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Improving LETKF assimilation of remotely-sensed dense observations through direct model-space covariance localization

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17H07352
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
Research InstitutionJapan, Meteorological Research Institute

Principal Investigator

HOTTA Daisuke  気象庁気象研究所, 気象観測研究部, 主任研究官 (60805365)

Research Collaborator SEKO Hiromu  
SHOJI Yoshinori  
KALNAY Eugenia  
OTA Yoichiro  
Project Period (FY) 2017-08-25 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywordsデータ同化 / アンサンブル・カルマンフィルタ / 共分散局所化 / 地上GNSS観測 / アンサンブルカルマンフィルタ / GNSS / 気象学 / 統計数学 / リモートセンシング / 衛星測位
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Ensemble assimilation of remote-sensed non-local observations like ground-based GNSS phase delays or satellite radiances requires to localize background error covariance matrices without resorting to the concept of the "observed position." In this study, a model-space localization scheme is proposed that can be applied to ensemble-transform square root filter which is a variant of ensemble-based data assimilation schemes. The proposed scheme is implemented and tested on an idealized one-dimensional system which mimics assimilation of ground-based GNSS observations. A new Eigen-spectral localization scheme is also proposed which performs well in cases where the true background covariance does not assume localized structure. Its effectiveness is similarly verified on an idealized one-dimensional system.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

アンサンブル・データ同化手法は従前の変分法同化手法と比べ,大気の流れとともに日々変化する背景誤差の変化を適切に取り扱える長所がある一方,地上GNSS遅延量観測や衛星輝度温度など非局所的な観測の同化のインパクトが変分法による場合より小さいことが知られていた.本研究の成果は,その原因の一部が背景誤差共分散のアドホックな局所化にあることを示唆する点で学術的に意義があり,また現実的な解決策を提案した点で実用上も有益である.本研究の理論的成果は,地上GNSS観測等の非局所的リモートセンシング観測からより多くの情報を取り出すアンサンブルデータ同化システムの開発を通じて気象予測の精度向上に貢献しうる.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2019 2018 2017

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (15 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results)

  • [Journal Article] Statistical generation of SST perturbations with spatio‐temporally coherent growing patterns2019

    • Author(s)
      Hotta Daisuke、Ota Yoichiro
    • Journal Title

      Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 721 Pages: 1660-1673

    • DOI

      10.1002/qj.3518

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A nestable, multigrid-friendly grid on a sphere for global spectral models based on Clenshaw-Curtis quadrature2018

    • Author(s)
      Hotta D.、Ujiie M.
    • Journal Title

      Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

      Volume: 未定 Issue: 714 Pages: 1382-1397

    • DOI

      10.1002/qj.3282

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] EFSR: Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observation Error Covariance2017

    • Author(s)
      Hotta Daisuke、Kalnay Eugenia、Ota Yoichiro、Miyoshi Takemasa
    • Journal Title

      Monthly Weather Review

      Volume: 145 Issue: 12 Pages: 5015-5031

    • DOI

      10.1175/mwr-d-17-0122.1

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Accounting for multi-scale vertical error correlation within ETKF through spectral-space covariance localization2019

    • Author(s)
      Hotta, D. and C. H. Bishop
    • Organizer
      7th International Symposium on Data Assimilation (ISDA)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ネスト可能でマルチグリッド法の利用に適した 全球スペクトルモデル用の格子系の提案2018

    • Author(s)
      堀田大介, 氏家将志
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2018年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] モデル空間局所化での事後アンサンブル生成方法についての考察2018

    • Author(s)
      堀田大介
    • Organizer
      第5回アンサンブルデータ同化摂動に関する研究会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Toward improved LETKF assimilation of non-local and dense observation by direct covariance localization in model space2018

    • Author(s)
      Daisuke Hotta
    • Organizer
      8th EnKF Data Assimilation Workshop
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] EFSR: Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observation Error Covariance2018

    • Author(s)
      Hotta. D., E. Kalnay, Y. Ota and T. Miyoshi
    • Organizer
      8th EnKF Data Assimilation Workshop
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] EFSO and DFS diagnostics for JMA's global Data Assimilation system: their caveats and potential pitfalls2018

    • Author(s)
      Hotta. D. and Y. Ota
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Sensitivity Analysis and Data Assimilation in Meteorology and Oceanography
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Development and validation of a diagonal ensemble transform Kalman filter2018

    • Author(s)
      Duc, L., K. Saito, and D. Hotta
    • Organizer
      The 5th International Workshop on Nonhydrostatic Models
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Toward improved LETKF assimilation of non-local and dense observation by direct covariance localization in model space2018

    • Author(s)
      Daisuke Hotta
    • Organizer
      6th International Symposium on Data Assimilation
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] EFSR: Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observation Error Covariance2018

    • Author(s)
      Hotta. D., E. Kalnay, Y. Ota and T. Miyoshi
    • Organizer
      6th International Symposium on Data Assimilation
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The diagonally predominant property of the positive symmetric ensemble transform matrix and its application in ensemble forecast and data assimilation2018

    • Author(s)
      Duc、L., K. Saito and D. Hotta
    • Organizer
      気象庁数値予報課コロキウム
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The diagonally predominant property of the positive symmetric ensemble transform matrix and its application in ensemble forecast and data assimilation2018

    • Author(s)
      Duc、L., K. Saito and D. Hotta
    • Organizer
      6th International Symposium on Data Assimilation
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An explanation for the diagonally predominant property of ensemble transform matrices.2017

    • Author(s)
      Duc, L., K. Saito and D. Hotta
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The diagonally predominant property of the positive symmetric ensemble transform matrix (ETM) and its application in ensemble forecast2017

    • Author(s)
      Duc, L., K. Saito and D. Hotta
    • Organizer
      平成29年度第2回アンサンブル同化摂動手法に関する研究会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Symmetric square rootと変換行列の対角成分2017

    • Author(s)
      堀田大介
    • Organizer
      平成29年度第1回アンサンブル同化摂動手法に関する研究会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] EFSR: アンサンブル感度解析を用いた観測誤差共分散行列の推定手法2017

    • Author(s)
      Hotta Daisuke、Kalnay Eugenia、Ota Yoichiro、Miyoshi Takemasa
    • Organizer
      第21回データ同化夏の学校
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2017-08-25   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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