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Statistical Analysis and Modeling of the Characteristics of the Term Structure and Interest Rates.

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17530239
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionYokohama National University

Principal Investigator

KURASAWA Motonari  Yokohama National University, International Graduate School of Social Sciences, professor (40018057)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KOBAYASHI Masahito  Yokohama National University, Fuculty of Economics, professor (60170354)
MORITA Hiroshi  Yokohama National University, Fuculty of Business Adoministration, professor (70239664)
Project Period (FY) 2005 – 2007
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2007)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,570,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥1,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000)
KeywordsInterest rates / behavioral finance / GARCH / Portfolio / dynamic factor model / 債券価格 / カルマンフィルター / ジャンプ / Stochastic Volatility / EGARCH
Research Abstract

In Kurasawa's research the price of securities is analyzed from the view point of behavioral finance, since it is closely related to interest rates. In actual markets, institutional restrictions to be neglected in theoretical analysis can affect the behavior of the market participants and the interest rates and security prices. In Kobayashi's research stochastic volatility models and GARCH models are considered and obtained a Lagrange multiplier test for the latter against the former, noting that the former model nests the latter model in it. He also obtained a test for the presence of jumps by including jumps in GARCH and Stochastic models. He also considered a test for single factor model for interest rates.
Morita considered the pension portfolio problem when the interest rates vary stochastically. He also considered the optimal portfolio under some mathematical assumptions. This research was published in Modern Finance after revewing. He also considered the modeling of interest rates in the presence of latent variables and checked the consistency between the theoretical characteristics and the s actual behavior of interest rates.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2007 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2006 Annual Research Report
  • 2005 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (20 results)

All 2008 2007 2006 2005

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (13 results)

  • [Journal Article] 年金債務が確率的に変動するときの最適年金ポートフォリオ2008

    • Author(s)
      桂眞一
    • Journal Title

      現代ファイナンス 23

      Pages: 61-89

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report 2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Pension Portfolio when Interest rates vary stochastically2008

    • Author(s)
      Shinichi, Katsura
    • Journal Title

      Modern Finance(peer reviewed) Vol.23

      Pages: 61-89

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Testing for Volatility Jumps in the Stochastic Volatility Process2006

    • Author(s)
      Masahito Kobayashi
    • Journal Title

      Asia-Pacific Financial Markets 12

      Pages: 143-157

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Testing for Volatility Jumps in the Stochastic Volatility process2006

    • Author(s)
      Masahito, Kobayashi
    • Journal Title

      Asia-Pacific Financial Markets(peer reviewed) Vol.12

      Pages: 143-157

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Testing for Volatility Jumps in the Stochastic Volatility Process2006

    • Author(s)
      Masahito Kobayashi
    • Journal Title

      Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Vol.12, No.2

      Pages: 143-157

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Testing for EGARCH Against Stochastic Volatility Models2005

    • Author(s)
      Masahito Kobayashi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis 26

      Pages: 135-150

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Testing for EGARCH Against Stochastic Volatility Models2005

    • Author(s)
      Masahito, Kobayashi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis(peer reviewed) Vol.26

      Pages: 135-150

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] The Interest Rate Determination when Economic Variables are Partially Observable2008

    • Author(s)
      森田洋
    • Organizer
      横浜国立大学・南山大学共同ファイナンス・ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜
    • Year and Date
      2008-02-16
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report 2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] The Interest Rate Determination when Economic Variables are Partially Observable2008

    • Author(s)
      H, Morita
    • Organizer
      YNU-Nanzan University Joint International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Yokohama
    • Year and Date
      2008-02-16
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Investor Confidence, Short-Sales Constraints, and the Behavior of Security Prices2007

    • Author(s)
      Grzegorz Mardyala.
    • Organizer
      行動経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学中ノ島センター
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-16
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Investor Confidence, Short-Sales Constraints and the Beha-vior of Security Prices2007

    • Author(s)
      G, MArdyala
    • Organizer
      Nippon Kodo Keizai Gakkai
    • Place of Presentation
      Osaka, Nakano-shima
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-16
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Testing for a Dynamic Single-Factor Model2007

    • Author(s)
      小林正人
    • Organizer
      International Congress on Modelling and Simulation
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Canterbury(ニュージーランド)
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-12
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Testing for a Dynamic Single-Factor Model2007

    • Author(s)
      M, Kobayashi
    • Organizer
      International Congress on Modelling and Simulation
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Canterbury(Christchurch)
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-12
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Testing for a Dynamic Single-Factor Model2007

    • Author(s)
      小林正人
    • Organizer
      International Congress on Modelling and Simulation
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Canterbury (ニュージーランド)
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-12
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Testing for Jumps in the EGARCH Process2007

    • Author(s)
      小林正人
    • Organizer
      the International Workshop on Quantitative Finance and Risk
    • Place of Presentation
      中興大学(台湾)
    • Year and Date
      2007-07-15
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Testing for Jumps in the EGARCH Process2007

    • Author(s)
      M, Kobayashi
    • Organizer
      The International Workshop on Quantitative Finance and Risk
    • Place of Presentation
      Zhongxin University
    • Year and Date
      2007-07-15
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] :Testing for jumps in the EGARCH process2007

    • Author(s)
      小林正人
    • Organizer
      the International Workshop on Quantitative Finance and Risk
    • Place of Presentation
      中興大学(台湾)
    • Year and Date
      2007-07-15
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 転換社債によるコントロール・ライトの配分とその役割-ベンチャー企業の資金調達において-2007

    • Author(s)
      倉澤資成
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-06-03
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Distribution of Control Rights in Finance of Venture Company2007

    • Author(s)
      M, Kurasawa
    • Organizer
      Nippon Keizai Gakkai
    • Place of Presentation
      Osaka Gakuin University
    • Year and Date
      2007-06-03
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 転換社債によるコントロール・ライトの配分とその役割-ベンチャー企業の資金調達において-.2007

    • Author(s)
      倉澤資成
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-06-03
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2005-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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