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Development of New Methods for Financial Market Risk Management based on a SoftApproach

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17500184
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionChiba Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

XU Chunhui  Chiba Institute of Technology, Faculty of Social Systems Science, Associate professor (70279058)

Project Period (FY) 2005 – 2007
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2007)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥1,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000)
KeywordsInvestment Management / Portfolio / Management of market risk / Value at Risk / Measurement of financial market risk / Securities investment / Optimization / Soft approach / リスクマネジメント
Research Abstract

This research solved the models built for financial investment with market risk measured by the Value at Risk (VaR), by using the soft approach that the head investigator has been advocating in recent years, thus provided a new way for managing market risk. And two models were proposed for managing portfolio dynamically, and their resolution methods were also provided. Furthermore, we demonstrated the validity of the proposed models and methods by conducting portfolio selection simulation and dynamic portfolio management simulation with real stock price data from the New York Stock Exchange market.
Concretely, the research investigated the following issues concerned with risk management in financial investment.
(1) Portfolio Selection : We gave a method for solving the portfolio optimization models with market risk measured by VaR using the soft approach. We also modeled the portfolio selection problems where market risk is measured from multiple views, and gave the resolution methods.
(2) Portfolio Rebalancing : We built optimization models for portfolio rebalancing problems by taking capital gain tax and transaction commission as rebalancing cost. And soft methods for solving these models were also given.
(3) Dynamic Portfolio Management : We proposed two models for managing portfolios dynamically. One is a multistage portfolio optimization model where rebalancing times are fixed in advance, while the other is a control-theoretical model where rebalancing times are not fixed. Soft methods for solving these models were provided.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2007 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2006 Annual Research Report
  • 2005 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (48 results)

All 2008 2007 2006 2005

All Journal Article (21 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 8 results) Presentation (27 results)

  • [Journal Article] Soft Method for Solving VaR based Portfolio Rebalancing Problems2008

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Journal Title

      千葉工業大学 研究報告 理工編 55

      Pages: 67-73

    • NAID

      40015978724

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report 2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Portfolio rebalancing with VaR as risk measure2008

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control 4, 9(in press)

      Pages: 9-9

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Soft method for solving VaR based portfolio rebalancing problems2008

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Journal Title

      Report of Chiba Institute of Technology 55

      Pages: 67-73

    • NAID

      40015978724

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Portfolio rebalancing with VaR as risk measure2008

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他2名
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control 4(9)

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Multistage portfolio optimization with VaR as risk measure2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他2名
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control 3(3)

      Pages: 709-724

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Soft Optimization Approach and Its Applications in Finance2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Journal Title

      千葉工業大学 研究報告 理工編 54

      Pages: 77-84

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Multistage portfolio optimization with VaR as risk measure2007

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C., Wang, J., Shiba, N
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control 3, 3

      Pages: 709-724

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Soft Optimization Approach and Its Applications in Finance2007

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Journal Title

      Report of Chiba Institute of Technology 54

      Pages: 77-84

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Multistage portfolio optimization with VaR as risk measure2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他2名
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control 3・4

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Soft Optimization Approach and Its Applications if Finance2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Journal Title

      千葉工業大学 研究報告 理工編 54

      Pages: 77-84

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Portfolio rebalancing with VaR as risk measure2006

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他3名
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control 4(9)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A soft approach for hard continuous optimization2006

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他1名
    • Journal Title

      European Jorunal of Operational Research 173(1)

      Pages: 18-29

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ポートフォリオマネジメント問題のモデル化とその解析2006

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他1名
    • Journal Title

      千葉工業大学 研究報告 理工編 53

      Pages: 69-75

    • NAID

      110004362174

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] A soft approach for hard continuous optimization2006

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C., Ng, P
    • Journal Title

      European Journal of Operational Research 173, 1

      Pages: 18-29

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Modeling of portfolio management problems and its resolution2006

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C., Wang, J
    • Journal Title

      Report of Chiba Institute of Technology 53

      Pages: 69-75

    • NAID

      110004362174

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] ポートフォリオマネジメント問題の定式化とその解析2006

    • Author(s)
      徐春暉, その他1名
    • Journal Title

      千葉工業大学 研究報告 理工編 53

      Pages: 69-75

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A method for timing analysis in investment2005

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他1名
    • Journal Title

      Intelligent Information Management Systems and Technology 1(1)

      Pages: 44-52

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A multi-stage stochastic model for portfolio management and its soft resolution method2005

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Journal Title

      Intelligent Information Management Systems and Technology 1(2)

      Pages: 243-251

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A method for timing analysis in investment2005

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C., Guo, K
    • Journal Title

      Intelligent Information Management Systems and Technology 1, 1

      Pages: 44-52

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] A multi-stage stochastic model for portfolio management and its soft resolution method2005

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Journal Title

      Intelligent Information Management Systems and Technology 1, 2

      Pages: 243-251

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] An optimization model for portfolio rebalancing problems and its soft solution method2005

    • Author(s)
      除春暉, その他1名
    • Journal Title

      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会冬季大会予稿集

      Pages: 1-16

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Soft Approach for Optimization in Portfolio Management2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Organizer
      The Second International Conference on Innovative Computing, Information and Control
    • Place of Presentation
      Kumamoto(Japan),Proc.of The Second In ternational Conference on ICIC(CD-ROM)
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] An Experiment of Control-theoretical Model in Dynamic Portfolio Management2007

    • Author(s)
      Wang, J., 徐 春暉 INOUE, A.
    • Organizer
      The Second International Conference on Innovative Computing, Information and Control
    • Place of Presentation
      Kumamoto(Japan),Proc.of The Second In ternalional Conference on ICIC(CD-ROM)
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Soft Approach for Optimization in Portfolio Management2007

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Organizer
      Proc. of The 2nd International Conference on Innovative Computing, Information and Control (CD-ROM)
    • Place of Presentation
      Kumamoto, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] A soft approach for solving mixed optimization models2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Organizer
      International Society for the Systems Sciences
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo,Proc.of The 51st annual meeting of ISSS(CD-ROM)
    • Year and Date
      2007-08-10
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Portfolio selection under multiple risk measures Sciences2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他2名
    • Organizer
      International Society for the Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo,Proc.of The 51st annual meeting of ISSS(CD-ROM)
    • Year and Date
      2007-08-10
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] A soft approach for solving mixed optimization models2007

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Organizer
      Proc. of The 51st annual meeting of the International Society for the Systems Sciences (CD-ROM)
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2007-08-10
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Portfolio selection under multiple risk measures2007

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C., Wang, J., Inoue, A
    • Organizer
      Proc. of The 51st annual meeting of the International Society for the Systems Sciences (CD-ROM)
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2007-08-10
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Modeling and optimization of Insurance pohcies Sciences2007

    • Author(s)
      P.R.Cahdonio Aguilar, 徐 春暉
    • Organizer
      International Society for the Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo,Proc.of The 51st annual meeting of ISSS(CD-ROM)
    • Year and Date
      2007-08-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Modeling and optimization of Insurance policies2007

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Organizer
      Proc. of The 51st annual meeting of the International Society for the Systems Sciences (CD-ROM)
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2007-08-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Portfolio selection under multiple risk measures2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉、 その他2名
    • Organizer
      International Society for theSystems Sciences
    • Place of Presentation
      Proc.of The 51st annual meeting of ISSS,Tokyo.
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Soft Approach for Optimization in Portfolio Management2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Organizer
      The Second International Conference on Innovative Computing, Information and Control
    • Place of Presentation
      Proc.of The Second International Conference on ICIC,Kumamoto,Japan.
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] An Experiment of Control-theoretical Model in Dynamic Portfolio Management2007

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他2名
    • Organizer
      The Secnd International Conference on Innovative Computing, Information and Control
    • Place of Presentation
      Proc.of The Second International Conference on ICIC,Kumamoto,Japan.
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Comparisons of Active and Passive Portfolio Selection Strategies2006

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他2名
    • Organizer
      The 8th Int.Conference on Industrial Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Qimgdao(China), Proc.of the 8th Int.Conference on IM
    • Year and Date
      2006-09-21
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Comparisons of Active and Passive Portfolio Selection Strategies2006

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C., Wang, J., Shiba, N
    • Organizer
      Proc. of the 8th Int. Conference on Industrial Management, 332-337. Qingdao
    • Place of Presentation
      China
    • Year and Date
      2006-09-21
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] An Experiment of Control-theoretical Model in Dynamic Portfolio Management2006

    • Author(s)
      Wang, J., Xu, C., INOUE, A
    • Organizer
      Proc. of The 2nd International Conference on Innovative Computing, Information and Control (CD-ROM)
    • Place of Presentation
      Kumamoto, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2006-09-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Optimization in Portfolio Rebalancing and Its Soft Solution Method2006

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Organizer
      INFORMS
    • Place of Presentation
      Hongkong
    • Year and Date
      2006-06-26
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Optimization in Portfolio Rebalancing and Its Soft Solution Method2006

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Organizer
      Presentation at INFORMS International
    • Place of Presentation
      Hongkong
    • Year and Date
      2006-06-26
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] An optimization model for portfolio rebalancing peoblems and its soft solution method2005

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他1名
    • Organizer
      日本金融、証券計量、工学学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京、冬季大会予稿集
    • Year and Date
      2005-12-04
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] An optimization model for portfolio rebalancing problems and its soft solution method2005

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C., Cai, H
    • Organizer
      Proc. of the Fall National Conference of JAFEE
    • Year and Date
      2005-12-04
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Decision support systems for mouse-clickers2005

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Organizer
      International Federation for Systems Research
    • Place of Presentation
      Kobe(Japan),Proc.of the 1st World Congress of the IFSR
    • Year and Date
      2005-11-15
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Decision support systems for mouse-clickers2005

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Organizer
      Proc. of the 1st World Congress of the Int. Federation for Systems Research
    • Place of Presentation
      Japan
    • Year and Date
      2005-11-15
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] A soft approach for VaR-based portfolio management2005

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Organizer
      INFORS
    • Place of Presentation
      Hawaii(USA)
    • Year and Date
      2005-07-13
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] A soft approach for VaR-based portfolio management2005

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Organizer
      Presentation at the 17th Triennial Conference of the Int. Federation of Operational Research Societies
    • Place of Presentation
      Hawaii, USA
    • Year and Date
      2005-07-13
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] A multi-stage stochastic model for portfolio management and its soft resolution method2005

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉
    • Organizer
      Int.Institute of General Systems Studies
    • Place of Presentation
      Shanghai(China)
    • Year and Date
      2005-03-26
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] A method for timing analysis in investment2005

    • Author(s)
      徐 春暉, その他1名
    • Organizer
      Int.Institute of General Systems Studies
    • Place of Presentation
      Shanghai(China)
    • Year and Date
      2005-03-26
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] A multi-stage stochastic model for portfolio management and its soft resolution method2005

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C
    • Organizer
      Presentation at the Workshop on Intelligent Information Management Systems and Technology, Int. Institute of General Systems Studies
    • Place of Presentation
      Shanghai, China
    • Year and Date
      2005-03-26
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] A method for timing analysis in investment2005

    • Author(s)
      Xu, C., Guo, K
    • Organizer
      Presentation at the Workshop on Intelligent Information Management Systems and Technology, Int. Institute of General Systems Studies
    • Place of Presentation
      Shanghai, China
    • Year and Date
      2005-03-26
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary

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Published: 2005-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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