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Generalize Asset Pricing Models to Understand the Japanese and U.S. Real Estate Markets

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16H03127
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionChuo University

Principal Investigator

Ishijima Hiroshi  中央大学, 法務研究科, 教授 (20317308)

Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥15,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥11,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,570,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥3,120,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥720,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Keywordsファイナンス / 不動産 / 価格評価 / アセット・プライシング / 日米比較
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Real estate is one of the largest assets in Japan and is a driver of both the overall economy and individual wealth. Real estate markets have merged with financial markets as exemplified by the 2008 financial crisis. It is important to understand pricing in real estate markets in connection with financial markets. In this regard, we developed rational pricing models called “Hedonic DCF Pricing Models.” These models allowed us to understand two sources of real estate prices in the aspects of both cross-sectional and time-series dynamics. More specifically, by conducting empirical analyses, we showed that real estate prices have both hedonic and cashflow values: 1) the former is the monetary value of the benefits which real estate provides by consuming a bundle of attributes such as square footage, age, walking distance from the nearest station, and so on. 2) the latter is the asset value which is closely connected with macroeconomic factors such as stock prices and loans.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

不動産は生活や経済活動の基盤であるとともに、世界経済において最大・最重要な資産であり、不動産市場は金融市場と密接に連動している。したがって、広さ・築年数・駅徒歩といった不動産がもたらす便益に関するヘドニック価値と、株価や金利などのマクロ経済要因に影響を受ける投資資産としてのキャッシュフロー価値という二面性がある。本研究は、不動産価値の二面性について理論と実証の両側面から詳細な分析を行い、不動産価格メカニズムの解明に貢献した。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2021 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (71 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (5 results) Journal Article (19 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (33 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 16 results,  Invited: 4 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (9 results) Funded Workshop (3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] CJEB, Columbia Business School/AREUEA(米国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Asian Real Estate Society (AsRES)(中国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] CJEB, Columbia Business School/AREUEA/University of Wisconsin - Madison(米国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Asian Real Estate Society (AsRES)(中国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Center on Japanese Economy and Business/Columbia Business School(米国)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] ESG投資に関する法的論点の整理と一考察2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 水谷守
    • Journal Title

      中央ロー・ジャーナル

      Volume: 18(1) Pages: 71-99

    • NAID

      120007187260

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 不動産ファイナンスのすすめ2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Journal Title

      オペレーションズ・リサーチ:経営の科学

      Volume: 66(10) Pages: 644-649

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 不動産とファイナンス,テック, アナリティクス,教育をめぐる挑戦2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Journal Title

      オペレーションズ・リサーチ:経営の科学

      Volume: 66(10) Pages: 677-682

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 特集「不動産とファイナンス,テック,アナリティクス」にあたって2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Journal Title

      オペレーションズ・リサーチ:経営の科学

      Volume: 66(10) Pages: 642-643

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 二酸化炭素と企業財務2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 伊藤隆敏, 前田章, 真鍋友則
    • Journal Title

      JAREFE Preprint (日本不動産金融工学学会 Preprint)

      Volume: JP2021-01 Pages: 1-33

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 負の炭素リスクプレミアム2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 伊藤隆敏, 前田章, 真鍋友則
    • Journal Title

      JAREFE Preprint (日本不動産金融工学学会 Preprint)

      Volume: JP2021-02 Pages: 1-23

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] ESGを考慮した資産価格評価モデルに関するノート2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Journal Title

      京都大学数理解析研究所講究録

      Volume: 2207 Pages: 53-56

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Forecasting Japanese inflation with a news-based leading indicator of economic activities2020

    • Author(s)
      Goshima Keiichi, Ishijima Hiroshi, Shintani Mototsugu, Yamamoto Hiroki
    • Journal Title

      Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics

      Volume: 0 Issue: 4 Pages: 0-0

    • DOI

      10.1515/snde-2019-0117

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Do Low Interest Rates Stimulate Japanese House Prices?2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima, Akira Maeda, Tomohiro Tsuruga
    • Journal Title

      JAREFE Preprint (日本不動産金融工学学会 Preprint)

      Volume: JP2020_01 Pages: 1-14

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Forecasting Japanese Inflation With a News-Based Leading Indicator of Economic Activities2020

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Goshima, Hiroshi Ishijima, Mototsugu Shintani, and Hiroki Yamamoto
    • Journal Title

      Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics (SNDE)

      Volume: 採択済

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Forecasting Japanese Inflation With a News-Based Leading Indicator of Economic Activities2019

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Goshima, Hiroshi Ishijima, Mototsugu Shintani, and Hiroki Yamamoto
    • Journal Title

      CARF Working Paper, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, University of Tokyo

      Volume: CARF-F-458 Pages: 1-47

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A Generalized Hedonic Pricing Model and Its Applications to the Japanese Real Estate Market2019

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima and Akira Maeda
    • Journal Title

      数理解析研究所講究録, 京都大学数理解析研究所

      Volume: 2106 Pages: 18-22

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 不動産アナリティクス2019

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Journal Title

      ジャレフ・ジャーナル (日本不動産金融工学学会誌)

      Volume: 11 Pages: 27-28

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Forecasting Japanese inflation with a news-based leading indicator of economic activities2019

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Goshima, Hiroshi Ishijima, Mototsugu Shintani, Hiroki Yamamoto
    • Journal Title

      Center for Advanced Research in Finance, University of Tokyo, CARF Working Paper

      Volume: CARF-F-458 Pages: 1-47

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] マクロ経済変数を導入した不動産価格形成の分析2018

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Journal Title

      経済政策ジャーナル

      Volume: 14 Pages: 15-18

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report 2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 日本経済を映すセンチメントの計量化と株価予測性2018

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗, 前田章
    • Journal Title

      経済政策ジャーナル

      Volume: 13 Pages: 125-128

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 不動産・金融資産価格のセンチメント分析2018

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗
    • Journal Title

      ジャレフ・ジャーナル 不動産ファイナンス・不動産経済学研究(日本不動産金融工学学会誌)

      Volume: 10 Pages: 31-32

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Generalized Hedonic Pricing Model and Its Applications to the Japanese Real Estate Market2018

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Akira Maeda
    • Journal Title

      京都大学数理解析研究所講究録

      Volume: 印刷中

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 外生変数を導入した不動産価格評価-研究ノート-2017

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Journal Title

      不動産ファイナンス・不動産経済学研究(日本不動産金融工学学会誌)

      Volume: 9 Pages: 48-49

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 炭素調整後PER導入によるカーボンニュートラルの実現2022

    • Author(s)
      大川恭平, 中村幸太朗, 栗木理緒, 石島博
    • Organizer
      日本不動産金融工学学会 (JAREFE) 2022 定期大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ESGとリターンの両立は可能か?ESG投資のファイナンス理論と実証2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Organizer
      日本不動産金融工学学会 (JAREFE) 2021 定期大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 日本経済政策学会第78回全国大会2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章, 真鍋友則
    • Organizer
      二酸化炭素排出量がもたらす 負の株価リターン
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Effect of Monetary Policy on Japanese Housing Market Under Low Interest Rate Environment2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima, Tomohiro Tsuruga
    • Organizer
      2021 Virtual AsRES-GCREC-AREUEA Joint International Real Estate Conference
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ESGを考慮した資産価格評価モデルに関するノート2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Organizer
      2021年度 京都大学数理解析研究所共同研究(公開型)「ファイナンスの数理解析とその応用 (Financial Modeling and Analysis)」
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 負の炭素リスクプレミアム2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 伊藤隆敏, 前田章, 真鍋友則
    • Organizer
      日本不動産金融工学学会 (JAREFE) 2022 定期大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ESG投資と企業の目的2021

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 水谷守
    • Organizer
      日本不動産金融工学学会 (JAREFE) 2022 定期大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ESGを考慮した消費CAPM2020

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Organizer
      日本経済政策学会 第77回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ESGを考慮したCAPM2020

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会 (JAFEE) 2020夏季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Effect of Monetary Policy on Japanese Housing Market in a Low Interest Rate Environment2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima, Tomohiro Tsuruga
    • Organizer
      INFORMS 2020 Virtual Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Note on Capital Asset Pricing Models of ESG Investing2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima, Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      JEPA19th International Conference of Japan Economic Policy Association
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Dynamic Housing Price Model Under Low Interest Rate Environment2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima and Tomohiro Tsuruga
    • Organizer
      2020 JAREFE(日本不動産金融工学学会) 定期大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] News Implied Uncertainty and Aggregate Economic Activity: Evidence From the Japanese Government Bond Market2019

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Goshima, Hiroshi Ishijima, and Mototsugu Shintani
    • Organizer
      The 3rd International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics (EcoSta 2019), National Chung Hsing University, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Do Low Interest Rates Stimulate Japanese House Prices?2019

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      24th AsRES Annual International Conference 2019, Hilton Shenzhen Shekou Nanhai, China
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 不動産アナリティクス2019

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Organizer
      日本不動産金融工学学会(JAREFE) 定期大会, 中央大学駿河台記念館
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Understanding How Japanese ESG Investing Will Compensate2019

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima
    • Organizer
      Visiting Fellow Seminar, Center on Japanese Economy and Business, Columbia Business School
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Forecasting Japanese Inflation with News-Based Business Cycle Indexes2019

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Goshima, Hiroshi Ishijima, Mototsugu Shintani, and Hiroki Yamamoto
    • Organizer
      27th Annual Symposium of the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ESGを考慮した資産価格評価モデル2018

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Organizer
      日本経済政策学会 第75回全国大会, 同志社大学
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Note on Pricing ESG Investment2018

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      B&ESI 33rd Conference, Hotel De La Paix Lugano, Switzerland
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Note on Pricing Model of ESG Investing2018

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      INFORMS Annual Meeting Phoenix 2018, Phoenix Convention Center
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Generalized Real Estate Pricing Model with Exogenous Affine-Form Variables and Its Applications2017

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      Quantitative Methods in Finance 2017 Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Generalized Real Estate Pricing Model with Exogenous Affine-form Variables2017

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      INFORMS Annual Meeting 2017 Houston
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Do Low Interest Rates Stimulate Japanese House Prices?2017

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      JEPA16th International Conference of Japan Economic Policy Association
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Note on Real Estate Pricing Models with Exogenous Variables2017

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      21st Conference of the International Federation of Operational Research Societies (IFORS 2017)
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Generalized Hedonic Pricing Model with Exogenous Variables2017

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Organizer
      大阪大学数理・データ科学教育研究センター金融・保険部門主催 2017年度中之島ワークショップ 金融工学・数理計量ファイナンスの諸問題 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A generalized hedonic pricing model and its applications to the Japanese real estate market2017

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Organizer
      平成29年度 京都大学数理解析研究所共同研究(公開型)「ファイナンスの数理解析とその応用(Financial Modeling and Analysis)」
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Generalized Real Estate Pricing Model and Its Applications2017

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章, 敦賀智裕
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会(JAFEE) 2017夏季大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 不動産価格評価モデルの拡張と実証2017

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Organizer
      東北大学大学院経済学研究科サービス・データ科学研究センター ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学大学院経済学研究科
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 外生変数を導入した不動産価格評価-研究ノート2017

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Organizer
      JAREFE(日本不動産金融工学学会) 2017定期大会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Pricing of Japanese Real Estate with Exogenous Variables2016

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      Quantitative Methods in Finance 2016 Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Hilton Sydney
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Note On Real Estate Pricing With Exogenous Variables2016

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      INFORMS Annual Meeting 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Omni Nashville
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An Analysis of Real Estate Prices with Exogenous Variables2016

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Akira Maeda
    • Organizer
      15th International Conference of Japan Economic Policy Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Onuma International Seminar House
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] マクロ経済変数を導入した不動産価格評価モデル2016

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Organizer
      日本経済政策学会第73回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州産業大学
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ファイナンスの理論と応用3:資産価格モデルの展開2017

    • Author(s)
      石島 博
    • Total Pages
      192
    • Publisher
      日科技連出版社
    • ISBN
      9784817196262
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ファイナンスの理論と応用2 正規分布で解く資産の動的評価2016

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Total Pages
      344
    • Publisher
      日科技連出版社
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 研究代表者・石島博 リサーチマップ (researchmap)

    • URL

      https://researchmap.jp/hiroshi.ishijima

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 第26回アジア不動産学会2022 年東京国際大会-AsRES-AREUEA 東京国際大会2022-

    • URL

      https://jarefe.com/index.php/asres

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] リサーチマップ (researchmap)

    • URL

      https://researchmap.jp/hiroshi.ishijima

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 中央大学研究者情報データベース

    • URL

      https://researchers.chuo-u.ac.jp/Profiles/2/0000168/profile.html

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 石島博研究室1

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/view/ishijima/

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 石島博研究室2

    • URL

      http://ilabfe.jp/

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 中央大学研究者情報データベース

    • URL

      http://researchers.chuo-u.ac.jp/Profiles/2/0000168/profile.html

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 石島博研究室ホームページ

    • URL

      http://ilabfe.jp/

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 中央大学 研究者情報データベース 石島博

    • URL

      https://ir.c.chuo-u.ac.jp/researcher/profile/00010939.html?lang=ja

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] 第26回アジア不動産学会2022 年東京国際大会-AsRES-AREUEA 東京国際大会2022-2022

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] 2021 JAREFE(日本不動産金融工学学会) 定期大会 米国不動産都市経済学会AREUEA理事 吉田二郎教授特別講演2021

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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