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Analysing risk perception by latent semantic analysis model and application to risk communication

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K17290
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Social psychology
Research InstitutionUniversity of Shizuoka (2017-2018)
The University of Tokyo (2016)

Principal Investigator

Tamari Yuki  静岡県立大学, 経営情報学部, 講師 (60737360)

Research Collaborator TAKEMURA kazuhisa  
IDENO takashi  
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywordsリスク認知 / 意思決定 / 過程追跡法 / 言語プロトコル法 / 決定方略 / トピックモデル / 描画法 / 社会的認知・感情
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Structures of risk perception in the decision-making process were considered from the perspective of decision strategies. Verbal protocol data were analyzed by using probabilistic latent semantic indexing and computer simulation of multi-attribute decision making. Topics assumed behind verbal protocol data were extracted, then decision strategies were estimated in each extracted topic. A combination of decision strategies, which is the most similar to the observed term frequency, was explored by using Jensen Shanon divergence. The results suggested that the proposed technique would reveal the structure of risk perception from the viewpoint of decision strategies. This method would facilitate risk communication and consensus building.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

これまで,意思決定の状況依存性を記述する様々な決定方略が見いだされてきたが,決定方略の推定方法は確立されておらず,定性的記述が主であると言える。本分析枠組みを用いることで、プロセスデータなどの背後にある情報処理の類型を、定量的に検討できる可能性が示唆された。また、リスクコミュニケーションにおいては、自分自身と相手のリスク認知の構造を把握することが肝要であると言える。本分析枠組みを用いることで、自分自身の情報処理の類型を、複数のトピック毎に把握できる可能性がある。これらの情報を呈示することで、リスクコミュニケーションにおける相互理解および合意形成の一助となることが期待される。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2019 2018 2016

All Presentation (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Presentation] Estimating decision strategies by using topic model and computer simulation2019

    • Author(s)
      Tamari, Y., Haraguchi, R., & Takemura, K.
    • Organizer
      Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making 2019
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] トピックモデルとシミュレーションによる潜在的決定方略の推定2019

    • Author(s)
      玉利祐樹・井出野尚・竹村和久
    • Organizer
      日本心理学会第83回大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Cognitive effort and accuracy of decision strategies that avoid bad decisions: A computer simulation2018

    • Author(s)
      Tamari, Y., Haraguchi, R., Takemura, K.
    • Organizer
      29th International Congress of Applied Psychology
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 確率的潜在意味解析とシミュレーションによる決定方略の推定2018

    • Author(s)
      玉利祐樹・井出野尚・竹村和久
    • Organizer
      日本心理学会第82回大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 描画と言語プロトコル法によるリスク判断の分析2016

    • Author(s)
      玉利祐樹・井出野尚・竹村和久
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会第44回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      札幌学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-30
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] リスク下での意思決定における確率荷重関数とその計量化2016

    • Author(s)
      竹村和久・村上始・玉利祐樹
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会第44回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      札幌学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-30
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Computer simulation study of decision strategies in which each attribute is dichotomous2016

    • Author(s)
      Tamari Y., Haraguchi, R., Ideno, T., Takemura, K.
    • Organizer
      31st International Congress of Psychology
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-24
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 福島における放射線リスクコミュニケーションの現状2016

    • Author(s)
      玉利祐樹
    • Organizer
      日本アイソトープ協会・放射線安全取扱部会年次大会 シンポジウムⅡ「最先端のガン治療と研究」
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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