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Development of Natural and Man-made Disaster Risk Management Method for World Maritime Transport Network

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K01272
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionNational Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management

Principal Investigator

Yasuhiro Akakura  国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 室長 (70462629)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 渡部 富博  京都大学, 経営管理研究部, 特定教授 (10356040)
小野 憲司  国立研究開発法人海上・港湾・航空技術研究所, 港湾空港技術研究所, 客員研究員 (10641235)
佐々木 友子  国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 主任研究官 (20642010)
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords国際海運 / 大規模災害 / コンテナ輸送 / バルク輸送 / 代替経路 / 経済損失 / 人為災害 / 代替ルート / 港湾BCP / 交通計画・国土計画 / 国際海上輸送 / サプライチェーン / 災害リスク
Outline of Final Research Achievements

World shipping network concentrates at major ports, straits and canals, which are called hot-spots, under the situation that the global supply chain substantially depends on the maritime transport. This study analyzed the influence of disruption of hot-spot's function on maritime transport by reviewing the 2014/15 U.S. West Coast port disruption and 2016 bankruptcy of Hanjin Shipping cases. Based on this analysis, the method for assessing the direct loss such as an increase of transport cost, damage on cargo etc, and the total loss including ripple effect by SCGE model were constructed, and also the countermeasures for disruption were suggested. Furthermore, an estimation of the cargo values through major international straits and canals, and a risk assessment for the whole transport route of Japanese bulk cargo import were carried out.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

グローバル・サプライチェーンの途絶は、世界貿易・経済に甚大な影響を及ぼす可能性があるにもかかわらず、これまで、特に人為災害による影響は明らかになっていなかった。本研究は、実例における輸送日数増や代替経路を用いた貨物量を把握し、被害額を明らかにし、対応策も提案した。また、主要な国際海峡・運河で膨大な貨物が輸送されていることも明らかにした。これらの成果により、国際海運を利用する各荷主だけでなく、ホットスポットを管理・運営する組織や関連国、さらには国際社会に対して、ホットスポットのリスク対策の必要性を強く示すことができたことから、そのリスクマネジメントの推進に一定の学術的貢献があった。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2018 2017 2016

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 3 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 3 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results)

  • [Journal Article] An Assessment of the Impacts on the International Container Transport and the World Economy Resulting from the 2014/15 U.S. West Coast Port Disruption2018

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA, Tomoko SASAKI, Kenji ONO, Tomihiro WATANABE
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Integrated Disaster Risk Management

      Volume: 8 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-21

    • DOI

      10.5595/idrim.2018.0295

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 港湾・海運における人為災害による国際海上コンテナ輸送への影響の把握・分析2018

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛、佐々木友子、小野憲司、渡部富博
    • Journal Title

      国土技術政策総合研究所報告

      Volume: 60 Pages: 1-19

    • NAID

      40021720478

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 米国西岸港湾の労使交渉に伴う混乱の東アジア-米国間海上コンテナ輸送への影響による損失額試算2017

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛、佐々木友子、小野憲司、渡部富博
    • Journal Title

      日本物流学会誌

      Volume: 25 Pages: 103-110

    • NAID

      40021255098

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] BASIC IMPACT STUDY OF US WEST COAST DISRUPTION ON INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TRANSPORT2016

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛、小野憲司
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 2 Pages: I_1105-I_1110

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejoe.72.I_1105

    • NAID

      130005263229

    • ISSN
      2185-4688
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 米国西岸港湾の労使交渉に伴う東アジア-米国間海上コンテナ輸送への影響分析2016

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛、佐々木友子、小野憲司
    • Journal Title

      日本物流学会全国大会研究報告集

      Volume: 33 Pages: 65-68

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A Possible Risk Riduction of Negative Impact of Port Blockage by Disasters on the Global Trade and Economy -Case Study of U.S. West Coast Port Disruption-2016

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA, Kenji ONO
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of Extended Abstract, 7th International Conference on Integrated Disaster Risk Management

      Volume: 7 Pages: 287-290

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] 我が国のバルク貨物輸入の途絶可能性に関する基礎的研究2018

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛、小野憲司
    • Organizer
      日本沿岸域学会 第31回研究討論会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Basic Impact Analysis of Maritime Global Critical Infrastructure Disruption Caused by Disasters on the Global Trade and Economy2018

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA and Kenji ONO
    • Organizer
      IDRiM2018 Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 韓進海運破綻による世界コンテナ流動への影響分析2017

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛
    • Organizer
      第55回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Economic loss assessment of port logistics stagnation due to disasters -case study of 2014/15 U.S. west coast port disruption2017

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA, Tomoko SASAKI, Kenji ONO and Tomihiro WATANABE
    • Organizer
      IDRiM 2017 Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Possible Risk Riduction of Negative Impact of Port Blockage by Disasters on the Global Trade and Economy -Case Study of U.S. West Coast Port Disruption-2016

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro AKAKURA, Kenji ONO
    • Organizer
      7th International Conference on Integrated Disaster Risk Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Hotel Abbasi, Isfahan, Iran
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-02
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 米国西岸港湾の労使交渉に伴う東アジア-米国間海上コンテナ輸送への影響分析2016

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛、佐々木友子、小野憲司
    • Organizer
      第33回日本物流学会全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海商科大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-02
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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