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Effect of the increase of old-old people on macro savings rate and social security policy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16530195
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionRitsumeikan University

Principal Investigator

TAKAHASHI Nobuaki  Ritsumeikan University, College of International Relations, Professor (30319488)

Project Period (FY) 2004 – 2006
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2006)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000)
Keywordsaging / old-old / the rate of saving / medical insurance / care insurance / public pension / birthrate / welfare state / 人口構造 / 少子化 / 社会保障 / 前期高齢者
Research Abstract

In past research, postponing the issue on rapid aging in Japan arising in an aging society where people over the age of 75 become the major part of a serious aging society has been overlooked.
In fact, focusing on elderly people over 65, the population-aging rate (the population ratio which people over 65 occupy in total population) reached 17.3% and the number of elderly people rose to 22 million by 2000. But disaggregating the data, 13 million were people aged 65-74 occupying 60% and 9 million were people over the age of 75 who gradually found difficulty in self-reliance, occupying 40%, less than the people of the age of 65-74.
However according to the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, people over the age of 75 continue to increase while people of the age of 65-74 will decrease peaking at around 2015, the ratio of the two is expected to reverse around 2020.
Aging in Japan at the end of 20^<th> century was no more than a transition period to the serious aging … More society. Presumed reasons here are the delay in development of social security policy which targets people over the age of 75 in increasing demands for medical and caring, or in the savings rate which in the West showed a downward tendency along with the aging of the population but did not go down and hovered at a high standard in Japan even after the 1990's when the aging of the population was proceeding.
Given these factors, this research focused on differences in economics, health, and other issues between people of the age of 65-74 and people over the age of 75, and analyzed the impact which coming of serious aging society will have on the savings rate and social security. As a result, it became apparent that the decline of Japan's savings rate has its background in the increase of people over the age of 75 whose unemployment ratio is high, and also there is a need for taking the increase of people over the age of 75 into consideration for medical, caring and pension plan reform.
Moreover, halting the long-term decline of birthrate is an important action towards a serious aging society and to that end, indigenous "ethos (atmosphere)" in Japanese society, which makes it a difficulty for working women to achieve a balance between bearing/raising children and working, also needs to be improved. Including the clarification of the "ethos (atmosphere)" I would hereafter like to proceed to a more specific study in the agenda. Less

Report

(4 results)
  • 2006 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2005 Annual Research Report
  • 2004 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (9 results)

All 2007 2005

All Journal Article (2 results) Presentation (2 results) Book (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] 少子高齢化の死角 The blind dpot of declining birthrate and a growing proportion of elderly people2005

    • Author(s)
      Nobuaki Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      Minerva Publishing Co. Ltd

      Pages: 205-205

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] グローバル化と日本の課題Globalization and challenges in Japan2005

    • Journal Title

      Iwanami Shoten

      Pages: 198-198

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 「少子高齢社会への対応のあり方について」(参考人として報告)2007

    • Author(s)
      高橋 伸彰
    • Organizer
      参議院少子高齢社会に関する調査会
    • Place of Presentation
      国会(参議院)
    • Year and Date
      2007-02-14
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Action towards declining birthrate and a growing proportion of elderly peoplePresenter2007

    • Author(s)
      Nobuaki Takahashi
    • Organizer
      Investigation Committees Date
    • Place of Presentation
      the Diet(house of Councilors)
    • Year and Date
      2007-02-14
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] 少子高齢化の死角2005

    • Author(s)
      高橋 伸彰
    • Total Pages
      205
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] グローバル化と日本の課題2005

    • Author(s)
      高橋 伸彰
    • Total Pages
      198
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] 少子高齢化の死角2005

    • Author(s)
      高橋伸彰
    • Total Pages
      200
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] グローバル化と日本の課題2005

    • Author(s)
      高橋伸彰
    • Total Pages
      200
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 日本における少子化・高齢化の死角2005

    • Author(s)
      高橋伸彰
    • Total Pages
      300
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房(仮題)
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2004-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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