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A behavioral economic investigation into crisis management manual as behavioral norm

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K13350
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Economic theory
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

Saito Makoto  一橋大学, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (10273426)

Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords非常時対応マニュアル / プロスペクト理論 / 現在バイアス / フレーミング / 時間的非整合性
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Based on a detailed analysis of Fukushima No.1 nuclear plant accident, which exploits publicly available documentations of the governmental accident investigation and the video-recorded conferences among the plant, the TEPCO headquarter, and the government, this study carries out intensively behavioral economic investigations into the compilation and implementation of crisis management. One of the most important elements for crisis management manuals is to carefully distinguish "relatively severe accidents" from "severest accidents," and to deliberately prepare manuals for each of the two types. Nevertheless, the TEPCO and the regulatory body classified the two types indiscriminately in advance, and failed to properly respond to the accident, which should have been considered "relatively severe," but was declared as "severest" at the very beginning of the accident. Accordingly, the accident indeed fell into a much more severe consequence than it should have.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All 2018 2017 2016

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Open Access: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 仮想将来世代との対話で現在世代の選好は変わるのか?2018

    • Author(s)
      齊藤誠
    • Journal Title

      学術の動向

      Volume: 2018年6月号

    • NAID

      130007497888

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Public Perceptions of Earthquake Risk and the Impact on Land Pricing: The Case of the Uemachi Fault Line in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Gu Tao、Nakagawa Masayuki、Saito Makoto、Yamaga Hisaki
    • Journal Title

      The Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: 69 Issue: 4 Pages: 1-20

    • DOI

      10.1111/jere.12173

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 危機に向き合うとは?:原発事故と徴候ベース手順書をめぐって2017

    • Author(s)
      齊藤誠
    • Journal Title

      世界

      Volume: 893号 Pages: 98-108

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 行動規範としての非常時対応マニュアル:福島第一原子力発電所事故からの教訓2016

    • Author(s)
      齊藤誠
    • Journal Title

      齊藤誠・野田博編著『非常時対応の社会科学:法学と経済学の共同の試み』(有斐閣)所収論文

      Volume: 単行本 Pages: 122-155

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 将来世代配慮型の討議と割引率低下の可能性2018

    • Author(s)
      齊藤誠
    • Organizer
      日本学術会議経済学委員会・環境学委員会合同フューチャー・デザイン分科会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 〈危機の領域〉非ゼロリスク社会における責任と納得2018

    • Author(s)
      齊藤誠
    • Total Pages
      480
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • ISBN
      9784326550814
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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