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Empirical study of excess capacity in iron and steel, coal and power generation industry in China

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17H02226
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Area studies
Research InstitutionTohoku University

Principal Investigator

KAWABATA Nozomu  東北大学, 経済学研究科, 教授 (20244650)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 堀井 伸浩  九州大学, 経済学研究院, 准教授 (10450503)
渡邉 真理子  学習院大学, 経済学部, 教授 (10466063)
李 捷生  大阪市立大学, 大学院経営学研究科, 教授 (50255634)
Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥10,790,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,490,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Keywords過剰能力 / 中国経済 / 国有企業 / 民営企業 / 鉄鋼業 / 石炭産業 / 市場競争の質 / 鉄鋼産業 / 東アジア / 国家資本主義 / 産業高度化
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study analyzed the dynamics of the generation, persistence and reduction of excess capacity in China, treating coal and steel industries as the object of case. There are four major findings. First, regarding the generation of excessive capacity, soft budget constraints in state-owned enterprises, especially subsidies for salvation, and opportunistic entry behavior of small and medium private enterprises were both effective. Second, the government's excess capacity reduction policy has produced remarkable results in quantitatively reducing capacity and balancing it with demand. Third, the policy's qualitative effect on the quality of the market economy was mixed industry by industry. Fourth, excess capacity reduction policy forced regional economies to upgrade the economic development strategy.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究は産業組織の詳細な事実を分析し,中国の市場経済化の量的到達点と質的特徴についての学術的認識を進化させた。中国産業における過剰能力のダイナミクスの解明により,中国が市場経済としてどれほど成熟しているのか,政府の産業政策が,市場,企業,政府の関係を改善し,「市場の失敗」と「政府の失敗」を縮小させることに貢献しているのかを明らかにした。この成果は,企業経営,通商政策,外交等の場で中国産業に接する際の基準を豊富化し,社会の多方面に貢献するものでもある。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (45 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017

All Journal Article (14 results) (of which Open Access: 11 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (23 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Invited: 3 results) Book (7 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 鋼鉄産業去産能中迪政府角色:20世紀末日本的経験2020

    • Author(s)
      川端望
    • Journal Title

      中国投資

      Volume: 4

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Competitive Neutrality of State-owned Enterprises in China's Steel Industry: Causal Inference on the Impacts of Subsidies2020

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper

      Volume: 20-E-014

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Vertical or Horizontal Forclosure?: License Fee Contract and Anti Monopoly Decision in Competition of Smartphone Integrated Circuits Market of China 2011-20142020

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 中国鉄鋼業の生産能力と能力削減実績の推計:公式発表の解釈と補正2019

    • Author(s)
      川端望
    • Journal Title

      TERG Discussion Paper

      Volume: 414 Pages: 1-8

    • NAID

      120006767958

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 再エネ大国中国の台頭の背景 ―経済性向上を実現した制度設計2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Journal Title

      Nextcom

      Volume: 38 Pages: 42-51

    • NAID

      40021936684

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 中国の市場経済の類型化と通商ルール -国有企業の競争歪曲性とデータ取引の事例-2019

    • Author(s)
      渡邉真理子
    • Journal Title

      フィナンシャル・レビュー

      Volume: 3-138 Pages: 169-184

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 国際経済統合下におけるベトナム鉄鋼業の発展2018

    • Author(s)
      川端望
    • Journal Title

      TERG Discussion Paper

      Volume: 395 Pages: 1-23

    • NAID

      120006542611

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Development of the Vietnamese Iron and Steel Industry under International Economic Integration2018

    • Author(s)
      Nozomu Kawabata
    • Journal Title

      TERG Discussion Paper

      Volume: 396 Pages: 1-24

    • NAID

      120006542612

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 急進化する大気汚染対策の光と陰2018

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Journal Title

      東亜

      Volume: 11 Pages: 30-41

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A Contest of Payment Contracts: A Structural Approach on How Chinese Firms Coped with Default Risk of Trade Credit2018

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      Man and the Economy

      Volume: Volume 5, issue 1 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1515/me-2018-2010

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 日本鉄鋼業の過剰能力削減における政府の役割 : 1970-2000年代の経験2017

    • Author(s)
      川端望
    • Journal Title

      TERG Discussion Paper

      Volume: 371 Pages: 1-23

    • NAID

      120006332249

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] ベトナム国有鉄鋼企業の衰退とリストラクチャリング2017

    • Author(s)
      川端望
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 17-J-066 Pages: 1-41

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Refining estimates of air conditioning energy consumption in Asian countries: stock volume and energy efficiency labeling and standard (With Kensuke Kubo & Michikazu Kojima)2017

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe, Kensuke Kubo, and Michikazu Kojima
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies

      Volume: Volume 15, No.4 Issue: 4 Pages: 407-421

    • DOI

      10.1080/14765284.2017.1342058

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 中国鉄鋼産業における過剰生産能力問題と補助金: ソフトな予算制約の存在の検証2017

    • Author(s)
      渡邉真理子
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 17-J-058 Pages: 1-31

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Development of the Vietnamese Iron and Steel Industry under International Economic Integration2019

    • Author(s)
      Nozomu Kawabata
    • Organizer
      15th IFEAMA Conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 中国鋼鉄産業去産能政策的進展及其展望:従市場競争的質量来看2019

    • Author(s)
      川端望・銀迪
    • Organizer
      “産能過剰,国企改革与競争中立”国際研討会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中国煤炭産業“去産能”政策的成果及其評価2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      “産能過剰,国企改革与競争中立”国際研討会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 風力・太陽光発電世界一の中国-その台頭の背景と最近の政策動向2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      環太平洋産業連関分析学会第30回全国大会公開講演会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 可再生能源大國的發展?程-中國太陽能和風電大躍進的背景-2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      台湾国立政治大学社会科学学院中国産業的発展与政策国際研討会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 中國能源模式:國家VS 市場2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      台湾中央研究院人文社会科学研究中心中國經濟發展模式ⅩⅡ學術研討會
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] How Motorcycle Giants Make Value and Profit ? :Estimating Competitive Positioning and Advantages with Flexible Product Space Model2019

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe
    • Organizer
      Asian Pacific Conference of Industrial Organization 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 鋼鉄産業補貼与軟予算約以及低均衡価格2019

    • Author(s)
      渡邉真理子
    • Organizer
      “産能過剰,国企改革与競争中立”国際研討会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 武安市案例分析:『去産能』与地方経済可持続発展的関係2019

    • Author(s)
      李捷生
    • Organizer
      “産能過剰,国企改革与競争中立”国際研討会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中国鉄鋼業における過剰能力削減政策の進捗と展望:市場競争の質の観点から2018

    • Author(s)
      川端望・銀迪
    • Organizer
      中国経済経営学会2018年度全国大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中国石炭産業における過剰生産能力解消(去産能)政策の成果とその評価2018

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      中国経済経営学会2018年度全国大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Cash as a substitute of enforcement: A theory and evidence from China2018

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe
    • Organizer
      European Association for Research in Industrial Economics 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] How Motorcycle Giants Make Value and Profit ? :Estimating Competitive Positioning and Advantages with Flexible Product Space Model2018

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe
    • Organizer
      European Association for Research in Industrial Economics 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中国鉄鋼産業における過剰生産能力問題と補助金:ソフトな予算制約の存在の検証2018

    • Author(s)
      渡邉真理子
    • Organizer
      2018年度アジア政経学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中国鉄鋼業における過剰能力問題と国有企業のソフトな予算制約:何が問題か2018

    • Author(s)
      渡邉真理子
    • Organizer
      中国経済経営学会2018年度全国大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 発展途上国鉄鋼業の技術選択におけるローカル・グローバルな諸要因: ベトナムの事例2018

    • Author(s)
      川端望
    • Organizer
      日本鉄鋼協会第175回春季講演大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 日本鉄鋼業の過剰能力削減における政府の役割:1970-2000年代の経験2017

    • Author(s)
      川端望
    • Organizer
      全国日本経済学会2017年学術研討会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 中国の脱石炭化の要因に関する分析と今後の見通し2017

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      産業学会西部部会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating Competitive Advantage and Positioning: Motorcycles Markets in Emerging Economies2017

    • Author(s)
      Mai Fujita, Machikita Tomohiro, Yuri Sato and Mariko Watanabe
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society Asian Meeting
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Estimating Competitive Advantage and Positioning: Motorcycles Markets in Emerging Economies2017

    • Author(s)
      Mai Fujita, Machikita Tomohiro, Yuri Sato and Mariko Watanabe
    • Organizer
      14th Conference of the Comparative Analysis of Enterprise Data Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Qualcomm's License Fee Contract and Anti Monopoly Decision :Empirical Study of Smart-phone Market of China2017

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe
    • Organizer
      中国経済経営学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Identigying Competitive Neutrality of SOEs in China2017

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Identigying Competitive Neutrality of SOEs in China2017

    • Author(s)
      Mariko Watanabe
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society China Meeting 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] 環境統合型生産システムと地域創生 (李捷生第6章 鉄鋼企業による環境リサイクル事業の展開 担当)2019

    • Author(s)
      中瀬哲史,田口直樹
    • Total Pages
      280
    • Publisher
      文真堂
    • ISBN
      9784830950254
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 中国・新興国ネクサス:新たな世界経済循環(堀井伸浩第6章中国の石炭輸入転換による国際市場秩序と新興国へのインパクト)2018

    • Author(s)
      末廣昭,田島俊雄,丸川知雄編
    • Total Pages
      357
    • Publisher
      東京大学出版会
    • ISBN
      9784130461269
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 中国創造大国への道 (渡邉真理子第2章 最先端を走るインターネット企業─「斜陽」国有企業も並存する産業界 担当)2018

    • Author(s)
      服部健治、湯浅健司 編
    • Total Pages
      218
    • Publisher
      文真堂
    • ISBN
      9784830949999
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] グローバル金融危機の衝撃と新興経済の変貌(李捷生第5章 中国における発展モデルの転換と課題 担当)2018

    • Author(s)
      河村哲二
    • Total Pages
      352
    • Publisher
      ナカニシア出版
    • ISBN
      9784779513046
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 日本鉄鋼業の経営・生産管理方式の形成と再編2018

    • Author(s)
      上田修,李捷生(編著)
    • Total Pages
      983
    • Publisher
      御茶の水書房
    • ISBN
      9784275020833
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] グリーン・イノベーション(堀井伸浩第12章「中国式グリーン・イノベーション-『倹約イノベーション』を実現する巨大市場と政府の戦略-」)2017

    • Author(s)
      植田 和弘,國部 克彦,島本実
    • Total Pages
      350
    • Publisher
      中央経済社
    • ISBN
      9784502207013
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 「大国」としての中国(渡邉真理子第4章「中国共産党と制度選択」,第5章「共産党と民営企業家」)2017

    • Author(s)
      加茂具樹
    • Total Pages
      168
    • Publisher
      一藝社
    • ISBN
      9784863591257
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] “産能過剰,国企改革与競争中立”国際研討会2019

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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