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Wider economic impacts assessment of transportation infrastructure resilience improvement in an agglomeration economy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16H04428
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionKobe University

Principal Investigator

OTAZAWA Toshimori  神戸大学, 工学研究科, 准教授 (30374987)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 多々納 裕一  京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (20207038)
小池 淳司  神戸大学, 工学研究科, 教授 (60262747)
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥7,020,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,620,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Keywords防災計画 / 産業集積 / 災害脆弱性 / 費用便益分析 / 土木計画 / 災害被害評価 / 土木計画学 / 災害リスク / 便益計測 / 便益評価
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In order to evaluate the effect of public investment for disaster management appropriately, it is necessary to take agglomeration economies into account. In this study, we constructs a new economic geography (NEG) model incorporating a natural disaster risk and examines the interrelationship between industrial agglomeration and vulnerability of a spatial economy. We show that the location pattern emerging as the market equilibrium is characterized by over-agglomeration and is more vulnerable than that of social optimum. We also declare that disaster mitigation investment improves the utilitarian social welfare, but it does not always increase the survival rate of firms at the time of disaster. Furthermore, we identify the wider economic impacts, which are not treated in the conventional cost-benefit analysis, by decomposing the overall effects of transportation investments for disaster prevention.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究の学術的意義は,災害リスクと産業集積を同時に考慮できる新たな分析枠組みを構築し,災害リスクの高い地域への産業集積が,被災時には企業活動の停止に伴う差別化財バラエティの減少による負の外部効果として作用することを明らかにした点である.また,交通インフラの防災・減災投資に関して,従来の費用便益分析では捉えることができない「幅広い」便益の計測手法を提案した点は社会的意義が大きい.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (48 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Journal Article (26 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 7 results,  Peer Reviewed: 22 results,  Open Access: 21 results) Presentation (18 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results,  Invited: 8 results) Book (3 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Simulation-Based Exceedance Probability Curves to Assess the Economic Impact of Storm Surge Inundations due to Climate Change: A Case Study in Ise Bay, Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Jiang Xinyu、Mori Nobuhito、Tatano Hirokazu、Yang Lijiao
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability

      Volume: 11 Issue: 4 Pages: 1090-1090

    • DOI

      10.3390/su11041090

    • NAID

      120006775911

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Study on the substantiation of location equilibrium in the CUE model2019

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto Hiromichi、Koike Atsushi、Seya Hajime
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Urban Management

      Volume: 8 Issue: 1 Pages: 89-108

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jum.2018.09.005

    • NAID

      120006631001

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Development and Application of a Sensemaking Approach to Community-based Disaster Risk Governance2019

    • Author(s)
      Choi Choongik、Department of Public Administration, Kangwon National University、Tatano Hirokazu、Choi Junho
    • Journal Title

      The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business

      Volume: 6 Issue: 1 Pages: 289-301

    • DOI

      10.13106/jafeb.2019.vol6.no1.289

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF TRANSPORTATION INVESTMENT FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IN AGGLOMERATION ECONOMIES2018

    • Author(s)
      織田澤利守,足立鷹祐
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 74 Issue: 5 Pages: I_613-I_622

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.74.I_613

    • NAID

      130007556012

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A Heuristic Approach to the Estimation of Key Parameters for a Monthly, Recursive, Dynamic CGE Model2018

    • Author(s)
      Yamazaki Masato,Koike Atsushi,Sone Yoshinori
    • Journal Title

      Economics of Disasters and Climate Change

      Volume: 2 Issue: 3 Pages: 283-301

    • DOI

      10.1007/s41885-018-0027-4

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Who are Pioneers of Disaster Preparedness? - Insights from Rainwater Harvesting Dissemination in Bangladesh2018

    • Author(s)
      Samaddar Subhajyoti、Okada Norio、Jiang Xinyu、Tatano Hirokazu
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Management

      Volume: 62 Issue: 3 Pages: 474-488

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00267-018-1071-0

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] THE IMPACTS OF THE INTER-FIRM TRANSACTION NETWORK CHANGES ON FIRM-LEVEL PRODUCTIVITY2018

    • Author(s)
      織田澤利守,明定俊行
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 74 Issue: 5 Pages: I_483-I_491

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.74.I_483

    • NAID

      130007555920

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Inter-firm Transaction Networks and Location in a City2018

    • Author(s)
      Otazawa, T., Ohira, Y., van Ommeren, J.
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 18-E-054 Pages: 1-20

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] WATER DEMAND MANAGEMENT FOR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS THROUGH RISK COMMUNICATIONS2018

    • Author(s)
      吉澤 源太郎、多々納 裕一、畑山 満則
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 74 Issue: 1 Pages: 35-49

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.74.35

    • NAID

      130006316162

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] SHORT-RUN ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF THE TRANSPORTATION RECOVERY POLICY AFTER AN EARTHQUAKE2017

    • Author(s)
      小池淳司,宮本佳直,右近崇
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 73 Issue: 5 Pages: I_147-I_161

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.73.I_147

    • NAID

      130006286640

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 集積の経済性を考慮した交通基盤整備の影響分析及び便益計測に向けた検討2017

    • Author(s)
      足立鷹祐,織田澤利守
    • Journal Title

      第56回土木計画学研究発表会・講演集

      Volume: 56

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Applicability of a spatial computable general equilibrium model to assess the short-term economic impact of natural disasters2017

    • Author(s)
      Kajitani Yoshio、Tatano Hirokazu
    • Journal Title

      Economic Systems Research

      Volume: online first Issue: 3 Pages: 1-24

    • DOI

      10.1080/09535314.2017.1369010

    • NAID

      120006624116

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 道路ネットワークのレジリエンスの計量化に向けて2017

    • Author(s)
      多々納裕一
    • Journal Title

      高速道路と自動車

      Volume: 60(9) Pages: 5-8

    • NAID

      40021302604

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Development of a CUE Model Considering Heterogeneous Households2017

    • Author(s)
      5.YAMAMOTO Hiromichi, KOIKE Atsushi, MIYAMOTO Yoshinao, TOMOKUNI Masashi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies

      Volume: 12 Issue: 0 Pages: 1143-1162

    • DOI

      10.11175/easts.12.1143

    • NAID

      130006726060

    • ISSN
      1881-1124
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A survey of impact on industrial parks caused by the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake and tsunami2017

    • Author(s)
      Yu, J., Cruz, A. M., Piatyszek, E., Lesbats, M., Tardy, A., Hokugo, A., & Tatano, H.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 317-324

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jlp.2017.01.020

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Socioeconomic Evaluation of Transit Oriented Development using a Detailed Spatial Scale CUE Model in Taiwan2017

    • Author(s)
      Hiromichi YAMAMOTO, Jumpei SANO, Kiyoshi YAMASAKI, Kazuki YANAGISAWA, Atsushi KOIKE, Morito TSUTSUMI
    • Journal Title

      Asian Transport Studies

      Volume: 4 Issue: 3 Pages: 565-584

    • DOI

      10.11175/eastsats.4.565

    • NAID

      130005401963

    • ISSN
      2185-5560
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Short-run Economic Assessment of the Transportation Recovery Policy After an Earthquke2017

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Koike, Yoshinao Miyamoto
    • Journal Title

      MATEC Web of Conference

      Volume: 103 Pages: 9-17

    • DOI

      10.1051/matecconf/201710309017

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A methodology for estimating business interruption loss caused by flood disasters: insights from business surveys after Tokai Heavy Rain in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Lijiao Yang, Yoshio Kajitani, Hirokazu Tatano and Xinyu Jiang
    • Journal Title

      Natural Hazards

      Volume: 84(1) Issue: S1 Pages: 411-430

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11069-016-2534-3

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Perceived ambiguity about earthquake and house destruction risks2016

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Fujimi, Masahide Watanabe, Ryuji Kakimoto, and Hirokazu Tatano
    • Journal Title

      Natural Hazards

      Volume: 80(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 1243-1256

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11069-015-2021-2

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 2016年熊本地震による企業活動への影響に関する調査報告2016

    • Author(s)
      梶谷義雄、多々納裕一、小田正、宮野英樹、柿本竜治、藤見俊夫、吉田護
    • Journal Title

      日本地震工学会誌

      Volume: 29 Pages: 37-40

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] ECONOMIC IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF SHUTDOWN OF OIL REFINERIES DUE TO NANKAI TROUGH GREAT EARTHQUAKE: CGE MODELING APPROACH2016

    • Author(s)
      山崎雅人,小池淳司,曽根好徳
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_111-I_121

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_111

    • NAID

      130005435508

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] CHARACTERISTIC COMPARISON BETWEEN STATISTICAL DATA ON INTER-REGIONAL TRADE/FREIGHT DATA AND INTER-ENTERPRISE DATA2016

    • Author(s)
      佐藤啓輔,菊川康彬,小池 淳司
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_201-I_211

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_201

    • NAID

      130005435528

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] STUDY ON EFFECTS OF CONSUMER BEHAVIOR ON REGIONAL ECONOMY2016

    • Author(s)
      宮川愛由,西広樹,小池淳司,福田崚,佐藤啓輔,藤井 聡
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_393-I_405

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_393

    • NAID

      130005435625

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] EX-POST EVALUATION AND EXPANSION OF THE LOCATION CHOICE FUNCTIONS IN CUE MODEL2016

    • Author(s)
      小池淳司,友國純志,山本 浩道
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_695-I_705

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_695

    • NAID

      130005435649

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] EVOLUTIONARY IMPLEMENTATION OF OPTIMAL TOLL SCHEME ON SOCIAL INTERACTIONS AND TRAFFIC CONGESTION: A SOCIAL NETWORK APPROACH2016

    • Author(s)
      大平悠季・織田澤利守
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_373-I_382

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_373

    • NAID

      130005435636

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of property loss and business interruption loss caused by storm surge inundation due to climate change a case of typhoon Vera revisit2015

    • Author(s)
      JIANG X., MORI N., TATANO H., YANG L., SHIBUTANI Y.
    • Journal Title

      Natural Hazards

      Volume: - Issue: S1 Pages: 1-15

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11069-015-2085-z

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 交通インフラ整備効果の因果推論:論点整理と展望2018

    • Author(s)
      織田澤利守,大平悠季
    • Organizer
      第58回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 高速道路へのアクセスが地域の雇用及び生産性に及ぼす因果効果の推定2018

    • Author(s)
      柚木洸,織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第58回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 道路インフラ整備が製造業事業所の立 地や雇用の促進に及ぼす影響に関する差の差分析2018

    • Author(s)
      諸橋克彦,織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第58回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Disasters' Impacts on Public Assets- Case Studies from Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Hirokazu Tatano
    • Organizer
      APEC Workshop on Disaster Risk Finance in Tokyo
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Progress on investing in DRR for resilience in Asia2018

    • Author(s)
      Hirokazu Tatano
    • Organizer
      2nd Asian Science and Technology Conference for Disaster Risk Reduction: Science-Policy Dialogue for Implementation of the Sendai Framework
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Some Concerns for Climate Adaptation Policies in Japanese Case2018

    • Author(s)
      Hirokazu Tatano
    • Organizer
      the 9th conference of the International Society for Integrated Disaster Risk Management
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 災害リスクの総合的管理:インフラレジリエンスの向上の意義と課題を中心に2018

    • Author(s)
      多々納裕一
    • Organizer
      第9回坊っちゃんセミナー(愛媛大学)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 因果推論アプローチによる交通インフラ整備効果の推定ー研究レビューと展望ー2018

    • Author(s)
      織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第9回坊っちゃんセミナー(愛媛大学)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 集積の経済性を考慮した交通基盤整備の影響分析及び便益計測に向けた検討2017

    • Author(s)
      足立鷹祐,織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第56回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 道路システムのレジリエンス2017

    • Author(s)
      多々納裕一
    • Organizer
      防災計画研究発表会・国際総合防災学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 社会ネットワークを通じた相互作用と混雑を考慮した最適交通料金政策の進化的遂行2016

    • Author(s)
      大平悠季, 織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第54回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      長崎大学(長崎県,長崎市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-04
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Prescription for economic resilience for natural hazards2016

    • Author(s)
      Hirokazu Tatano
    • Organizer
      The 1st International Workshop on Resilience
    • Place of Presentation
      Valentino's Castle (Torino, Canada)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-20
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Business Resilience against Earthquake Disasters: Observations from Past Japanese Earthquake Disasters2016

    • Author(s)
      Yoshio Kajitani and Hirokazu Tatano
    • Organizer
      The 1st International Workshop on Resilience
    • Place of Presentation
      Valentino's Castle (Torino, Canada)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-20
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Measuring Production Capacity Loss Due to the 2011 Tohoku-oki Earthquake and Tsunami2016

    • Author(s)
      Hirokazu Tatano and Yoshio Kajitani
    • Organizer
      the 3rd ICEEDM
    • Place of Presentation
      Nusa Dua ( Bali, Indonesia)
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Investigation on CGE Models for Disaster Impact Analysis: Implications form the Case Study of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake2016

    • Author(s)
      Yoshio Kajitani and Hirokazu Tatano
    • Organizer
      23rd International Input-Output Association (IIOA) Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Yonsei University(Seoul, Korea)
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-04
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] コミュニケーションと政策の実現可能性~社会ネットワークの観点から2016

    • Author(s)
      大平悠季, 織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第53回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学(北海道,札幌市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 協調ゲームとしてのコミュニケーションと都市政策の可能性2016

    • Author(s)
      織田澤利守,大平悠季
    • Organizer
      第53回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学(北海道,札幌市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Impact of Disasters: Lessons from the Past Earthquakes in Japan and Concerns for the Big Ones in the Future2016

    • Author(s)
      Hirokazu Tatano
    • Organizer
      International Symposium on “”Mega Disasters: Can we cope?
    • Place of Presentation
      Seoul (Korea)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Book] 社会資本整備の空間経済分析2018

    • Author(s)
      小池淳司
    • Total Pages
      156
    • Publisher
      コロナ社
    • ISBN
      9784339052343
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] インフラを科学する2018

    • Author(s)
      小池淳司他(共著),柳川範之(編集)
    • Total Pages
      196
    • Publisher
      中央経済社
    • ISBN
      9784502285318
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Transportation, Knowledge and Space in Urban and Regional Economics2018

    • Author(s)
      B. Anderson,.E. Andersson, C. Burke, Z. Chen, K.E. Haynes, B. Johansson, K. Kobayashi, A. Koike, Y. Konishi, T. Laitila, W.W. Ling Lo, M. Lundgren, H. Maoh, K. Matsushima, S.-i. Mun, Y. Nishiyama, Y. Ohira, M. Okumura, M. Olsson, M. Onishi, T. Otazawa et,al
    • Total Pages
      336
    • Publisher
      Edward Elgar Publishing
    • ISBN
      178536605X
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Toshimori Otazawa's Webpage

    • URL

      http://www2.kobe-u.ac.jp/~nazuna/

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report 2017 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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