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Goal forecast in football games as bifurcation phenomena

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K12994
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Sports science
Research InstitutionNagoya University

Principal Investigator

YAMAMOTO YUJI  名古屋大学, 総合保健体育科学センター, 教授 (30191456)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 木島 章文  山梨大学, 大学院総合研究部, 教授 (10389083)
横山 慶子  名古屋大学, 総合保健体育科学センター, 講師 (30722102)
Research Collaborator SHIMA Hiroyuki  
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords集団ダイナミクス / 連成振動 / 優勢地形 / サッカー / 優勢値 / 力学系理論
Outline of Final Research Achievements

At first, we considered the movements of the defense lines and the ball during a football game as a three-coupled oscillation. We introduced a three-coupled oscillation model to understand synchronizations between the defense lines and the ball. As a result of a simulation, the three-coupled oscillations showed similar distributions of the relative phase to real matches. However, the periodogram showed distinct periodicity.
Next, we developed a new method to clarify the local characteristics of football games using a dominant landscape. The idea is founded on a Voronoi diagram. However, the new method is based on the temporal aspect, and the calculated minimum arrival times to all regions of the football field divided by a square meter for each player. We calculated the dominant values, which showed how long it would take for each of the six players on the two teams to reach the ball position in every frame. The results suggest that the initial value for goals would be more important.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

学術的意義としては,複雑に見えるサッカーという集団スポーツのダイナミクスを,巨視的視点からはディフェンスラインとボールという3連結振動子の連成振動として,微視的視点からは各選手のボールまでの到達時間によって生じる優勢地形として理解することの可能性を示唆したことである.
さらに社会的意義としては,サッカーという集団スポーツの見方を変えうる,つまり集団スポーツの本質的なおもしろさを伝えるための方法を開発したことである.通常は選手個々のプレーに目が向けられがちであるが,集団としての連携や競合といった側面を新たに呈示できれば集団スポーツの見方を変えることができる.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (11 results)

All 2018 2017 2016

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Open Access: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 5 results)

  • [Journal Article] Dominant landscape using minimum arrival time at football games2018

    • Author(s)
      山本裕二・横山慶子・木島章文
    • Journal Title

      総合保健体育科学

      Volume: 41 Issue: 1 Pages: 5-13

    • DOI

      10.18999/njhpfs.41.1.5

    • NAID

      120006488374

    • ISSN
      0289-5412
    • URL

      https://nagoya.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/26161

    • Year and Date
      2018-05-30
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] サッカーの攻防に潜む連成振動2017

    • Author(s)
      山本裕二・横山慶子・木島章文・島弘幸
    • Journal Title

      総合保健体育科学

      Volume: 40

    • NAID

      120006333797

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] A switching hybrid dynamical system: Toward understanding complex interpersonal behavior2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yamamoto
    • Organizer
      Complexity of Tactical Behavior in Sport
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] A switching hybrid dynamical system: Toward understanding complex interpersonal behavior2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yamamoto
    • Organizer
      Dynamics of Human Performance
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 対人・集団スポーツを組織化する情報2018

    • Author(s)
      山本裕二
    • Organizer
      情報学シンポジウム2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] サッカーゲームにおける優勢地形とボール動態2017

    • Author(s)
      山本裕二・横山慶子・木島章文
    • Organizer
      日本スポーツ心理学会第44回大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Understanding complex human behavior from a dynamical systems perspective2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yamamoto
    • Organizer
      ISSP 14th World Congress
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 競技経験が異なる観察者が持つサッカーの試合映像に観察視点に関する差異2017

    • Author(s)
      三澤孝康・木島章文
    • Organizer
      日本体育学会第68回大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] サッカーの攻防に潜む連成振動2016

    • Author(s)
      山本裕二・横山慶子・木島章文
    • Organizer
      日本体育学会第67回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪体育大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-25
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 連携技能の熟達差にかかわる協調力2016

    • Author(s)
      横山慶子・田渕規之・山本裕二
    • Organizer
      日本スポーツ心理学会第43回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      北星学園大学
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Understanding complex sports behavior: interpersonal competition and cooperation2016

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Yamamoto
    • Organizer
      The 23rd International Conference on Neural Information Processing Workshop on Novel Approaches of Systems Neuroscience to Sports and Rehabilitation
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto University
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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