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Seismicity as Complex Phenomenon with Catastrophes: Correlation, Dynamics and Network Representation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K05484
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Mathematical physics/Fundamental condensed matter physics
Research InstitutionNihon University

Principal Investigator

SUZUKI Norikazu  日本大学, 理工学部, 教授 (60246824)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 阿部 純義  三重大学, 工学研究科, 教授 (70184215)
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords地震活動 / カタストロフ / 複雑系科学 / 火山性地震 / 時空間相関 / Markov過程 / 複雑ネットワーク / 異常拡散 / 複雑系 / 火山性群発地震 / べき乗則 / 非線形時系列解析 / 相関 / ダイナミクス / 階層構造 / 複雑系統計力学 / 地震 / 劣拡散 / 有限データサイズ効果 / 非Markov性 / 数理物理 / 物性基礎論 / 不規則系
Outline of Final Research Achievements

From the view point of science of complexity, we studied volcanic seismicity. We showed that the growth of the seismic region in time is subdiffusive at both Mt Etna in Sicily and Eyjafjallajokull in Iceland. Although the volcanic seismicity always occurs before eruption, eruption may not necessarily take place even if the seismicity occurs. We found that the complex earthquake networks constructed from the seismic datasets taken in Iceland and Japan exhibit a common structural change prior to their large-scale eruption. The Gutenberg-Richter law shows that the distribution of earthquake energy asymptotically decays as a power law with no characteristic scale. Although the power law like this also can been seen widely in the complex systems, the similarity in the distribution does not directly tell us if the process underling these intermittent phenomena are memoryless (i.e., Markovian ) or not. We constructed a new simple method for quantitatively evaluating (non-)Markovianity.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

地震活動に対する理解をカタストロフ複雑系現象という新たな視点から深めることを目的とする。前半は、火山性地震の震源が時間と共に広がる様子が、水にたらしたインクの広がり方とは異なる異常拡散であることを明らかにした。また、火山性地震は必ずしも噴火に至る予兆現象と見なすことはできないが、噴火に至る場合のみ地震の複雑ネットワークに特異的な振る舞いが現れることを明らかにした。地震活動には、他の多くの複雑系と共通のいくつかのベキ法則が存在する。後半は、ベキ則を示す複雑系のダイナミクスが記憶を引きずるか否かを判定する数学的な理論を展開した。この成果は、系の未知のダイナミクスの理解に新たな光をあてるものとなる。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results)

  • [Journal Article] Subdiffusion of volcanic earthquakes2017

    • Author(s)
      Sumiyoshi Abe, Norikazu Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Acta Geophysica

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 3 Pages: 481-489

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11600-017-0029-6

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Universal law for waiting internal time in seismicity and its implication to earthquake network2019

    • Author(s)
      Norikazu Suzuki
    • Organizer
      Statistical Physics of Complex Systems, 7-11 May 2019, Nordita, Stockholm, Sweden
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Non-Markovianity and subdiffusion of volcanic seismicity2019

    • Author(s)
      Norikazu Suzuki
    • Organizer
      XXXIX Dynamics Days Europe 2019, 2-6 September, University of Rostock, Germany
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Universal law for waiting internal time in seismicity and its implication to complex network of earthquakes2018

    • Author(s)
      Norikazu Suzuki
    • Organizer
      IAMG2018(Annual Conference of the International Association for Mathematical Geosciences), Olomouc, Czech Republic
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Universal law for waiting internal time in seismicity and its implication to complex network of earthquakes2018

    • Author(s)
      Norikazu Suzuki
    • Organizer
      2018 Joint meeting of the DPG and EPS Condensed Matter Divisions, Berlin, Germany
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamical evolution of the community structure of complex network inherent in seismic time series2017

    • Author(s)
      Norikazu Suzuki
    • Organizer
      ITISE 2017 (International work-conference on Time Series), Granada, Spain
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Complex-network description of seismic time series2016

    • Author(s)
      Norikazu Suzuki
    • Organizer
      ITISE 2016 (International work-conference on Time Series)
    • Place of Presentation
      Granada, Spain
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-27
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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