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Advanced prediction of long period ground motion in Osaka during huge subduction earthquakes

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17560503
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Building structures/materials
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

KAMAE Katsuhiro  Kyoto Univ. Research Rector Institute, Professor, 原子炉実験所, 教授 (50161196)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KAWABE Hidenori  Kyoto Univ. Research Rector Institute, Research Associate, 原子炉実験所, 助手 (00346066)
IRIKURA Kojiro  Aichi Institute of Technology, Adjunct Professor, 地域防災研究センター, 客員教授 (10027253)
Project Period (FY) 2005 – 2006
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2006)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000)
KeywordsSubduction earthquakes / Tonankai and Nankai earthquakes / Long period ground motion prediction / Source modeling / Large scaled basin / 3-D F.D.M Osaka basin / 大阪平野 / 強震動予測 / 長周期地震動 / 海溝型地震 / 内陸地殻内地震 / 強震動予測レシピ / 経験的グリーン関数法 / 堆積盆地
Research Abstract

There is high possibility of the occurrence of the Tonankai and Nankai earthquakes which are capable of causing immense damage to mega-city Osaka which located inside the Osaka basin. In this study, we tried to advance the long period ground motion prediction through the verification of the source modeling based on the recipe for the ground motion prediction, estimation of propagation path effect. We showed the validation of the source modeling due to the recipe from application to the actual earthquakes (2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake and 2005 Miyagiken-oki earthquake). Furthermore, from theoretical long period ground motion simulation of the recordings, we proposed Q=f・Vs/2 as the optimum Q value in waveform simulations using 3-D Finite Difference Method. Finally, we carried out long period ground motion prediction in mega-city Osaka using the 3-D finite difference method for the expected Tonankai and Nankai earthquakes. The characteristics of the predicted long-period ground motions are related with the source location and the thicknesses of the sediments of the basin. The predominant period of ground motions is 4 to 6 second in the thick sediment area, 3 to 4 second in the thin sediment area (basin edge). The durations of long period ground motions in the central part of the Osaka city are more than 4 minutes, and the predominant period is around 6 second. These results suggest that we need to investigate the seismic safety of high-rise buildings and base-isolated buildings and so on.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2006 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2005 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2006 2005

All Journal Article (12 results)

  • [Journal Article] Source modeling of the 2005 off-shore Miyagi prefecture, Japan,earthquake (MJMA=7.2) using the empirical Green's function method2006

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, K.
    • Journal Title

      Earth Planets Space Vol.58

      Pages: 1-6

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 経験的グリーン関数法を用いた東南海・南海地震時の大阪地域での強震動予測2006

    • Author(s)
      釜江克宏
    • Journal Title

      月刊地球 号外55

      Pages: 154-160

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report 2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Recipe for predicting strong ground motions : The state of the art and future prospects2006

    • Author(s)
      Irikura, K., H.Miyake
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 8th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report 2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 大阪平野における長周期地震動評価のための最適なQ値の推定2006

    • Author(s)
      川辺秀憲, 釜江克宏
    • Journal Title

      第12回日本地震工学シンポジウム論文集

      Pages: 1458-1461

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report 2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Source modeling of the 2005 off-shore Miyagi prefecture, Japan, earthquake (MJMA=7.2) using the empirical Green' s function method.2006

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, K.
    • Journal Title

      Earth Planets Space Vol.58

      Pages: 1-6

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Strong ground motion prediction in Osaka area for the Tonankai and Nankai earthquakes using the empirical Green' s function method.2006

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, K.
    • Journal Title

      Chikyu monthly, Special issue No.55

      Pages: 154-160

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Recipe for predicting strong ground motions : The state of the art and future prospects.2006

    • Author(s)
      Irikura, K., H.Miyake
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 8th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of Optimum Q Value for Long Period Ground Motion Simulation in the Osaka Basin.2006

    • Author(s)
      Kawabe, H., K.Kamae
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 12th Japan Earthquake Engineering Symposium

      Pages: 1458-1461

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Source modeling of the 2005 off-shore Miyagi prefecture, Japan, earthquake (MJMA=7.2) using the empirical Green's function method2006

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, K.
    • Journal Title

      Earth Planets Space Vol. 58

      Pages: 1-6

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Source model composed of asperities for the 2004 Mid Niigata Prefecture, Japan, earthquake(MJMA=6.8) by the forward modeling using the empirical Green's function method2005

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, K., T.Ikeda, S.Miwa
    • Journal Title

      Earth Planets Space Vol.57,No.6

      Pages: 533-538

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Source model composed of asperities for the 2004 Mid Niigata Prefecture, Japan, earthquake (MJMA =6.8) by the forward modeling using the empirical Green's function method.2005

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, K., T.Ikeda, S.Miwa
    • Journal Title

      Earth Planets Space Vol. 57, No. 6

      Pages: 533-538

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Source model composed of asperities for the 2004 Mid Niigata Prefecture, Japan, earthquake (MJMA=6.8) by the forward modeling using the empirical Green's function method2005

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, K., T.Ikeda, S.Miwa
    • Journal Title

      Earth, Planets and Space Vol.57, No.6

      Pages: 533-538

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2005-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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