| Budget Amount *help |
¥3,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥2,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000)
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| Research Abstract |
This research project aims to econometrics analysis of Japanese economy of trinity fiscal reform and aging society, and Chinese economy of population migration and GDP gap.
I carried out two degrees academic investigation (2005, 2006) of population migration and regulations specified in the wage system of a migrant worker in China; Beijing and Tianjin City, and Guangdong, Yunnan and Guangxi Province. This regional choice covers main areas in China that are (1) coastal area that is the most growing and inflow area, central area and inland. area that is stagnation and the most outflow area, and (2) "Three Major Areas of Coastal Area" that are Beijing area, Shanghai area and Guangdong area (Shanghai area conducts non-investigation).
Aichi Prefecture model: I made 137 variables (1975-2003, 1995 price), to build a model (37 functions, 27 definition functions) and long-term prediction by some of simulation analysis (2004-2015).
Chinese model: I made 325 and 217 variables (1978-2004, 1990 price) of (1) main four areas that is Beijing area, Shanghai area, Guangdong area and Sichuan area, (2) three areas that is coastal area, central area and inland area. And I build a three areas model (10 population migration functions, 12 labor productivity functions, 12 labor functions and 60 definition functions), and I analyzed to the influence of population migration and GDP gap by some of simulations.
In this study, I apply a measurement model for PERT to check possibility of human resources limitation sufficiency from the development targeted value. Therefore, I can exhibit whether importance of which field rises about an arbitrary period and, about future Japanese and Chinese economic assistance, can give an ideal method of effective cooperation an indicator.
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