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Macroeconomic analysis of quantitative easing by the central bank from the perspective of the micro structure of the payment system

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K03756
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Money/ Finance
Research InstitutionWaseda University

Principal Investigator

Hajime Tomura  早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 准教授 (90633769)

Research Collaborator Fujiki Hiroshi  
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords決済システム / 信用創造 / 量的緩和 / 財政 / 中央銀行券 / 法貨 / 手形割引 / 信用と貨幣 / 中央銀行 / 窓口貸出 / 貨幣の弾力的供給 / 価値尺度 / 銀行間決済 / 国際査読雑誌掲載 / 著名国際学会発表 / シミュレーション / 日本銀行勘定 / 経済政策
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study analyzes the micro structure of the payment system and the role of the central bank, and drows implications for the effects of quantitative easing by the central bank. The simulation analysis of the exit of quantitative easing using the data available as of June 2016 suggests that the Bank of Japan might suffer an annual loss larger than 7 trillion yen after the end of quantitative easing. Also, the theoretical analysis of the role of central-bank notes in credit creation by commercial banks and that of the need for central-bank money as legal tender indicate that quantitative easing biases real economic activities , because it supplies central-bank money as a store of value beyond the need for central-bank money as a means of payment.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

標準的なマクロ経済学では、決済システムの詳細を無視する形で中央銀行の量的緩和政策を評価しており、その結果、理論的に予測された効果と日本銀行の量的緩和政策の現実の効果に差異が生じているが、本研究では決済システムの詳細を踏まえた実証・理論分析を行うことで、理論と現実の差を埋め、また、理論的にこれまで明らかでなかった量的緩和政策の負の側面を明らかにした。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (11 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 3 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Payment instruments and collateral in the interbank payment system2018

    • Author(s)
      Hajime Tomura
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Theory

      Volume: 178 Pages: 82-104

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jet.2018.08.008

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Fiscal cost to exit quantitative easing: the case of Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Fujiki and Hajime Tomura
    • Journal Title

      Japan and the World Economy

      Volume: 42 Pages: 1-11

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.japwor.2017.02.003

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] On Separation between Payment and Saving Instruments2018

    • Author(s)
      Hajime Tomura
    • Organizer
      University of Tokyo CIRJE Macroeconomic Workshop
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Incomplete Contract Enforcement and Nominal Liabilities2018

    • Author(s)
      戸村 肇
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] On Separation between Payment and Saving Instruments2018

    • Author(s)
      Hajime Tomura
    • Organizer
      Asia Pacific Economics Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 今後の金融政策について(出口における日本銀行の財務諸表の見通しを中心に)2017

    • Author(s)
      戸村 肇
    • Organizer
      「経済財政運営と改革の基本方針」にむけた内閣府経済財政・運営担当勉強会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 決済の経済学から見た電子決済と金融システム2017

    • Author(s)
      戸村 肇
    • Organizer
      全国銀行協会金融調査研究会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 決済の経済学から見た電子決済と金融システム2017

    • Author(s)
      戸村 肇
    • Organizer
      財務総合研究所ランチミーティング
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Fiscal cost to exit quantitative easing: the case of Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      戸村 肇
    • Organizer
      NBER Project Japan
    • Place of Presentation
      Asia Development Bank Institute
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      https://researchmap.jp/tomurah/

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Hajime Tomura - Researcher - Researchmap

    • URL

      https://researchmap.jp/tomurah/?lang=english

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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