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A Non-linear Statistical Geometric Model of Shoppers' Purchase Behavior at Supermarkets

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K21504
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Management
Research InstitutionKansai University

Principal Investigator

KANEKO Yuta  関西大学, ソシオネットワーク戦略研究機構, PD (40770300)

Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords顧客動線データ / 動線可視化システム / スケーリング指数 / 消費者行動モデル / 売場レイアウト / デモグラフィック属性 / 隠れマルコフモデル / フラクタル次元 / 購買行動モデル / マルコフ確率場 / 状態空間モデル / t検定 / 消費者購買行動モデル / ロジスティック回帰 / 経営学 / 可視化 / 幾何学 / モデル化
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study, we developed a three-dimensional visualization system of shopping paths in a Japanese supermarket, defined the geometric complexity of shopping paths as an indicator, and, using a consumer behavior model, analyzed how they influence consumer purchases. Adding a time axis to the visualization made it possible to understand intuitively when customers would likely gather on a specific sales floor. Our consumer behavior model revealed that in the commodity category of fresh produce such as seafood and meat, customers became easier to buy products as the complexity of the shopping path increased. Results suggest that managers can encourage customer movement with displays and notifications targeted at shoppers who most often purchase specific commodities, such as housewives among family shoppers.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究は実店舗の消費者行動研究に幾何学的な視点を導入した点に学術的意義がある。本研究では以下の4つの点から消費者の店内購買行動を明らかにした。(1)顧客動線の3次元可視化システムの開発;(2)スケーリング指数による顧客動線の複雑度の定量化;(3)動線の複雑度を含む消費者行動の計量モデリング;(4)動線の複雑度と購買結果の関係性の推定と効果的な売場レイアウトの提言;本研究成果には、売場配置の再検討や店頭マーケティングの効率化など、経営施策改善のための示唆が含まれており、小売・流通業界へ貢献する社会的意義があると考えられる。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Bayesian Hidden Markov Model for Evaluating the Influence of In-Store Stationary Time of Customers on their Purchase Behavior2019

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Conference Proceedings

      Volume: 印刷確定 Pages: 1-7

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 視線追跡データ取得のための店舗実験と消費者行動の分析-消費者の注視情報から購買傾向を探る-2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Ken Ishibashi, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Journal Title

      経営システム

      Volume: 28 Pages: 103-108

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Do Sales Promotions Affect Dynamic Changes in Sales Outcomes: Estimation of Dynamic State of Product Sales2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Conference Proceedings

      Volume: 印刷確定

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] スケールの階層性から探るスーパーマーケットの消費者行動2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Journal Title

      オペレーションズ・リサーチ(経営の科学)

      Volume: 62 Pages: 807-814

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Influence of Customer Movement between Sales Areas on Sales Amount: A Dynamic Bayesian Model of the In-store Customer Movement and Sales Relationship2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Shinya Miyazaki, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Journal Title

      Procedia Computer Science

      Volume: 112 Pages: 1845-1854

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.procs.2017.08.225

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Fractal Dimension of Shopping Path: Influence on Purchase Behavior in a Supermarket2016

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Journal Title

      Procedia Computer Science, 2016

      Volume: 96 Pages: 1764-1771

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.procs.2016.08.225

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] Bayesian Hidden Markov Model for Evaluating the Influence of In-Store Stationary Time of Customers on their Purchase Behavior2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Organizer
      The 2018 IEEE 5th Asia-Pacific World Congress on Computer Science and Engineering
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Data Science for Analysis of Path Data in Marketing2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko
    • Organizer
      JST CREST: The 4th International Workshop on Innovative Algorithms for Big Data
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 視線追跡データを用いた消費者の店舗内購買行動の分析2018

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Ken Ishibashi, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Organizer
      経営情報学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Do Sales Promotions Affect Dynamic Changes in Sales Outcomes: Estimation of Dynamic State of Product Sales2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Organizer
      The 4th Asia-Pacific World Congress on Computer Science and Engineering 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Fractal Analysis of Shopping Paths2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko
    • Organizer
      The 3rd International Workshop on Innovative Algorithms for Big Data
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Influence of Customer Movement between Sales Areas on Sales Amount: A Dynamic Bayesian Model of the In-store Customer Movement and Sales Relationship2017

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kaneko, Shinya Miyazaki, Katsutoshi Yada
    • Organizer
      21st International Conference on Knowledge-Based and Intelligent Information & Engineering Systems
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Fractal Dimension of Shopping Path: Influence on Purchase Behavior in a Supermarket2016

    • Author(s)
      Y. Kaneko and K. Yada
    • Organizer
      20th International Conference on Knowledge Based and Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      York, United Kingdom
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-05
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Remarks] APWC on CSE 2018 開催報告

    • URL

      http://www2.kansai-u.ac.jp/dslab/notice/APWC2018b.html

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 関西大学データサイエンス研究センター

    • URL

      http://www2.kansai-u.ac.jp/dslab/

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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