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Risk Averse Behavior toward Natural Disaster and Real Estate Pricing : Evidence from Earthquakes and Floods

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17530140
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Economic theory
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

SAITO Makoto  Hitotsubashi University, Graduate School of Economics, Professor, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (10273426)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) NAKAGAWA Masayuki  Nihon University, Faculty of Economics, Professor, 経済学部, 教授 (70324853)
YAMADA Hisaki  Tsukuba University, Graduate School of Social Engineering, 大学院システム情報工学研究科, 講師 (50334032)
Project Period (FY) 2005 – 2006
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2006)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥2,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000)
Keywordsnatural disaster risk / land pricing / risk averse hebavior / disaster prevention policy / hedonic pricing approach / flood risk / earthquake risk
Research Abstract

This project has yielded the following three outcomes in regard to the relationship between natural disaster risks and real estate pricing.
Firstly, we have successfully published in important English refereed journals, our continuing research on the relationship between earthquake risks and real estate pricing based on Tokyo metropolitan data. Nakagawa, Saito, and Yamaga (2007, forthcoming in Japanese Economic Review) present evidence for negative impacts of earthquake risks on land pricing, and demonstrate that the estimated impact is consistent with predictions from standard expected utility theory. Nakagawa et al. (2007, Regional Science and Urban Economics), on the other hand, show that earthquake-risk mitigation investment is beneficial for owners who operate apartment buildings in less robust areas based on the empirical study concerning the relationship between earthquake risks and apartment rents
Secondly, we have built a geographic infromation database to empirically explore the relationship between flood risks and land pricing. More concretely, we translate both the flood hazard map compiled by Aichi Prefecture and the official land prices into GIS-based data. Using this database, we will investigate how land prices responded to Tokai Floods that occurred in 2000, and how land prices have been influenced by several flood prevention measures which were implemented by local governments (mainly by Nagoya city).
Thirdly, based on the above empirical investigation, Makoto Saito, head investigator, contributed several articles on natural disaster prevention policies to newspapers and magazines

Report

(3 results)
  • 2006 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2005 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (28 results)

All 2007 2006 2005

All Journal Article (28 results)

  • [Journal Article] Earthquake risks and housing rents : Evidence from the Tokyo Metropolitan Area2007

    • Author(s)
      Masayuki Nakagawa, Makoto Saito, Hisaki Yamaga
    • Journal Title

      Regional Science and Urban Economics 37巻1号

      Pages: 87-99

    • NAID

      120000815109

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report 2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Earthquake risks and land prices : Evidence from the Tokyo Metropolitan Area2007

    • Author(s)
      Masayuki Nakagawa, Makoto Saito, Hisaki Yamaga
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review (近刊)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 交通社会資本の危機管理とリスク・マネジメント2007

    • Author(s)
      齊藤 誠
    • Journal Title

      IATSS REVIEW 32巻2号(近刊)

    • NAID

      10019543486

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report 2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Resale Externality and Used Housing Market2007

    • Author(s)
      Iwata, Shinichiro, Hisaki Yamaga
    • Journal Title

      Real Estate Economics (近刊)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report 2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 犯罪発生の地域的要因と地価への影響に関する分析2007

    • Author(s)
      沓澤 隆司, 山鹿 久木, 水谷 徳子, 大竹 文雄
    • Journal Title

      日本経済研究 56号

      Pages: 70-91

    • NAID

      40015405287

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Earthquake risks and land prices : Evidence from the Tokyo Metropolitan Area2007

    • Author(s)
      Nakagawa, Masayuki, Makoto Saito, Hisaki Yamaga
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review (forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Earthquake risks and housing rents : Evidence from the Tokyo Metropolitan Area2007

    • Author(s)
      Nakagawa, Masayuki, Makoto Saito, Hisaki Yamaga
    • Journal Title

      Regional Science and Urban Economics 37, 1

      Pages: 87-99

    • NAID

      120000815109

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Kotsu Shakai Shihon no Kiki Kanri to Risk Management2007

    • Author(s)
      Saito, Makoto
    • Journal Title

      IATSS Review (forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Resale Externality and Used Housing Market2007

    • Author(s)
      Iwata, Shinichiro, Hisaki Yamaga
    • Journal Title

      forthcoming in Real Estate Economics

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Hanzai Hassei no Chikiteki Yoin to Chika heno Eikyo ni kansuru Bunseki2007

    • Author(s)
      Kutsusawa, Ryuji, Hisaki Yamaga, Tokuko Mizutani, Fumio Ohtake
    • Journal Title

      Nihon Keizai Kenkyu 56

      Pages: 70-91

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 犯罪発生の地域的要因と地価への影響に関する分析2007

    • Author(s)
      沓澤 隆司, 山鹿 久木, 水谷 徳子, 大竹 文雄
    • Journal Title

      日本経済研究 (近刊)

    • NAID

      40015405287

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Earthquake resks and land prices : Evidence from the Tokyo Metropolitan Area2007

    • Author(s)
      Masayuki Nakagawa, Makoto Saito, Hisaki Yamaga
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review (近刊)

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] On effects of the Hyogo earthquake on household consumption : A note2006

    • Author(s)
      Miki, Kohara, Fumio Ohtake, Makoto Saito
    • Journal Title

      Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics 47巻2号

      Pages: 219-228

    • NAID

      110007629897

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 政府も企業も家計も災害リスク管理にお金をかけよ2006

    • Author(s)
      齊藤 誠
    • Journal Title

      中央公論 3月号

      Pages: 134-143

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On effects of the Hyogo earthquake on household consumption : A note2006

    • Author(s)
      Kohara, Miki, Fumio Ohtake, Makoto Saito
    • Journal Title

      Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics 47, 2

      Pages: 219-228

    • NAID

      110007629897

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Seifu mo Kigyo mo Kakei mo Saigai Risk Kanri ni Okane wo Kakeyo2006

    • Author(s)
      Saito, Makoto
    • Journal Title

      Chuo Koron March

      Pages: 134-143

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On effects of the Hyogo earthquake on household consumption : A note2006

    • Author(s)
      Miki, Kohara, Fumio Ohtake, MakotoSaito
    • Journal Title

      Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics 47巻2号

      Pages: 219-228

    • NAID

      110007629897

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 政府も企業も家計も災害リスク管理にお金をかけよ2006

    • Author(s)
      齋藤 誠
    • Journal Title

      中央公論 3月号

      Pages: 134-143

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 災害対策と危険回避行動2005

    • Author(s)
      中川雅之
    • Journal Title

      都市住宅学 50号

      Pages: 3-8

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary 2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] リスクファイナンスの役割 : 災害リスクマネジメントにおける市場システムと防災政策2005

    • Author(s)
      齊藤 誠
    • Journal Title

      防災の経済分析(多田納裕一・高木朗義編著)(勤草書房) (所収)

      Pages: 88-106

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 低水準居住住宅の推移2005

    • Author(s)
      中川雅之
    • Journal Title

      日本不動産学会誌 71号

      Pages: 58-64

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary 2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 住宅所有者の転売とリフォーム2005

    • Author(s)
      岩田真一郎, 山鹿久木
    • Journal Title

      都市住宅学 51号

      Pages: 23-28

    • NAID

      130002589094

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary 2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Saigai Taisaku to Kiken Kaihi Kodo2005

    • Author(s)
      Nakagawa, Masayuki
    • Journal Title

      Toshi Jyutakugaku 50

      Pages: 3-8

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Risk Finance no Yakuwari2005

    • Author(s)
      Saito, Makoto
    • Journal Title

      Bosai no Keizaibunseki(Tadano, Y. and A.Takagi)(Keiso Shobo)(Tokyo)

      Pages: 88-106

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Teisuijyun Kyojyu Jyutaku no Suii2005

    • Author(s)
      Nakagawa, Masayuki
    • Journal Title

      Nihon Fudosan Gakkaishi ll

      Pages: 58-64

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Jyutaku Shoyusha no Tenbai to Reform2005

    • Author(s)
      Iwata, Shinichiro, Hisaki Yamaga
    • Journal Title

      Toshi Jyutakugaku 15

      Pages: 23-28

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Earthquake risks and housing rents : Evidence from the Tokyo Metropolitan Area2005

    • Author(s)
      Masayuki Nakagawa, Makoto Saito, Hisaki Yamaga
    • Journal Title

      Center of Excellence, (Hitotsubashi University,)(Discussion Paper Series) 111

      Pages: 21-21

    • NAID

      120000815109

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] リスクファイナンスの役割:災害リスクマネジメントにおける市場システムと防災政策2005

    • Author(s)
      齋藤 誠
    • Journal Title

      防災の経済分析(多田納裕一・高木朗義編著)(勁草書房) (所収)

      Pages: 88-106

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2005-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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