| Budget Amount *help |
¥2,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥1,800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000)
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| Research Abstract |
1.In order to make a model for social vulnerability/resilience against environmental problems, the concept of social memory in the "adaptive cycle model" (developed by Holling et al.) is re-constructed by incorporating recent arguments on collective memories in history and sociology.
2.Articles concerning "climate change" appeared in popular magazines are extracted from the archive of "Oya Soichi Bunko" and digitized, and then the texts are made to be a corpus for content analysis. The corpus consists of 275,609 words of 27,105 sentences derived from 413 articles. In addition, publication dates are categorized to three phases, i.e., 1^<st> (1988-96), 2^<nd> (1997-2000), and 3^<rd> (2001-05) phase, according to the pattern of publications that corresponds to topical events.
3.Content analysis is performed on the corpus by using Text Mining Studio, employing correspondence analysis with publication phases and journal categories, and also network analysis of co-occurring words with specific keywords. It appeared that "remember" of pre-existing problems, such as the issues on food security, energy resources and the Cold War, was conspicuous at the 1st phase, though the diversity of such resources of discourses has diminished at the 2^<nd> and 3^<rd> phases, namely after the Kyoto Protocol. As a result of the transformation of discourses, it is revealed that the problem of the "climate change" may has been re-constructed as an issue of international politics concerning states' energy policies, which alienate ordinary people from the problems.
4.Besides, a network analysis of co-occurring words with the Cold War and nuclear weapons suggests that the social memories on the risks of possible nuclear war played some role on the present discourses concerning "climate change".
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