| Budget Amount *help |
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
Infectious disease modeling has been successfully used in analyzing the epidemic data in real time and offering short term forecast. The present study aimed to establish a preparatory research response even in advance of an epidemic, focusing on methodological foundations including model building and feedback to empirical data collection. We had numerous chance to apply quantitative models to emerging and reemerging infectious disease epidemics including pneumonic plague in Madagascar, cholera in Yemen and diphtheria outbreak in Bangladesh. Building up the premodeling research response system, we excelled into case studies involving an analysis of various types of epidemic data.
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