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Mathematical Decision Analysis and its Application to Economic Theory

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K05282
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Foundations of mathematics/Applied mathematics
Research InstitutionThe University of Kitakyushu

Principal Investigator

Yoshida Yuji  北九州市立大学, 経済学部, 教授 (90192426)

Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Keywords数理ファイナンス / リスク / 効用 / 不確実性 / 意思決定 / 応用数学 / 経済理論 / 確率論
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Stochastic dominance and risk premiums on two-dimensional regions are studied by weighted quasi-arithmetic means. A necessary condition and a sufficient condition for risk averse comparison of two utility functions are also given.
Minimizing the distance between risk estimations through decision maker's utility and coherent risk measures with risk spectra is discussed, and the risk spectrum of the optimal coherent risk measures is obtained and it inherits the risk averse property of utility functions. In Markov decision processes, risk-sensitive expected  rewards under utility functions are approximated by weighted average value-at-risks, and risk constraints are described by coherent risk measures with the best risk spectrum derived from decision maker's risk averse utility. The mathematical optimality methods in Markov decision making are obtained for high-speed calculation in financial engineering.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

近年は、金融不安や地震災害など様々なリスクの中で、安定した社会基盤を築くことが求められている。リスクは不確実性と深くかかわり、リスクの数学的性質は心理学や経済学など様々な分野で研究されてきた。本研究では、経済や災害のリスク環境における意思決定の解析的性質を数理計画の観点から考察する。とくに、リスクを伴う確率場と意思決定者の評価基準の相互関係について数理的モデルを用いて研究する。また、社会や経済におけるリスクの連鎖も研究目的とし、ダイナミックスを伴うリスク環境における意思決定の解析的推移を数理計画の観点から研究する。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (45 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Journal Article (20 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 20 results,  Peer Reviewed: 20 results,  Open Access: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results) Presentation (23 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 20 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Average Value-at-Risk Allocation on Worst Scenarios in Asset Management2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida and S.Kumamoto
    • Journal Title

      Lecture Notes in Computer Science

      Volume: 11436 Pages: 674-683

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-030-14812-6_42

    • ISBN
      9783030148119, 9783030148126
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Allocation Processes for Worst Scenarios in Fuzzy Asset Management Using Weighted Average Value-at-Risks2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Information Science and Technologies

      Volume: 3 Pages: 39-45

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Risk-Sensitive Decision Making under Risk Constraints with Coherent Risk Measures2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies 143

      Volume: 2 Pages: 219-229

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-981-13-8303-8_19

    • ISBN
      9789811383021, 9789811383038
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Comparison of Risk Aversity for Two Utility Functions on R^22019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Advanced Computational Intelligence and Intelligent Informatics

      Volume: 23 Pages: 555-560

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Markov Decision Processes with Coherent Risk Measures: Risk Aversity in Asset Management2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      2019 IEEE Conference on Cognitive and Computational Aspects of Situation Management

      Volume: - Pages: 147-151

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Risk-Sensitive Markov Decision under Risk Constraints with Coherent Risk Measures2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence

      Volume: 11676 Pages: 29-40

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-030-26773-5_3

    • ISBN
      9783030267728, 9783030267735
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Risk-Sensitive Markov Decision Processes with Risk Constraints of Coherent Risk Measures in Fuzzy and Stochastic Environment2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the International Conference on Fuzzy Computation Theory and Applications 2019

      Volume: - Pages: 269-277

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Portfolio Optimization with Perception-Based Risk Measures in Dynamic Fuzzy Asset Management2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Granular Computing

      Volume: 4 Issue: 4 Pages: 615-627

    • DOI

      10.1007/s41066-018-0100-y

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Maximization of Returns under Value-at-Risk Constraints in Dynamic Fuzzy Asset Allocation2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida Yuji
    • Journal Title

      国際学術会議FUZZ-IEEE.2018

      Volume: - Pages: 591-596

    • DOI

      10.1109/fuzz-ieee.2018.8491675

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Return-Maximizing in Fuzzy Portfolio Processes under Average Value-at-Risk Constraints2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      国際学術会議ICRITO .2018

      Volume: - Pages: 849-854

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Coherent Risk Measures Derived from Utility Functions2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence

      Volume: 11144 Pages: 15-26

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-030-00202-2_2

    • ISBN
      9783030002015, 9783030002022
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] ynamic Fuzzy Asset Management for Worst Scenarios with Average Value-at-Risks2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      国際学術会議CiSt 2018

      Volume: - Pages: 437-442

    • DOI

      10.1109/cist.2018.8596615

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] An Optimal Process for Average Value-at-Risk Portfolios in Financial Management2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Lecture Notes in Electric Engineering

      Volume: 428 Pages: 101-108

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-319-53934-8_12

    • ISBN
      9783319539331, 9783319539348
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Maximization of Returns under a Value-at-Risk Constraint in Fuzzy Asset Management2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      国際学術会議IFSA-SCIS2017

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Optimization of Dynamic Maximum for Value-at-Risks with Fuzziness in Asset Management2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      国際学術会議FUZZ-IEEE2017

      Volume: - Pages: 1-5

    • DOI

      10.1109/fuzz-ieee.2017.8015420

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Portfolios Optimization with Coherent Risk Measures in Fuzzy Asset Management2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      国際学術会議ISCBI2017

      Volume: - Pages: 100-104

    • DOI

      10.1109/iscbi.2017.8053553

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Maximization of Returns under an Average Value-at-Risk Constraint in Fuzzy Asset Management2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Procedia Computer Science

      Volume: 112 Pages: 11-20

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.procs.2017.08.001

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Comparison of Risk Averse Utility Functions on Two-Dimensional Regions2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence

      Volume: 10571 Pages: 15-25

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-319-67422-3_2

    • ISBN
      9783319674216, 9783319674223
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Weighted Quasi-Arithmetic Means on Two-Dimensional Regions: An Independent Case2016

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence

      Volume: 9880 Pages: 82-93

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-319-45656-0_7

    • ISBN
      9783319456553, 9783319456560
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Optimization of Value-at-Risk Portfolios with Fuzziness in Asset Management2016

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      ICICIP2016

      Volume: - Pages: 1-4

    • DOI

      10.1109/icicip.2016.7885886

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Markov Decision Processes with Coherent Risk Measures: Risk Aversity in Asset Management2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Organizer
      CogSIMA 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Average Value-at-Risk Allocation on Worst Scenarios in Asset Management2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Organizer
      TAMC 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Risk-Sensitive Decision Making under Risk Constraints with Coherent Risk Measures2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Organizer
      KES-IDT 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Risk-Sensitive Markov Decision under Risk Constraints with Coherent Risk Measures2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Organizer
      MDAI 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Risk-Sensitive Decision Making with Constraints of Coherent Risk Measures in Fuzzy and Stochastic Environment2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Organizer
      EUSFLAT 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Risk-Sensitive Markov Decision Processes with Risk Constraints of Coherent Risk Measures in Fuzzy and Stochastic Environment2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Organizer
      IJCCI 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Coherent Risk Measures Derived from Utility Functions and Risk-Sensitive Expectation2019

    • Author(s)
      吉田祐治
    • Organizer
      RIMS研究集会「不確実・不確定性の下における数理的意思決定の理論と応用」
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Finite Horizon Risk-Sensitive Markov Decision under Risk Constraints: Coherent Risk Measures Derived from Risk Averse Utility2019

    • Author(s)
      Y.Yoshida
    • Organizer
      EURO 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Risk Measures Derived from Utility Functions2019

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      日本数学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Maximization of Rewards under Value-at-Risk Constraints in Dynamic Fuzzy Asset Allocation2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      国際学術会議FUZZ-IEEE.2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Return-Maximizing in Fuzzy Portfolio Processes under Average Value-at-Risk Constraints2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      国際学術会議ICRITO 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Coherent Risk Measures Derived from Utility Functions2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      国際学術会議MDAI 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Fuzzy Asset Management for Worst Scenarios with Average Value-at-Risks2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      国際学術会議CiSt 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Maximization of Returns under a Value-at-Risk Constraint in Fuzzy Asset Management2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      IFSA-SCIS2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Optimization of Dynamic Maximum for Value-at-Risks with Fuzziness in Asset2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      FUZZ-IEEE2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Portfolio Decision Process with a Value-at-Risk Criterion2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      IFORS2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Portfolios Optimization with Coherent Risk Measures in Fuzzy Asset2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      ISCBI2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Maximization of Returns under an Average Value-at-Risk Constraint in Fuzzy Asset Management2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      KES2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Comparison of Risk Averse Utility Functions on Two-Dimensional Regions2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      MDAI2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 2次元空間上の重み付き準算術平均と効用関数への応用2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      研究集会「不確実性の下での意思決定理論とその応用:計画数学の展開」
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Optimization of Value-at-Risk Portfolios with Fuzziness in Asset2016

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      ICICIP2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Siem Reap (Cambodia)
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An Optimal Process for Average Value-at-Risk Portfolios in Financial Management2016

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      APSAC2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Dubrovnik (Croatia)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Weighted Quasi-Arithmetic Means on Two-Dimensional Regions: An Independent Case2016

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yoshida
    • Organizer
      MDAI2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Sant Julia de Loria (Andorra)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-19
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] Fuzzy Sets, Rough Sets, Multisets and Clustering2017

    • Author(s)
      V.Torra, A.Dahlbom Y.Narukawa, Yuji Yoshida 他共著
    • Total Pages
      347
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • ISBN
      9783319475561
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 北九州市立大学 研究者情報データベース

    • URL

      https://www.kitakyu-u.ac.jp/research/activities/

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2023-03-16  

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