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Model for Predicting Malignancy in Patients with Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K09403
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Gastroenterology
Research InstitutionNational Cancer Center Japan (2017-2018)
Aichi Cancer Center Research Institute (2016)

Principal Investigator

Hijioka Susumu  国立研究開発法人国立がん研究センター, 中央病院, 医長 (50765394)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 清水 泰博  愛知県がんセンター(研究所), がん予防研究分野, 研究員 (40470166)
柳澤 昭夫  京都府立医科大学, 医学(系)研究科(研究院), 特任教授 (30137963)
大塚 隆生  九州大学, 医学研究院, 准教授 (20372766)
廣野 誠子  和歌山県立医科大学, 医学部, 講師 (60468288)
Research Collaborator Matsuo Keitaro  
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
KeywordsIPMN / 癌予測モデル / EUS / 壁在結節 / 外的妥当性 / AUC / 悪性予測モデル
Outline of Final Research Achievements

To create a simple, objective model to predict the presence of malignancy in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), which can be easily applied in daily practice and, importantly, adopted for any lesion types.The clinical details of 466 patients with IPMN who underwent pancreatic resection at 3 hospitals were retrospectively analyzed for model development. Then, the model was validated in 664 surgically resected patients at 8 hospitals in Japan.In the preoperative examination, endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) was considered to be essential to observe mural nodules in both the model development and external validation sets. Malignant IPMNs were defined as those with high-grade dysplasia and associated invasive carcinoma.
This predictive model provides important information for physicians and patients in assessing an individual's risk for malignancy and may help to identify patients who need surgery.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

膵管内乳頭粘液性腫瘍(IPMN)は、術前の良悪性診断が困難であるため、過剰に手術されてしまう傾向にある。この癌予測モデルは、汎用性の高い病型、結節径,嚢胞径を用いており実臨床においても測定可能であること、作成したモデルはこれまでにない多数の切除例において外的妥当性の検討も行っていることから信憑性が高いこと、スコア化したことにより、使いやすいことがこのモデルの特徴である。
これを使用することによって、IPMNはより適切な適応患者のみが手術を受けることができ、無用な手術を避けることが可能になると思われる。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (32 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 9 results,  Invited: 3 results) Book (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Usefulness of septal thickness measurement on endoscopic ultrasound as a predictor of malignancy of branched-duct and mixed-type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas2019

    • Author(s)
      Iwaya H, Hijioka S, Mizuno N, Kuwahara T, Okuno N, Tajika M, Tanaka T, Ishihara M, Hirayama Y, Onishi S, Ito A, Kuraoka N, Matsumoto S, Polmanee P, Shimizu Y, Yatabe Y, Niwa Y, Tamada K, Ido A, Hara K.
    • Journal Title

      Dig.Endosc

      Volume: 未 Issue: 6 Pages: 672-681

    • DOI

      10.1111/den.13408

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] New Model for Predicting Malignancy in Patients With Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm2018

    • Author(s)
      Shimizu Yasuhiro、Hijioka Susumu、Hirono Seiko、Kin Toshifumi、Ohtsuka Takao、Kanno Atsushi、Koshita Shinsuke、Hanada Keiji、Kitano Masayuki、Inoue Hiroyuki、Itoi Takao、Ueki Toshiharu、Matsuo Keitaro、Yanagisawa Akio、Yamaue Hiroki、Sugiyama Masanori、Okazaki Kazuichi
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Surgery

      Volume: 45 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-1

    • DOI

      10.1097/sla.0000000000003108

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Randomized clinical trial of duct-to-mucosa versus invagination pancreaticojejunostomy after pancreatoduodenectomy.2018

    • Author(s)
      Senda Y, Shimizu Y, Natsume S, Ito S, Komori K, Abe T, Matsuo K, Sano T.
    • Journal Title

      Br J Surg

      Volume: 105 Issue: 1 Pages: 48-57

    • DOI

      10.1002/bjs.10727

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Role of SpyGlass-DS tm in the preoperative assessment of pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm involving the main pancreatic duct2018

    • Author(s)
      Ohtsuka Takao、Gotoh Yoshitaka、Nakashima Yohei、Okayama Yoshifumi、Nakamura So、Morita Makiko、Aly Mohammed Y.F.、Velasquez Vittoria Vanessa D.M.、Mori Yasuhisa、Sadakari Yoshihiko、Nakata Kohei、Miyasaka Yoshihiro、Ishigami Kousei、Fujimori Nao、Mochidome Naoki、Oda Yoshinao、Shimizu Shuji、Nakamura Masafumi
    • Journal Title

      Pancreatology

      Volume: 18 Issue: 5 Pages: 566-571

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.pan.2018.04.012

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Revisions of International Consensus Fukuoka Guidelines for the management of IPMN of the pancreas2017

    • Author(s)
      ①Tanaka M, Fernandez-del Castillo C, Kamisawa T, Jang JY, Levy P, Ohtsuka T, Salvia R, Shimizu Y, Tada M, Wolfgang CL
    • Journal Title

      Pancreatology

      Volume: 17 Pages: 738-753

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 膵IPMNの経過観察2017

    • Author(s)
      伊東文子、肱岡 範、水野伸匡、原和生
    • Journal Title

      PharmaMedica

      Volume: 35巻 Pages: 13-18

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 今IPMNをどう診るか 膵液細胞診・EUS-FNAの適応、有用性2017

    • Author(s)
      肱岡範、清水泰博、水野伸匡、桑原崇通、奥野のぞみ、  田近正洋、田中努、石原誠、平山裕、大西祥代、千田嘉毅夏目誠治、平山貴視、近藤尚鳥山和浩、鈴木博貴、藤田曜渋谷仁、岩屋博道、伊東文子倉岡直亮、松本慎平、原和生
    • Journal Title

      肝胆膵

      Volume: 74 Pages: 587-595

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Cyst Management. Indication of surgery; Branch duct.2018

    • Author(s)
      Ohtsuka T, et al.
    • Organizer
      Pancreas 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Surveillance of the remnant pancreas after partial pancreatectomy for IPMN; Kyushu University experience.2018

    • Author(s)
      Ohtsuka T, et al.
    • Organizer
      52nd Annual Meeting of the Pancreas Club
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Management of IPMN based on IAP consensus guidelines.2018

    • Author(s)
      Ohtsuka T, et al.
    • Organizer
      13th International HepatoPancreatoBiliary Association World Congress
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] PD3: 分枝型IPMNの治療:手術 vs. 経過観察」・SpyGlassDS術式決定.2018

    • Author(s)
      大塚隆生
    • Organizer
      第49回日本膵臓学会大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Predictors of Malignancy in BD-IPMN - Mural Nodules as a Predictive Factor in the 2012 and 2017 Guideline Algorithms -2018

    • Author(s)
      Shimuzu Y, et al.
    • Organizer
      AOPA&KPBA&KPSC
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Surgical indication for BD-IPMN -Mural Nodule in Algorithm of 2012 & 2017 International Consensus Guidelines -2018

    • Author(s)
      Shimuzu Y, et al.
    • Organizer
      IHPBA 2018.
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Surgical indication for BD-IPMN  - Mural Nodule as a Predictive Factor in the 2012 & 2017 Guideline Algorithms -2018

    • Author(s)
      Shimuzu Y, et al.
    • Organizer
      日本膵臓学会2018.6.29 国際シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Optimal surveillance after surgical resection for IPMN2018

    • Author(s)
      Seiko Hirono, Manabu Kawai, Ken-ichi Okada, Motoki Miyazawa, Yuji Kitahata, Ryohei Kobayashi, Shinya Hayami, Norihiko Suzaki, Masaki Ueno, Hiroki Yamaue
    • Organizer
      IHPBA 2018.
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 膵管内乳頭粘液性腫瘍(IPMN)における外科的切除の至適タイミングについての検 討2018

    • Author(s)
      廣野誠子、川井 学、岡田健一、宮澤基樹、北畑裕司、小林良平、上野昌樹、速 水晋也、須崎紀彦、中森幹人、中村公紀、尾島敏康、柳澤昭夫、山上裕機
    • Organizer
      JDDW 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Factors associated with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma2018

    • Author(s)
      Seiko Hirono, Manabu Kawai, Ken-ichi Okada, Motoki Miyazawa, Yuji Kitahata, Ryohei Kobayashi, Shinya Hayami, Norihiko Suzaki, Masaki Ueno, Hiroki Yamaue
    • Organizer
      Pancreas 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Optimal operative procedures and lymph node dissection for IPMN patients based on surgical outcomes2018

    • Author(s)
      Seiko Hirono, Manabu Kawai, Ken-ichi Okada, Motoki Miyazawa, Yuji Kitahata, Ryohei Kobayashi, Shinya Hayami, Norihiko Suzaki, Masaki Ueno, Hiroki Yamaue
    • Organizer
      第30回日本肝胆膵外科学会、2018年6月、横浜、パネルディスカッション
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A high CEA level in the pancreatic juice associated with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma2018

    • Author(s)
      Seiko Hirono, Manabu Kawai, Ken-ichi Okada, Motoki Miyazawa, Yuji Kitahata, Ryohei Kobayashi, Shinya Hayami, Norihiko Suzaki, Masaki Ueno, Hiroki Yamaue
    • Organizer
      第78回日本癌学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Surgical indication and optimal surgical procedure for IPMN2018

    • Author(s)
      廣野誠子、川井 学、岡田健一、宮澤基樹、北畑裕司、小林良平、速水晋也、須 崎紀彦、中森幹人、中村公紀、尾島敏康、上野昌樹、山上裕機
    • Organizer
      第80回日本臨床外科学会 東京、2018年11月、国際シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 分岐型膵IPMNにおける壁肥厚径の癌化予測因子としての有効性について2017

    • Author(s)
      岩屋博道、肱岡範、原和生
    • Organizer
      第103回日本消化器病学会総会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 2012年IPMN国際診療ガイドラインの検証-”worrisome features"とBD-IPMNの手術適応-2017

    • Author(s)
      清水泰博、山上裕機、真口宏介、廣野誠子、千田嘉毅、夏目誠治、伊藤誠二、小森康司、安部哲也、柳澤昭夫
    • Organizer
      第117回日本外科学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] IPMNにおける新たな癌予測モデル作成2017

    • Author(s)
      清水泰博、山上裕機、真口宏介、廣野誠子、肱岡範、柳澤昭夫
    • Organizer
      第48回日本膵臓学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 新たなIPMN癌予測モデルの作成ーBD-IPMNの診断能ー2017

    • Author(s)
      清水泰博、山上裕機、真口宏介
    • Organizer
      JDDW2017FUKUOKA第25回日本消化器関連学会週間
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Verification of International Consensus Guidelines 2012-Surgical Indication for Branch Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas(BD-IPMN)with worrisone features2017

    • Author(s)
      Y.Shimizu, H.Yamaue, H.Maguchi, S.Hirono, S.Hijioka, K.Hara, T.Sano, Y.Senda, S.Natsume, A.Yanagisawa
    • Organizer
      ⑤25th United European Gastroenterology(UEG) Week Barcelona 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] IPMNにおける新たな癌予測モデル作成の取り組み2016

    • Author(s)
      清水泰博、山上裕機、真口宏介
    • Organizer
      Japan Digestive Disease Week 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸国際会議場(神戸市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] IPMNにおける壁肥厚所見の重要性2016

    • Author(s)
      肱岡 範、原 和生、清水泰博
    • Organizer
      Japan Digestive Disease Week 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸国際会議場(神戸市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The role of endoscopic ultrasound in early detection of pancreatic cancer2016

    • Author(s)
      Susumu Hijioka, Nozomi Okuno, Nobumasa Mizuno, Kazuo Hara
    • Organizer
      Asian Pacific Digestive Disease Week 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸国際会議場(神戸市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Book] 肝胆膵2018

    • Author(s)
      清水泰博、山上裕機、真口宏介、廣野誠子、千田嘉毅、夏目誠治、柳澤昭夫
    • Total Pages
      929
    • Publisher
      アークメディア
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 肝胆膵2018

    • Author(s)
      栗田裕介、原 和生、桑原崇通、水野伸匡、奥野のぞみ、松本慎平、孝田博輝、小畑雅寛、清水泰博、丹羽康正
    • Total Pages
      989
    • Publisher
      アークメディア
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 膵癌早期診断 実践ガイド2018

    • Author(s)
      肱岡 範
    • Total Pages
      152
    • Publisher
      文光堂
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] The Pancreas: An Integrated Textbook of Basic Science, Medicine, and Surgery2018

    • Author(s)
      Susumu Hijioka, Kazuo Hara, Nobumasa Mizuno, Nozomi Okuno, and Kenji Yamao
    • Total Pages
      1216
    • Publisher
      Wiley-Blackwell
    • ISBN
      9781119188391
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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