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The empirical analysis of trade impact on employment and wages using matched Japanese employer-employee data

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K03651
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionKeio University

Principal Investigator

Endoh Masahiro  慶應義塾大学, 商学部(三田), 教授 (80281872)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 風神 佐知子  慶應義塾大学, 商学部(三田), 教授 (00510851)
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords輸入 / 雇用 / 賃金 / 日本 / 労働市場 / 企業・労働者接合データ / スキル・プレミアム / ジェンダー・ギャップ / グローバリゼーション / 売り手・買い手ネットワーク / 輸出 / 廃業 / オフショアリング / 残業 / 労働時間 / 給与 / 開業 / 国際貿易 / 貿易 / 所得格差 / 労働者・企業接合パネルデータ / 年収 / 輸入競争 / 経済政策
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this research project, I estimated the impact of international trade on wages and employment in the Japanese labor market. Matched worker-firm panel data in the Japanese manufacturing sector covering two decades from the late 1990s are used. The main results are threefold. (1) Offshoring decreases skill premium in annual hourly wages, whereas it increases the gender gap in annual salaries, which arises from the different changes in overtime working hours: college graduates work longer with a lower overtime premium, whereas female workers do not increase overtime work. (2) Labor income inequality in Japan among industry-size-skill-gender groups has increased due to imports from Asia. (3) Upstream manufacturing firms lower the probability of closing by selling their products to downstream manufacturing firms which increases their exports or imports.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

輸入競争の激化が国内の雇用を奪い、賃金を低下させることへの恐れは、先進国で時折噴出し、経済・政治に影響する。この研究課題では、日本において輸入の拡大が雇用や賃金にどのような影響を及ぼすのかを推計した。その結果、賃金については確かに輸入拡大が賃金格差を拡大させる効果が観察された。ただ、その効果はあまり大きくなく、他の要因によってかき消されていた。また、雇用については、(まだ結果が学術論文として刊行されていないが)輸入拡大によって製造業の雇用は減少した。ただ、ある企業の輸入拡大は、その企業の国内取引先の倒産確率を下げるという、雇用を守る効果もあった。

Report

(7 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (11 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] The impact of firms’ international trade on domestic suppliers: The case of Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Endoh Masahiro
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 63 Pages: 101188-101188

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2021.101188

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Offshoring and working hours adjustments in a within-firm labor market2021

    • Author(s)
      Endoh Masahiro
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 60 Pages: 101132-101132

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2021.101132

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Effect of Import Competition on Wages in the Japanese Manufacturing Sector2018

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Endoh
    • Journal Title

      Asian Economic Papers

      Volume: 17 Issue: 1 Pages: 46-67

    • DOI

      10.1162/asep_a_00585

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] The Impact of Firms’ Trade on Domestic Suppliers2020

    • Author(s)
      遠藤正寛
    • Organizer
      日本国際経済学会第79回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Import Effects on Job Flows Through Industry and Regional Factors2020

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Endoh
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on International Trade, Innovation and Labor in the Global Economy
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Trade Effects on Job Changes through Job Creation and Destruction Responses2019

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Endoh
    • Organizer
      日本国際経済学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Trade Effects on Wage Inequality through Worker and Firm Heterogeneity2018

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Endoh
    • Organizer
      日本国際経済学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Effect of Firms’ Trade on Skill Premiums through Internal Labor Market2017

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Endoh
    • Organizer
      日本国際経済学会関東支部
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Effect of Offshoring on Skill Premiums: Evidence from Japanese Matched Worker-Firm Data2016

    • Author(s)
      遠藤正寛
    • Organizer
      日本国際経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      中京大学(愛知県名古屋市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-29
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 輸入競争とオフショアリングが賃金に与える影響:日本の企業・労働者接合データを用いた分析2016

    • Author(s)
      遠藤正寛
    • Organizer
      京都大学国際経済学セミナー・応用ミクロ経済学セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学(京都府京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-06
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] The Effect of Import Competition on Skill Premiums: Evidence from Japanese Matched Worker-Firm Data2016

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Endoh
    • Organizer
      Asian Economic Panel
    • Place of Presentation
      ダブリン(アイルランド)
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-23
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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