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Predictability of the Interannual Variability in the Baiu Frontal Activity

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17540413
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
Research InstitutionKumamoto University

Principal Investigator

TOMITA Tomohiko  Kumamoto University, 大学院・自然科学研究科, 准教授 (20344301)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 安成 哲三  名古屋大学, 地球水循環研究センター, 教授 (80115956)
斉藤 和之  熊本大学, 地球環境フロンティア研究センター・水循環, 研究員 (70419133)
吉兼 隆生  熊本大学, 地球環境フロンティア研究センター・水循環, 研究員 (40392964)
日下 博幸  筑波大学, 大学院・生命環境科学研究科, 講師 (10371478)
Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) YASUNARI Tetsuzo  名古屋大学, 地球水循環研究センター, 教授 (80115956)
SAITO Kazuyuki  地球環境フロンティア研究センター, 研究員 (70419133)
YOSHIKANE Takao  地球環境フロンティア研究センター, 研究員 (40392964)
KUSAKA Hiroyuki  筑波大学, 大学院・生命環境科学研究科, 講師 (10371478)
Research Collaborator YAMAURA Tsuyoshi  熊本大学, 大学院・自然科学研究科, 大学院生
HASHIMOTO Tetsuhiro  熊本大学, 大学院・自然科学研究科, 大学院生
SAKAMOTO Yuichi  熊本大学, 理学部, 学部生
Project Period (FY) 2005 – 2008
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2008)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000)
Keywords梅雨 / 気候変動 / 環境変動 / 水循環 / 地球変動予測 / 経年変動
Research Abstract

本研究計画では、我が国の夏季水資源管理にとって重要な梅雨降水の年々変動特性、関連する大規模大気循環場、そして西太平洋における大気海洋相互作用の役割を議論する。主な研究成果は、(1)黒潮域の大気海洋相互作用が10 年規模の梅雨前線活動に及ぼす影響を明らかにした点、(2)エルニーニョ/南方振動現象が梅雨前線の北進中にその活動度をいかに変質させるか、を解明した点、そして(3)梅雨前線活動に2-3 年周期、3-4 年周期、そして新たに6 年周期変動の卓越を見出し、各時空間変動特性を明らかにした点、の3 点である。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2008 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2007 Annual Research Report
  • 2006 Annual Research Report
  • 2005 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (37 results)

All 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Other

All Journal Article (15 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results) Presentation (18 results) Remarks (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Interannual Variation in the Seasonal Northward Movement of the Baiu Front in the Western North Pacific.2009

    • Author(s)
      Tomi ta, T.
    • Journal Title

      International MAHASRI/HyARC Workshop on Asian Monsoon 1

      Pages: 85-95

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 黒潮域における初夏海面熱フラックスの数十年規模変動とその梅雨前線活動への影響月刊海洋2008

    • Author(s)
      冨田智彦、佐藤弘康、野中正見、原政之、山浦剛
    • Journal Title

      総特集、中緯度海洋前線域における大気海洋相互作用 49

      Pages: 159-164

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 黒潮域における初夏表面熱フラックスの数十年規模変動とその梅雨前線活動に与える影響2008

    • Author(s)
      冨田 智彦
    • Journal Title

      月刊 「海洋」 (印刷中)

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Interdecadal variability of the early summer surface heat flux in the Kuroshio region and its impact on the Baiu frontal activity2007

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T., H. Sato, M. Nonaka, and M. Hara
    • Journal Title

      Geophys. Res.Lett., 34

    • NAID

      40016179421

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Thermal and geometric controls on the rate of surface air temperature changes in a medium-size, mid-latitude city2007

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T., H. Kusaka, R. Akiyoshi, and Y. Imasato,
    • Journal Title

      J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol 46

      Pages: 241-247

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Interdecadal variability of the early summer surface heat flux in the Kuroshio region and its impact on the Baiu frontal activity2007

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T.
    • Journal Title

      Geophvsical Research Letters 34

    • NAID

      40016179421

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Interdecadal variability of the early summer surface heat flux in the Kuroshio region and its impact on the Baiu frontal activity.2007

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T., H.Sato, M.Nonaka, M.Hara
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters 印刷中

    • NAID

      40016179421

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Thermal and geometric controls on the rate of surface air temperature changes in a medium-size, mid-latitude city.2007

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T., H.Kusaka, R.Akiyoshi, Y.Imasato
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 46

      Pages: 241-247

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Upper-ocean mixed layer and the wintertime sea surface temperatureanomalies in the North Pacific2006

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T. and M. Nonaka
    • Journal Title

      J. Climate 19

      Pages: 300-307

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 梅雨前線活動の10 年規模変動月刊海洋2006

    • Author(s)
      冨田智彦、佐藤弘康
    • Journal Title

      総特集、夏季気候変動-冷夏猛暑に代表される夏季異常気象研究の統合- 44

      Pages: 176-182

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 梅雨前線活動の10年規模変動2006

    • Author(s)
      冨田智彦, 佐藤弘康
    • Journal Title

      月刊海洋(総特集、夏季気候変動-冷夏猛暑に代表される夏季異常気象研究の統合-) 44

      Pages: 176-182

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Hydrological Cycle Research Program2006

    • Author(s)
      Yasunari, T., K.Masuda, N.Endo, T.Oki, T.Tomita, 他
    • Journal Title

      FRSGC Annual Report

      Pages: 6-9

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report 2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 梅雨の降水量の年変動を解明ニュートン2005

    • Author(s)
      冨田智彦
    • Journal Title

      8 月号(「プラネットアース」

      Pages: 108-108

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Upper-ocean mixed layer and the wintertime sea surface temperature anomalies in the North Pacific2005

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T., M, Nonaka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate 19

      Pages: 300-307

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 梅雨の降水量の年変動を解明2005

    • Author(s)
      冨田 智彦
    • Journal Title

      ニュートン 8

      Pages: 108-108

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 日本付近における梅雨の開始、終息の経年変動特性2009

    • Author(s)
      橋本哲宏
    • Organizer
      2008年度日本気象学会九州支部発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島県鹿児島市
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-07
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interannual Variation in the Seasonal Northward Movement of the Baiu Front in the Western North Pacific2009

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T., M. Nonaka, and T. Yamaura
    • Organizer
      International MAHASRI/HyARC Workshop on Asian Monsoon
    • Place of Presentation
      Da Nang, Vietnam
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interannual Variation in the Se asonal Northward Movement of the Baiu Front in the Western North Pacific.2009

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T.
    • Organizer
      International MAHASRI/HyARC Workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      Da Nang, Vietnam.
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 梅雨前線北進の経年変動特性2008

    • Author(s)
      冨田 智彦
    • Organizer
      2007年度日本気象学会九州支部発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡県福岡市(九州大学国際ホール)
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-02
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interannual Variability of the Onset and Withdrawal Dates of the Baiu Season2008

    • Author(s)
      Hashimoto, T. and T. Tomita
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, CA, USA
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Role of the Seasonal Thermocline for the Rapid Development of the Western North Pacific Summer Monsoon2008

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T., Y. Sakamoto, and M. Nonaka
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, CA, USA
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interannual Variability in the Seasonal Northward Shift of the Baiu Front2008

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T., M. Nonaka, and T. Yamaura
    • Organizer
      Western Pacific Geophysics
    • Place of Presentation
      Cairns, Quensland, Australia
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Zonal Differences in the Interannual Variability of Baiu Front2008

    • Author(s)
      Yamaura T. and T. Tomita
    • Organizer
      Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Cairns, Quensland, Australia.
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interannual Variability of the Onset and Withdrawal Dates of the Baiu Season.2008

    • Author(s)
      Hashimoto, T.
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2008
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, CA, USA.
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Role of the Seasonal Thermocline for the Rapid Development of the Western North Pacific Summer Monsoon.2008

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T.
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2008
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, CA, USA.
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interannual Variability in the Seasonal Northward Shift of the Baiu Front.2008

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T.
    • Organizer
      Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting 2008
    • Place of Presentation
      Cairns, Australia.
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Zonal Differences in the Interannual Variability of Baiu Front2008

    • Author(s)
      Yamaura T.
    • Organizer
      Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting 2008
    • Place of Presentation
      Cairns, Australia.
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 6月の梅雨前線活動における経年変動特性の時空間差異2008

    • Author(s)
      山浦剛
    • Organizer
      2008年度日本気象学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      宮城県仙台市
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interdecadal Variability of the Early Summer Surface Heat Flux in the Kuroshio Region and Its Impact on the Baiu Frontal Activity2007

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T., H. Sato, M. Nonaka, and M. Hara
    • Organizer
      (oral)IUGG (International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics)XXIV 2007
    • Place of Presentation
      Perugia, Italy
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Seasonal Turnabout of the Air-Sea Correlation in Mid-latitudes and Its Effects on the Baiu Frontal Activity2007

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T.
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2007
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco,CA,USA
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Zonal Differences in the Interannual Variability of Baiu Front2007

    • Author(s)
      Yamaura T.
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2007
    • Place of Presentation
      SanFrancisco,CA,USA
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interdecadal Variability of the Early Summer Surface Heat Flux in the Kuroshio Region and Its Impact on the Baiu Frontal Activity2007

    • Author(s)
      Tomita, T.
    • Organizer
      IUGG XXIV 2007
    • Place of Presentation
      Perugia,Italy
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 梅雨前線の経年変動にみられる東西差異2007

    • Author(s)
      山浦 剛
    • Organizer
      2007年度日本気象学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道札幌市(北海道大学)
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 2008年(平成20年)9月24日付け : 熊本日日新聞(第4面)、くまもとエコモーションキャンペーン、「膨張する夏-亜熱帯への一里塚進む温暖化、ヒートアイランド-」

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 2006 年(平成18 年)7 月28 日付け : 熊本日日新聞(27 面)(平成18 年度の梅雨は例年より長く特に末期に集中豪雨が頻発した。そのメカニズムを大規模循環場の観点より解説。

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 2008年(平成20年)8月6日(水)、KABテレビ「KAB NEWS TRAIN」内。18:28頃より5分程度。(地球温暖化と梅雨前線活動についてコメント。録画放映)

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 2007 年(平成19 年)6 月26 日(火)、RKK ラジオ12:10-1300、「防災ラジオ1197」の時間中。(梅雨時の集中豪雨の長期変化傾向、対策等の話を収録。録音放送)

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report

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Published: 2005-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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