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Bayesian estimation of distributions of causes of death in developing countries

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16H06853
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionKwansei Gakuin University (2017)
Nagoya University (2016)

Principal Investigator

KUNIHAMA Tsuyoshi  関西学院大学, 経済学部, 講師 (40779716)

Project Period (FY) 2016-08-26 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywordsベイズ統計学 / マルコフ連鎖モンテカルロ法 / 多変量データ / 条件付き確率 / 経済統計学 / 死因の分布推定
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project develops a new Bayesian method for estimation of population distributions of deaths by cause using verbal autopsy data in developing countries without full-coverage civil registration system. Using the Population Health Metrics Research Consortium data, we assess accuracy of the estimation of distributions of cause-of-death by the proposed method. Under various scenarios, we compare the proposed method to an existing one and observe the outperformance of the new Bayesian approach.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2017 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Presentation (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Washington/Ohio State University(米国)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Washington/Ohio State University(米国)

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Bayesian estimation of distributions of causes of death with verbal autopsy surveys2017

    • Author(s)
      國濱 剛
    • Organizer
      高次元・高頻度データのベイズ計量経済分析
    • Place of Presentation
      東北学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2017-02-07
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Bayesian estimation of distributions of causes of death with verbal autopsy surveys2017

    • Author(s)
      Tsuyoshi Kunihama
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Bayesian estimation of distributions of causes of death with verbal autopsy surveys2017

    • Author(s)
      Tsuyoshi Kunihama
    • Organizer
      The Second ISBA-EAC Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Bayesian estimation of distributions of causes of death with verbal autopsy surveys2017

    • Author(s)
      Tsuyoshi Kunihama
    • Organizer
      The 1st International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Bayesian estimation of distributions of causes of death with verbal autopsy surveys2017

    • Author(s)
      Tsuyoshi Kunihama
    • Organizer
      研究会「高次元・高頻度データのベイズ計量経済分析」(東北学院大学)
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2016-09-02   Modified: 2022-05-23  

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