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中国東莞都市圏における都市化プロセスと持続的発展: シナリオ分析

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17J00502
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Fellows

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section国内
Research Field Human geography
Research InstitutionUniversity of Tsukuba

Principal Investigator

張 新民  筑波大学, 生命環境科学研究科, 特別研究員(DC2)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-26 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000)
KeywordsLand Use/Cover / Ecosystem Service Values / Spatial Analysis / Scenario Analysis / Dongguan / Spatial Pattern / Geography / Ecology / GIS / Remote sensing / Image data / Urbanization / Spatial process / Fieldwork / Scenario modeling
Outline of Annual Research Achievements

Land use/cover change is a proxy for quantifying ecosystem service values. This study examined ecosystem service values based on land use/cover changes and exemplified the implications for sustainability in the rapidly urbanizing city of Dongguan, China.
From 1994 to 2015, the decline of the total ecosystem service values was 618.98 × 106 Yuan. In 1994, the human to ecosystem service value (H-ESV) ratio was about 1:1404 (Yuan/Year), but it decreased to around 1:572 in 2005 and 1:428 in 2015. Additionally, the ecosystem service values will decline to about 506.66 × 106 Yuan in 2030 under the Spontaneous Scenario and will have an
H-ESV ratio of 1:401. Under the Ecological Protection Scenario, the ecosystem service values will decline to about 306.25 × 106 Yuan in 2030 and will have an H-ESV ratio of 1:403. The rapidly increasing city population influences the H-ESV ratio.
The urban to ESV (U-ESV) ratio changed from 1.60 in the 1994-2005 period to 2.20 in the 2005-2015 period. This indicates that the decline in ecosystem service values was affected mainly by urban expansion during the period 1994-2005. The U-ESV ratio will be 1.59 during the period 2015-Spontaneous Scenario 2030 and 1.71 during the period 2015-Ecological Protection Scenario 2030. However, during the period 2015-Spontaneous Scenario 2030, the decline of total ecosystem service values will be affected by urban expansion as well as by other non-urban landscape changes.

Research Progress Status

平成30年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

平成30年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Report

(2 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (4 results)

All 2019 2018 2017

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Bibliometric analysis of highly cited articles on ecosystem services2019

    • Author(s)
      Zhang Xinmin, Estoque Ronald C., Xie Hualin, Murayama Yuji, Ranagalage Manjula
    • Journal Title

      PLOS ONE

      Volume: 14 Issue: 2 Pages: 1-11

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0210707

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Spatial Changes of Urban Heat Island Formation in the Colombo District, Sri Lanka: Implications for Sustainability Planning2018

    • Author(s)
      Ranagalage Manjula, Estoque Ronald, Zhang Xinmin, Murayama Yuji
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability

      Volume: 10 Issue: 5 Pages: 1367-1367

    • DOI

      10.3390/su10051367

    • NAID

      120007134010

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] An urban heat island study in Nanchang City, China based on land surface temperature and social-ecological variables2017

    • Author(s)
      Zhang Xinmin、Estoque Ronald C.、Murayama Yuji
    • Journal Title

      Sustainable Cities and Society

      Volume: 32 Pages: 557-568

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.scs.2017.05.005

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Investigating the relationships between land surface temperature and social-ecological variables: A case study of Nanchang City, China.2017

    • Author(s)
      Zhang, X., Estoque, R.C. and Murayama, Y.
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

URL: 

Published: 2017-05-25   Modified: 2024-03-26  

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