Research on meta-ignorance and risk governance regarding disaster presumption

• Project/Area Number: 16K06541
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
• Research Institution: Ehime University
• Principal Investigator: HATORI TSUYOSHI 愛媛大学, 社会共創学部, 准教授 (30422992)
• Project Period (FY): 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
• Budget Amount: ¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000); Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000); Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000); Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
• Keywords: メタ無知 / リスクガバナンス / 危機管理 / リスクコミュニケーション / 避難行動 / 災害想定 / 平成30年7月豪雨

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study refers to people’s lack of cognition about the limit of their own presumption regarding natural disasters as “meta-ignorance” and presented a normative framework to mitigate meta-ignorance and cope with un-presumed disaster events through cooperation among various stakeholders. It conducted a survey on residents’ evacuation activities at a heavy rainfall event in July 2018 and explored relevant issues on their evacuation and consciousness. Finally, it proposed a risk communication method to mitigate meta-ignorance through social experiment.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

近年，甚大な自然災害が頻発する中，「事前の想定を超える災害リスクに対して如何に対処するか」という問題が問われている．本研究は，そうした想定外の災害リスクに対処するためのガバナンスやリスクコミュニケーションを検討するための理論的・実践的な知見を見出しており，災害危機管理や災害に強い地域づくりの進展に寄与することが期待される．

Research Products

• [Journal Article] A STUDY ON THE URBAN DESIGN CENTER IN A MAJOR PROVINCIAL CITY (2019)
  • Author(s): ONO Haruka、OSAKI Shin、KATAOKA Yuka、HATORI Tsuyoshi、HATO Eiji
  • Journal Title: Journal of Architecture and Planning (Transactions of AIJ) Volume: 84 Issue: 755 Pages: 167-177
  • DOI: 10.3130/aija.84.167
  • NAID: 130007584290
  • ISSN: 1340-4210, 1881-8161
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 平成30年7月豪雨における学生ボランティアの意識 (2019)
  • Author(s): 松村暢彦，渡邉敬逸，羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: 愛媛大学社会共創学部紀要 Volume: 3 Pages: 9-16
  • NAID: 120006648798
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 公共政策の説明方式が保護価値の緩和に及ぼす影響 (2018)
  • Author(s): 谷野秀夫，セティアワン・イルワン，羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: 実践政策学 Volume: 4 Pages: 63-70
  • NAID: 40021649434
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] An Analytical Study on Intentions of Disaster Prevention Expert Candidates (2017)
  • Author(s): Futagami, T., Hatori, T., and Bhandary, N. P.
  • Journal Title: Journal of Disaster Research Volume: 12 Issue: 4 Pages: 748-754
  • DOI: 10.20965/jdr.2017.p0748
  • NAID: 130008128080
  • ISSN: 1881-2473, 1883-8030
  • Year and Date: 2017-08-01
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] 防災意識のメタ認知刺激を意図した個人別減災カルテの開発 (2017)
  • Author(s): 森伸一郎，羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: 地域安全学会論文集 Volume: 32
  • NAID: 130007610466
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 地域の存続を巡る存在論的不安に関する研究 (2017)
  • Author(s): 羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: 実践政策学 Volume: 3 Pages: 159-172
  • NAID: 40021459636
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] 愛媛大学生の街中サードプレイスに関する実態調査 (2017)
  • Author(s): 片岡由香，尾形愛美，羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: 愛媛大学社会共創学部紀要 Volume: 1 Pages: 9-14
  • NAID: 120006527491
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] AN ANALYSIS OF PSYCHOLOGICAL CONDITIONS OF PUBLIC ACCEPTANCE FOR REDUCTION OF PUBLIC FACILITIES (2017)
  • Author(s): 神原明，Irwan SETIAWAN，羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management) Volume: 73 Issue: 5 Pages: I_433-I_443
  • DOI: 10.2208/jscejipm.73.I_433
  • NAID: 130006286635
  • ISSN: 2185-6540
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] THE EFFECTS OF ENVIRONMENTAL EDUCATION PROGRAM USING BEHAVIORAL PLANNING METHOD ON ENERGY SAVING BEHAVIOR (2017)
  • Author(s): 柳原捷吾，羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. H (Engineering Education and Practice) Volume: 73 Issue: 1 Pages: 53-66
  • DOI: 10.2208/jscejeep.73.53
  • NAID: 130005988531
  • ISSN: 1884-7781
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] The Effects of Childhood Experiences of Social Interaction on Mitigating the Development of the Vulgar Personality (2017)
  • Author(s): Hatori, T., Fujii, S., and Komatsu, Y.
  • Journal Title: Journal of Human Environmental Studies Volume: 15 Pages: 17-24
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] How previous choice affects decision attribute weights: a field survey (2017)
  • Author(s): Hatori, T., Fujii, S., and Takemura, K.
  • Journal Title: Behaviormetrika Volume: 44 Issue: 2 Pages: 477-487
  • DOI: 10.1007/s41237-017-0028-6
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Protected Values and Their Influences on Perceived Procedural Fairness in Highway Project: A Field Survey in South Sulawesi (2017)
  • Author(s): Setiawan I, Hatori T
  • Journal Title: Journal of Political Science & Public Affairs Volume: 5 Issue: 04 Pages: 1-6
  • DOI: 10.4172/2332-0761.1000290
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] 広域的放置駐輪問題を対象としたコミュニケーション施策の効果検証：松山市中心市街地における実践事例 (2017)
  • Author(s): 羽鳥剛史，佐藤桂子
  • Journal Title: 愛媛大学社会共創学部紀要 Volume: 1-1 Pages: 43-50
  • NAID: 120006527479
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] ANALYSIS OF DISASTER PREVENTION CONSCIOUSNESS OF PEOPLE TO TAKE A QUALIFICATION OF DISASTER PREVENTION EXPERT (2016)
  • Author(s): 二神透，羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. F6 (Safety Problem) Volume: 72 Issue: 2 Pages: I_15-I_20
  • DOI: 10.2208/jscejsp.72.I_15
  • NAID: 130005243665
  • ISSN: 2185-6621
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 実践まちづくり学習の意義と課題-松山アーバンデザインスクールを対象として- (2016)
  • Author(s): 片岡由香，羽鳥剛史，河内俊樹，直井玲子
  • Journal Title: 地域デザイン Volume: 8 Pages: 189-208
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] CRISIS MANAGEMENT AND DECISION STRUCTURE OF VOLCANIC DISASTER (2016)
  • Author(s): 羽鳥剛史・関克己・小林潔司・湧川勝巳
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management) Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_83-I_102
  • DOI: 10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_83
  • NAID: 130005435608
  • ISSN: 2185-6540
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] AN ANALYSIS OF PSYCHOLOGICAL FACTORS INFLUENCING SUSTAINABILITY OF CIVIC ACTIVITIES (2016)
  • Author(s): 羽鳥剛史，片岡由香，尾崎誠
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management) Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_407-I_414
  • DOI: 10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_407
  • NAID: 130005435623
  • ISSN: 2185-6540
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] DEVELOPMENT OF A LEARNING PROGRAM OF URBAN DEVELOPMENT PRACTICE AND ITS POSSIBILITY OF REGIONAL COLLABORATION—A CASE STUDY OF URBAN DESIGN SCHOOL IN MATSUYAMA CITY— (2016)
  • Author(s): 片岡由香，羽鳥剛史，羽藤英二
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management) Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_523-I_532
  • DOI: 10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_523
  • NAID: 130005435641
  • ISSN: 2185-6540
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] THE ROLES AND ISSUES OF NORMATIVE EVALUATION OF PUBLIC DELIBERATION (2016)
  • Author(s): 羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management) Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_21-I_39
  • DOI: 10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_21
  • NAID: 130005435529
  • ISSN: 2185-6540
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] COGNITIVE BIAS ON FLOOD DISASTER PRESUMPTION AND AN EFFECT OF HAZARD MAP WITH REFLECTIVE OPPORTUNITIES (2016)
  • Author(s): 羽鳥剛史
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management) Volume: 72 Issue: 3 Pages: 231-247
  • DOI: 10.2208/jscejipm.72.231
  • NAID: 130005416215
  • ISSN: 2185-6540
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Social Capital and Regional Learning Governance: A Japanese Perspective (2016)
  • Author(s): Kobayashi, K. and Hatori, T.
  • Journal Title: Handbook of Social Capital and Regional Development Volume: 1 Pages: 445-468
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] まちづくりの担い手育成プログラムと地域活性化への展開 ―松山アーバンデザインスクールの事例― (2018)
  • Author(s): 小川 直史，羽鳥 剛史，片岡 由香，尾﨑 信
  • Organizer: グローバルビジネス学会
• [Presentation] 集団意思決定場面における目的喪失に関する検討 (2018)
  • Author(s): 井出野尚, 坂上貴之, 藤井聡, 唐沢かおり, 羽鳥剛史, 林幹也, 高橋英彦, 玉利祐樹, 村上始, 竹村和久
  • Organizer: 早稲田大学意思決定研究所講演会
• [Presentation] 地域づくり組織の活動実態と学習過程に関する研究～西予市地域づくり交付金事業の事例～ (2018)
  • Author(s): 清水美朗, 羽鳥剛史
  • Organizer: 平成30年度土木学会四国支部技術研究発表会
• [Presentation] 公民学まちづくり拠点のプログラム評価手法の開発と適用に関する研究～松山アーバンデザインセンターにおけるロジックモデル作成事例～ (2018)
  • Author(s): 志田尚人, 羽鳥剛史, 尾崎信, 小野悠, 片岡由香, 小川直史
  • Organizer: 平成30年度土木学会四国支部技術研究発表会
• [Presentation] 公共政策に関わる保護価値と理解の錯覚に関する研究 (2018)
  • Author(s): 谷野秀夫, 羽鳥剛史
  • Organizer: 平成30年度土木学会四国支部技術研究発表会
• [Presentation] Social Psychological Approach in Civil Engineering (2017)
  • Author(s): Hatori, T.
  • Organizer: Nepal Engineers’ Association Talk Program
  • Place of Presentation: Kathmandu(Nepal)
  • Year and Date: 2017-03-10
  • Invited
• [Presentation] 会議における目的喪失に関する研究 (2017)
  • Author(s): 井出野尚, 坂上貴之, 藤井聡, 唐沢かおり, 羽鳥剛史, 林幹也, 高橋英彦, 玉利祐樹, 村上始, 竹村和久
  • Organizer: グループダイナミクス学会
• [Presentation] 松山アーバンデザインセンターによる公民学連携のまちづくり?設立から３年間の成果と今後の課題 (2017)
  • Author(s): 小野悠, 片岡由香, 羽鳥剛史, 羽藤英二
  • Organizer: 日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集（中国）
• [Presentation] 地域文化の真正性と地域学習に関する実践研究-新玉小学校を対象とした現代の『散策集』編纂の取り組み- (2017)
  • Author(s): 柳原捷吾, 羽鳥剛史
  • Organizer: 平成27年度土木学会四国支部技術研究発表会
• [Presentation] Personal Disaster Measure Card Intended to Stimulate Metacognition and Social Comparison -Development and Effectiveness- (2017)
  • Author(s): Mori, S. and Hatori, T.
  • Organizer: 4th Asian Conference on Urban Disaster Reduction
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] The Urban Design School in Matsuyama City: A Case Study of Experiential Learning and Community Collaboration (2017)
  • Author(s): Ono, H., Kataoka, Y., Hatori, T. and Kawauchi, T.
  • Organizer: 14th International Congress of Asian Planning Schools Association
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] 公共施設の統廃合に対する賛否意識の規定要因に関する研究 (2016)
  • Author(s): 神原明里，羽鳥剛史
  • Organizer: 第54回土木計画学研究発表会・秋大会
  • Place of Presentation: 長崎大学（長崎県長崎市）
  • Year and Date: 2016-11-22
• [Presentation] 目的から逸脱した会議の評価に関する検討 (2016)
  • Author(s): 井出野尚，坂上貴之，藤井聡，唐沢かおり，羽鳥剛史，林幹也，高橋英彦，玉利祐樹，村上始，竹村和久
  • Organizer: 日本社会心理学会第57回大会
  • Place of Presentation: 関西学院大学（兵庫県西宮市）
  • Year and Date: 2016-09-18
• [Presentation] Regional Performance, Stage Setting, and Authentication in Heritage Tourism (2016)
  • Author(s): Hatori, T.
  • Organizer: International Seminar on Crossroads of Cultures and Firms: From the Age of Discovery to the Age of Globalization
  • Place of Presentation: Lisbon(Portugal)
  • Year and Date: 2016-09-05
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Metacognitive Awareness of Unexpected Risk and a Method for its Promotion (2016)
  • Author(s): Hatori, T.
  • Organizer: International Congress of Psychology
  • Place of Presentation: パシフィコ横浜（神奈川県横浜市）
  • Year and Date: 2016-07-27
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] An effect of reflective opportunities on the changes in protected value (2016)
  • Author(s): Irwan, S., Aoyama, T., and Hatori, T.
  • Organizer: International Congress of Psychology
  • Place of Presentation: パシフィコ横浜（神奈川県横浜市）
  • Year and Date: 2016-07-27
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] 公的討議における間主観性の形成過程に関わる実験検討 (2016)
  • Author(s): 青山恒佳，岡本敦也，羽鳥剛史
  • Organizer: 第53回土木計画学研究発表会・春大会
  • Place of Presentation: 北海道大学（北海道札幌市）
  • Year and Date: 2016-05-29
• [Book] 選好形成と意思決定 (2018)
  • Author(s): 藤井聡，羽鳥剛史（西條辰義(監修), 竹村和久(編)）
  • Total Pages: 230
  • Publisher: 勁草書房
  • ISBN: 9784326349159