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Clarifying the cause of the early twentieth century Arctic warming

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K17802
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Tokinaga Hiroki  京都大学, 白眉センター, 特定准教授 (80421890)

Research Collaborator XIE Shang-Ping  カルフォルニア大学サンディエゴ校, スクリップス海洋研究所, 教授
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Keywords北極温暖化 / 太平洋数十年規模振動 / 大西洋数十年規模振動 / 大気海洋相互作用 / 気候変動 / 海洋大気相互作用 / 太平洋数十年規模変動 / 大西洋数十年規模変動 / 太平洋十年規模振動
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purpose of this study is to clarify a mechanism for the early 20th century Arctic warming. We have performed (1) a statistical analysis with historical ocean-atmosphere observations, (2) numerical experiments with an atmospheric general circulation model, and (3) statistical analysis with CMIP5 pre-industrial control simulations. We found that both the Aleutian low and surface westerly winds over the Northern Eurasia intensify due to simultaneous negative-to-positive shifts of the Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal oscillations. These changes in atmospheric circulation enhance the warm advection over the high latitude regions, leading to the entire warming over the Arctic.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Invited: 2 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of California San Diego(米国)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Eastern Pacific ITCZ dipole and ENSO diversity2018

    • Author(s)
      Shang-Ping Xie, Qihua Peng, Youichi Kamae, Xiao-Tong Zheng, Hiroki Tokinaga, Dongxiao Wang
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: - Issue: 11 Pages: 4449-4462

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-17-0905.1

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Early 20th-century Arctic warming intensified by Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal variability2017

    • Author(s)
      Tokinaga Hiroki、Xie Shang-Ping、Mukougawa Hitoshi
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

      Volume: 114 Issue: 24 Pages: 6227-6232

    • DOI

      10.1073/pnas.1615880114

    • NAID

      120006325190

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 20世紀前半の北極圏温暖化に対する太平洋・大西洋数十年規模変動の影響2017

    • Author(s)
      時長 宏樹,謝 尚平, 向川 均
    • Journal Title

      平成28年度「異常気象と長期変動」研究集会報告

      Volume: - Pages: 73-76

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Influence of Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal variability on Arctic warming2017

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Tokinaga, Shang-Ping Xie, Hitoshi Mukougawa
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Early 20th century Arctic warming intensified by Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal variability2017

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Tokinaga, Shang-Ping Xie, Hitoshi Mukougawa
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Early 20th century Arctic warming intensified by Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal variability2017

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Tokinaga, Shang-Ping Xie, Hitoshi Mukougawa
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Tropical-subtropical Weather, Climate and Oceans
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 20世紀前半の北極圏温暖化に対する太平洋・大西洋数十年規模変動の影響2016

    • Author(s)
      時長 宏樹, 謝 尚平, 向川 均
    • Organizer
      平成28年度「異常気象と長期変動」研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学防災研究所 (京都府・宇治市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-09
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Patterns and influence of tropical ocean warming: Observations and simulations2016

    • Author(s)
      Tokinaga, H.
    • Organizer
      2nd JSPS Core-to-core SEASTAS and IWS 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Hanoi (Vietnam)
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-25
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 20世紀前半の北極圏温暖化に対する熱帯からの遠隔強制2016

    • Author(s)
      時長 宏樹, 謝 尚平, 向川 均
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ国際会議場 (千葉県・千葉市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 20世紀前半の北極圏温暖化、遠く離れた海洋の温度上昇が影響

    • URL

      http://www.kyoto-u.ac.jp/ja/research/research_results/2017/170530_1.html

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 京大、20世紀前半の北極圏温暖化を再現- 現在とは異なるメカニズムを発見

    • URL

      https://news.mynavi.jp/article/20170602-a107/

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 京都大、20世紀前半の北極圏温暖化メカニズムおよび自然変動の影響を解明

    • URL

      http://tenbou.nies.go.jp/news/jnews/detail.php?i=21681

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2022-06-07  

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