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Destruction and Contamination in War: The Logic of Weapons Selection

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16KT0153
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section特設分野
Research Field Conflict Studies
Research InstitutionHokkaido University

Principal Investigator

KOHAMA Shoko  北海道大学, 大学院公共政策学連携研究部, 准教授 (90595670)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 大槻 一統  早稲田大学, 高等研究所, 講師 (00779093)
Project Period (FY) 2016-07-19 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords紛争 / 軍事戦略 / 数理モデル / 統計分析 / サーベイ実験 / 地雷 / 空爆 / 核兵器 / 政治経済学 / 非通常兵器 / 国際貢献
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research explored a mechanism of weapons selection during a war to offer an explanation for why certain conflict zones suffer intensely from particular forms of war damage, such as destruction by bombing and landmine contamination. We first developed a formal model in which adversaries seeking post-war rents choose between destructive and contaminating forms of fighting, depending on the nature of rents and their political institutions. The implications of the model were verified by a statistical analysis using the data on the Cambodian Civil War. The analysis demonstrated strong positive associations between agricultural productivity and the number of airstrikes, and between the proximity to gem deposits and landmine contamination. We also conducted a survey experiment and confirmed that respondents’ decision of employing nuclear arms in the context of a hypothetical nuclear war depends on the nature of rents and the size of their winning coalition.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

国際政治学には紛争中の軍事戦略の選択に関する研究群が存在するが、地雷や核兵器のような兵器について、長期的な汚染被害をふまえて使用のメカニズムを検討する理論・実証研究はほとんど存在しなかった。本研究はそうした学術上の不足を補うものである。また、国際社会には地雷や核兵器の使用や獲得を目指す国家・グループが未だ存在する。不使用・不拡散の規範を共有しない国家等による当該兵器の使用・開発を防ぐためには、意思決定者の政治・経済的な動機に働きかけるより他ない。本研究は、そうした為政者の直面する勝利と搾取のトレードオフ、使用を促進する条件、ターゲットとなりやすい地域を特定することで、将来の政策立案に寄与する。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (14 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (10 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results,  Invited: 2 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Bombing and Mining in War: Evidence from Cambodia2019

    • Author(s)
      KOHAMA, Shoko, OHTSUKI, Kazuto & TOMINAGA, Yasutaka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Global Security Studies

      Volume: ――

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Logic of Destruction and Contamination: A Political-Economic Approach2016

    • Author(s)
      KOHAMA, Shoko & OHTSUKI, Kazuto
    • Journal Title

      WIAS Discussion Paper

      Volume: No. 2016-003

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Boming and Mining in Civil War: Evidence from Cambodia2019

    • Author(s)
      KOHAMA, Shoko
    • Organizer
      Network for Education and Research on Peace and Sustainability Workshop
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Political Institutions and Nuclear Deterrence2019

    • Author(s)
      OHTSUKI, Kazuto
    • Organizer
      International Studies Association Annual Convention 2019
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Political Institutions and Nuclear Deterrence: Theory and Experiment2018

    • Author(s)
      KOHAMA, Shoko & OHTSUKI, Kazuto
    • Organizer
      European Political Science Association 8th Annual Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] How Political Institutions Affect Nuclear Deterrence: Theory and Experiment2018

    • Author(s)
      KOHAMA, Shoko & OHTSUKI, Kazuto
    • Organizer
      Waseda-Essex Scientific PoliSci/IR Collaboration and Exchange 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 戦時における兵器選択とレントシーキング:カンボジア内戦での空爆と地雷の使用2018

    • Author(s)
      小浜祥子・大槻一統
    • Organizer
      日本政治学会 2018年度総会・研究大会 B2【企画委員会企画】国際政治学と比較政治学の関係性と相互補完性
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Bombing and Mining in War: Evidence from Cambodia2017

    • Author(s)
      OHTSUKI, Kazuto, TOMINAGA, Yasutaka & KOHAMA, Shoko
    • Organizer
      Midwest Political Science Association 75th Annual Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Palmer House Hilton (Chicago, U.S.A.)
    • Year and Date
      2017-04-08
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 破壊と汚染の論理:政治経済的アプローチ2017

    • Author(s)
      大槻一統・小浜祥子
    • Organizer
      第2回早稲田ORIS若手国際シンポジウム「政治的対話と紛争の新しいパースペクティブ」
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学早稲田キャンパス(東京都新宿区)
    • Year and Date
      2017-01-21
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Bombing and Mining in War: Evidence from Cambodia2017

    • Author(s)
      KOHAMA, Shoko
    • Organizer
      International Studies Association International Conference 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Bombing and Mining in War: Evidence from Cambodia2017

    • Author(s)
      OHTSUKI, Kazuto
    • Organizer
      Midwest Political Science Association 75th Annual Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Bombing and Mining in War: Evidence from Cambodia2017

    • Author(s)
      OHTSUKI, Kazuto
    • Organizer
      European Political Science Association 7th Annual Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Remarks] 早稲田大学高等研究所 ディスカッション・ペーパー / 2016年度

    • URL

      http://www.waseda.jp/wias/achievement/dp/data/dp2016003.pdf

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 早稲田大学高等研究所 Monthly Spotlight / 大槻一統

    • URL

      http://www.waseda.jp/wias/researchers/monthly/spot_k_ohtsuki.html

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2016-07-20   Modified: 2023-03-08  

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