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Statistical modelling and methods for environmental risk analysis and biological resource assessment

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K00055
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionKeio University

Principal Investigator

Minami Mihoko  慶應義塾大学, 理工学部(矢上), 教授 (70277268)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywords生物資源評価 / 環境リスク解析 / 統計的因果推論 / 階層ベイズモデル / クラスタリング / 分布回帰樹 / 関数データ解析 / 分布のクラスタリング / 分布の分類樹 / 環境リスク評価 / 空間・環境統計 / 経時測定データの解析 / 分位点回帰モデル / ノンパラメトリック混合効果モデル / 欠測データの解析 / 極値理論 / 分布間距離 / 分類樹 / 偽発見率 / 多変量極値分布 / 階層的ベイズモデル
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Regarding statistical modeling for biological assessment, in collaboration with Dr. Cleridy E. Lennert-Cody of the Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission (IATTC), we conducted a study on the effect of environment on abundance indices of bluefin sharks and an analysis of fishermen's coordination based on the location of tuna purse seine operations and published two academic papers. The paper on spatial clustering of distribution has been submitted to an academic journal and is under review.
As for environmental risk analysis, the study on the health effects of PM2.5 concentrations in the air was discontinued because the nature of the data was changed by the corona disaster, but one paper on lung function growth in children was published. Five other papers on related theories were published.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究課題は,環境リスク解析・生物資源評価のための新たな統計的モデリング法の提案,および,その理論的な性質を解明するととともに,実データを解析して,現実の問題を解決することを目的とするものであり,研究期間を通してこの目的は達成されたと考える.研究成果は8編の学術論文として公刊され,国内外の学会で発表するとともに,全米熱帯マグロ類委員会が開催する加盟21国・地域の代表者による海洋生物資源管理保全のための国際会合でも報告がされた.

Report

(7 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (35 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (6 results) Journal Article (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 8 results,  Open Access: 5 results) Presentation (17 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Invited: 2 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission(米国)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission(米国)

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission(米国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission(米国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission/Scripps Institute of Oceanography/Food and Agricuture Organization(米国)

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission(米国)

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Exposure to PM<sub>2.5</sub> and Lung Function Growth in Pre- and Early-Adolescent Schoolchildren: A Longitudinal Study Involving Repeated Lung Function Measurements in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Takebayashi Toru、Taguri Masataka、Odajima Hiroshi、Hasegawa Shuichi、Asakura Keiko、Milojevic Ai、Takeuchi Ayano、Konno Satoshi、Morikawa Miki、Tsukahara Teruomi、Ueda Kayo、Mukai Yasufumi、Minami Mihoko、Nishiwaki Yuuji、Yoshimura Takesumi、Nishimura Masaharu、Nitta Hiroshi
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the American Thoracic Society

      Volume: 19 Issue: 5 Pages: 763-772

    • DOI

      10.1513/annalsats.202104-511oc

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Causal Subclassification Tree Algorithm and Robust Causal Effect Estimation via Subclassification2021

    • Author(s)
      Nakamura, T. and Minami, M.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Statistics and Probability

      Volume: 10(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 40-57

    • DOI

      10.5539/ijsp.v10n1p40

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Cluster analysis methods applied to daily vessel location data to identify cooperative fishing among tuna purse-seiners2020

    • Author(s)
      Lennert-Cody C.E., Maunder M.N., Roman M.H., Xu H., Minami M., Lopez J.
    • Journal Title

      Environmental and Ecological Statistics

      Volume: 27 Issue: 4 Pages: 649-664

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10651-020-00451-7

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of risk contributions with MCMC2019

    • Author(s)
      Takaaki Koike, Mihoko Minami
    • Journal Title

      Quantitative Finance

      Volume: 19(9) Issue: 9 Pages: 1579-1597

    • DOI

      10.1080/14697688.2019.1588469

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation Data Analysis with Max-Stable Processes2018

    • Author(s)
      樫山文音、南美穂子
    • Journal Title

      Ouyou toukeigaku

      Volume: 47 Issue: 2-3 Pages: 51-70

    • DOI

      10.5023/jappstat.47.51

    • NAID

      130007595583

    • ISSN
      0285-0370, 1883-8081
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The importance of environment and life stage on interpretation of silky shark relative abundance indices for the equatorial Pacific Ocean2018

    • Author(s)
      Cleridy E. Lennert‐Cody Shelley C. Clarke Alexandre Aires‐da‐Silva Mark N. Maunder Peter J. S. Franks Marlon Rom&aacute;n Arthur J. Miller Mihoko Minami
    • Journal Title

      Fisheries Oceanography

      Volume: 28(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 43-53

    • DOI

      10.1111/fog.12385

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] ストレートに着目した空振りに影響を与える要因の定量的分析2017

    • Author(s)
      永田 大貴, 南 美穂子
    • Journal Title

      統計数理

      Volume: 65(2) Pages: 185-200

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Covariate Balancing Propensity Score を用いた, スクイズ作戦の有効性の解析2017

    • Author(s)
      中村 知繁, 南 美穂子
    • Journal Title

      統計数理

      Volume: 65(2) Pages: 217-234

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] Regression Tree and Clustering for Distributions, and Homogeneous Structure of Population Characteristics2022

    • Author(s)
      Mihoko Minami
    • Organizer
      Waseda International Symposium
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 分布に基づいたクラスタリングに対する階層手順による多重検定2020

    • Author(s)
      南美穂子, Cleridy E. Lennert-Cody
    • Organizer
      2020年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Jensen-Shannon ダイバージェンスを用いた分布に対する回帰樹,クラスタリング,多重比較2019

    • Author(s)
      南美穂子, Cleridy E. Lennert-Cody
    • Organizer
      2019年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 階層性のある多重比較とメタボロームデータに対する応用2019

    • Author(s)
      小野あかり,竹内文乃,原田成,南美穂子
    • Organizer
      2019年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Missing Not At Randomのデータに対する操作変数を用いた平均処置効果の推定2019

    • Author(s)
      米山慎太郎,南美穂子
    • Organizer
      2019年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ランダムフォレストを用いた系列処置に対する因果的効果の推定2019

    • Author(s)
      中村知繁,南美穂子
    • Organizer
      2019年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Clustering Methods for Distributions2019

    • Author(s)
      Mihoko Minami*, Clerity E. Lennert-Cody
    • Organizer
      Pioneering Workshop on Extreme Value and Distribution Theories In Honor of Professor Masaaki Sibuya
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The importanc+C3:C9e of environment and life stage on interpretation of silky shark relative abundance indices for the equatorial Pacific Ocean2019

    • Author(s)
      Cleridy E. Lennert-Cody, Mihoko Minami
    • Organizer
      ISM symposium
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Statistics major offered by the Department of Mathematics at Keio University: Curriculum and student-led events2018

    • Author(s)
      Mihoko Minami*, Tomoshige Nakamura
    • Organizer
      10th International Conference on Teaching Statistics
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Analysis of Decision Makers' Strategies2018

    • Author(s)
      Mihoko Minami
    • Organizer
      Join Statistical Meeting 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 分布のクラスタリングと空間の分割2018

    • Author(s)
      南美穂子*, Cleridy E. Lennert-Cody
    • Organizer
      統計数理研究所共同研究集会「環境・生態データと統計解析」
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating Causal Effect by Difference in Difference via Random Forest,2018

    • Author(s)
      Tomoshige Nakamura*, Mihoko Minami
    • Organizer
      Join Statistical Meeting 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ランダムフォレストを用いた系列処置に対する因果的効果の推定2018

    • Author(s)
      中村知繁*, 南美穂子
    • Organizer
      2018年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 少数時点での経時測定データに基づく柔軟な成長曲線と条件付き分布の推定2017

    • Author(s)
      長瀬 智大,南 美穂子
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Random Forestによる説明変数の交互作用を考慮した傾向スコアの推定2017

    • Author(s)
      中村 知繁,南 美穂子
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 分布にたいする分類樹&middot;クラスタリング手法とそれらを用いた空間の分割2017

    • Author(s)
      南 美穂子,Cleridy, Lennert-cody
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 分布に対する回帰・分類樹、クラスタリング手法と空間の分割2017

    • Author(s)
      南 美穂子,Cleridy E. Lennert-Cody,中村 知繁
    • Organizer
      統計数理研究所共同研究集会「環境・生態データと統計解析 」
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 統計科学百科事典(内12項目翻訳2018

    • Author(s)
      Miodrag Lovric, 日本統計学会(著者に南美穂子含む)
    • Total Pages
      2130
    • Publisher
      丸善出版
    • ISBN
      9784621303108
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 新版医学統計学ハンドブック 6章線形回帰モデル2018

    • Author(s)
      丹後俊郎 ・松井茂之 編(著者に南美穂子含む)
    • Total Pages
      868
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
    • ISBN
      9784254122299
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Mihoko Minami's Home page

    • URL

      http://www.math.keio.ac.jp/~mminami/

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 南研究室

    • URL

      http://www.stat.math.keio.ac.jp/labs/mminami/

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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