

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Differential Effects of Graduating during Recessions across Gender and Race2015

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Journal Title

      IZA Journal of Labor Economics

      Volume: 4 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-24

    • DOI

      10.1186/s40172-015-0040-6

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Inter-industry labor reallocation and task distance2015

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo and Saori Naganuma
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 38 Pages: 127-147

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2015.08.001

    • NAID

      210000179168

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] The effects of supply chain disruptions caused by the Great East Japan Earthquake on workers2017

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Organizer
      Asian Meeting of Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      香港(香港)
    • Year and Date
      2017-06-03
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The effects of supply chain disruptions caused by the Great East Japan Earthquake on workers2017

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society Asian Meeting
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The effect of raising Long-term Care Insurance payments on employment and wages in nursing industry2017

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Peer Effects in Employment Status: Evidence from Housing Lotteries for Forced Evacuees in Fukushima2016

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Organizer
      European Society for Population Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      ベルリン(ドイツ)
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-15
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Peer Effects in Employment Status: Evidence from Housing Lotteries for Forced Evacuees in Fukushima2016

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Organizer
      European Society of Population Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      The Harnack House (ベルリン)
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Peer Effects in Employment Status: Evidence from Housing Lotteries for Forced Evacuees in Fukushima2016

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Organizer
      Society of Labor Economists
    • Place of Presentation
      シアトル(アメリカ)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-06
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Peer Effects in Employment Status: Evidence from Housing Lotteries for Forced Evacuees in Fukushima2016

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Organizer
      Society of Labor Economists
    • Place of Presentation
      The Westein Seatle
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Peer Effects in Employment Status: Evidence from Housing Lotteries for Forced Evacuees in Fukushima2015

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-10
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Differential Effects of Graduating during a Recession across Gender and Race2015

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Kondo
    • Organizer
      Society of Labor Economists
    • Place of Presentation
      Fairmont Queen Elizabeth, Montreal
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-26
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Remarks] 東京大学社会科学研究所:スタッフ一覧:近藤絢子

    • URL

      https://jww.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/mystaff/akondo.html

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2022-11-04  

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