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Development of a physics-based model of postseismic deformation and methods for parameter estimation based on GPS data

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K17748
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Solid earth and planetary physics
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Fukuda Junichi  東京大学, 地震研究所, 助教 (70569714)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Keywords余効変動 / 余効すべり / 粘弾性緩和 / GPS / 断層摩擦特性 / 物理モデル / 地殻変動 / 断層 / 摩擦 / 粘弾性 / 逆問題
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We develop a three-dimensional physics-based model of postseismic deformation following large earthquakes that incorporates two primary processes, afterslip on the plate interface and viscoelastic stress relaxation in the mantle. We assume that afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation are driven by coseismic stress changes and the evolution of afterslip is assumed to follow the rate-state friction law. Based on this physics-based model, we develop a model of postseismic deformation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake and compare the model predictions with geodetically observed postseismic deformation. We find that parameters in the physics-based model, such as fault friction parameters and mantle viscosity, can be constrained based on the geodetic data.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (3 results) Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Invited: 3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] インディアナ大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] インディアナ大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] インディアナ大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Variability of the space-time evolution of slow slip events off the Boso Peninsula, central Japan, from 1996 to 20142018

    • Author(s)
      J. Fukuda
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth

      Volume: 123 Issue: 1 Pages: 732-760

    • DOI

      10.1002/2017jb014709

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 物理モデルと測地データに基づく地殻変動のモデリング2017

    • Author(s)
      福田淳一
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A coupled model of stress-driven frictional afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake2017

    • Author(s)
      福田淳一
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A coupled model of stress-driven frictional afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake2017

    • Author(s)
      福田淳一
    • Organizer
      IAG-IASPEI 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A coupled model of stress-driven frictional afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake2017

    • Author(s)
      福田淳一
    • Organizer
      2017 American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A coupled model of stress-driven afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake2016

    • Author(s)
      福田淳一
    • Organizer
      2016 American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      サンフランシスコ(アメリカ合衆国)
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-12
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震の余効変動の物理モデル2016

    • Author(s)
      福田淳一
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2016年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋国際会議場(愛知県・名古屋市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-05
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] データ同化手法による断層すべり数値モデルのパラメータ・初期条件の同時推定2016

    • Author(s)
      福田淳一
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2016年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ(千葉県・千葉市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-22
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Imaging the spatiotemporal evolution of a slow slip event near the Boso Peninsula, central Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      福田淳一
    • Organizer
      2015 American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Moscone Center, サンフランシスコ,アメリカ合衆国
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] GNSS時系列データの状態空間モデリングによる非地震性断層すべりの時空間イメージング2015

    • Author(s)
      福田淳一
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2015年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸国際会議場(兵庫県・神戸市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-26
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2022-06-07  

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