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Dynamic relationships between different financial markets: Empirical studies with copulas

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K03746
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Money/ Finance
Research InstitutionOsaka Prefecture University

Principal Investigator

Tachibana Minoru  大阪府立大学, 経済学研究科, 准教授 (70405330)

Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywordsコピュラ / 株価 / 為替レート / 国債 / 避難通貨 / テイル依存係数 / 動学的依存関係 / 実証分析 / 避難資産 / ヘッジ通貨 / 経済学 / 金融・ファイナンス
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project has investigated the dynamic relationships between different financial markets such as stock, foreign exchange and government bond markets by using copula modeling. The findings are as follows. First, different stock markets have different safe-haven and hedge currencies. Second, ignoring the co-movement of international stock markets leads to a biased estimate for the relationship between domestic stock and currency markets. Third, US and UK government bonds have played a primary role of safe-haven assets during stock market downturns.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

コピュラの手法は変数間の関係を柔軟にモデリングできる点にその特徴がある。従来のコピュラを用いた研究では、同一種類の市場を対象としたものが多く見られるものの、異なる種類の市場間を横断して分析している研究は少ない。本研究課題は、後者の分野の研究を積み上げた点で学術的な意義がある。また本研究課題の研究成果は、政策担当者や投資家に対して国際金融市場に関するより詳細な情報を提供している点で社会的意義があるといえる。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All 2020 2018 2017

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Open Access: 4 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Flight-to-quality in the stock-bond return relation: A regime-switching copula approach2020

    • Author(s)
      Minoru Tachibana
    • Journal Title

      Discussion Paper New Series (School of Economics, Osaka Prefecture University)

      Volume: No.2020-1 Pages: 1-43

    • NAID

      120006822880

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Relationship between stock and currency markets conditional on the US stock returns: A vine copula approach2018

    • Author(s)
      Minoru Tachibana
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Multinational Financial Management

      Volume: 46 Pages: 75-106

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.mulfin.2018.05.001

    • NAID

      120006720186

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Safe haven government bonds: Identification using a regime-switching copula model2018

    • Author(s)
      Tachibana Minoru
    • Journal Title

      Discussion Paper New Series, School of Economics, Osaka Prefecture University

      Volume: No.2018-3 Pages: 1-34

    • NAID

      120006720184

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Safe-haven and hedge currencies for the US, UK, and Euro area stock markets: A copula-based approach2018

    • Author(s)
      Tachibana Minoru
    • Journal Title

      Global Finance Journal

      Volume: 35 Pages: 82-96

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.gfj.2017.07.001

    • NAID

      120006720187

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Relationship between stock and currency markets conditional on the US stock returns: A vine copula approach2017

    • Author(s)
      Tachibana Minoru
    • Journal Title

      Discussion Paper New Series, School of Economics, Osaka Prefecture University

      Volume: No.2017-4 Pages: 1-36

    • NAID

      120006720186

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Safe Haven and Hedge Currencies for the US, UK, and Euro Area Stock Markets: A Copula-Based Approach2017

    • Author(s)
      Minoru Tachibana
    • Journal Title

      Discussion Paper New Series, School of Economics, Osaka Prefecture University

      Volume: No. 2017-1 Pages: 1-37

    • NAID

      120006720187

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant

URL: 

Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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