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Time-series analysis on relationship between mortality from bone fracture, fall, downfall and ambient temperature

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K01829
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Applied health science
Research InstitutionRitsumeikan University

Principal Investigator

Kanamori Masao  立命館大学, スポーツ健康科学部, 教授 (90127019)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords転倒・転落 / 不慮の事故 / 疾病の外因死 / 気温・死亡率曲線 / 時系列解析 / 気候変動 / 生活習慣病 / 死亡 / 温度 / 死亡温度 / 転倒転落 / 熱中症 / 気候関連死亡 / 気温 / 転倒 / 転落 / 死亡率 / 最適温度 / 骨折 / 環境温度
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purpose is to clarify the relationship between the mortality rate of the elderly from injury and certain other consequences of external causes (ICD10, XIX) and the temperature in Japanese cities. Methods: Three regions: Kyoto, Sapporo, and Tokyo were surveyed from 2010 to 2021. Results and Discussions: As with the relationship between total mortality and temperature, a regression were most fitted for injury and certain other consequences of external causes in the elderly. In autumn each 1℃ increase in monthly mean of daily mean temperature (MMT) was associated with a 3% increase in accidental mortality of elderly(AM). This study results that elderly mortality from injury and external causes increases at higher rate in the high temperature range than total mortality. In the high temperature environment in the future, there is concern that the increase in accidental mortality of elderly will be higher than the increase in NCD.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

損傷・外因死亡(転倒転落)は減少傾向にあった。例外的に階段ステップからの死亡数は増加。65歳に比べ85歳以上は約5倍の死亡率があった。高齢者の生活環境・歩行・行動分析にフォーカスを当てた転倒転落予防対策を打ち立てる必要性がある。
夏の気温の上昇に伴うリスクの増大と共に、冬の月間平均気温1℃の下降は、不慮の事故死亡率が4%上昇した(総死亡率の約3倍)。現時点では、気温の上昇による死亡率への影響よりは、寒冷影響の方が大きいと考察された。しかし、近年夏の気温上昇に伴って、死亡率の相対危険度がより増加していることに注目する必要がある。脱水対策、バランス機能の維持に向けた個人へのアジェンダが重要である。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (25 results)

All 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

All Journal Article (17 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Peer Reviewed: 13 results,  Open Access: 9 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 2 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] A Fall Intervention Programme for the Elderly with Dementia based on Person-centred Care2021

    • Author(s)
      鈴木 みずえ、加藤 真由美、谷口 好美、平松 知子、丸岡 直子、金盛 琢也、内藤 智義、泉 キヨ子、金森 雅夫
    • Journal Title

      JapaneseJournal of Fall Prevention

      Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages: 27-38

    • DOI

      10.11335/tentouyobou.7.3_27

    • ISSN
      2188-5702, 2188-5710
    • Year and Date
      2021-03-10
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A Change in the Awareness of Care Staff’s Multi-professional Cooperation after a Fall Prevention Program for People with Dementia, Based on Person-centered Care at Long term Healthcare Facilities2021

    • Author(s)
      内藤 智義、鈴木 みずえ、阿部 邦彦、古田 良江、松井 陽子、大鷹 悦子、市川 智恵子、金森 雅夫
    • Journal Title

      JapaneseJournal of Fall Prevention

      Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages: 39-47

    • DOI

      10.11335/tentouyobou.7.3_39

    • ISSN
      2188-5702, 2188-5710
    • Year and Date
      2021-03-10
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Monthly mortality from Alzheimer’s disease and other dementia in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Kanamori Masao、Suzuki Mizue、Kanamori Takuya、Naito Tomoyoshi
    • Journal Title

      Alzheimer's & Dementia

      Volume: 17 Issue: S10

    • DOI

      10.1002/alz.057632

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 高齢者におけるCOVID-19感染の重症化リスクについてのレビュー2021

    • Author(s)
      金森 雅夫、金盛 琢也、内藤 智義、岸本 康平
    • Journal Title

      日本老年看護学会誌

      Volume: 26 Pages: 9-16

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] COVID-19流行による高齢者および介護施設入所者への影響2021

    • Author(s)
      金盛 琢也、鈴木みずえ、金森 雅夫
    • Journal Title

      日本老年看護学会誌

      Volume: 26 Pages: 17-22

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A Prospective, Open-Label Short-Term Pilot Study on Modification of the Skin Hydration Status During Treatment With a Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitor.2021

    • Author(s)
      Yuji Tezuka, Osamu Sekine, Akiko Hirano, Yukako Hanada, Ikuhisa Nakanishi, Misaki Ariga, Choka Azuma, Yukako Yamamoto, Jun Ito-Kobayashi, Miki Washiyama, Masanori Iwanishi, Miyuki Furuta, Masao Kanamori, Akira Shimatsu, Atsunori Kashiwagi
    • Journal Title

      Diabetes Therapy

      Volume: 12 Issue: 1 Pages: 431-440

    • DOI

      10.1007/s13300-020-00950-7

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Conduction Velocity of Muscle Action Potential of Knee Extensor Muscle During Evoked and Voluntary Contractions After Exhaustive Leg Pedaling Exercise.2020

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Watanabe, Taiki Sakai, Shosaku Kato, Natsuka Hashizume, Naoki Horii, Maki Yoshikawa, Natsuki Hasegawa, Keiko Iemitsu, Katsunori Tsuji, Masakata Uchida, Masao Kanamori and Motoyuki Iemitsu
    • Journal Title

      Front. Physiol.

      Volume: 11 Pages: 1-8

    • DOI

      10.3389/fphys.2020.00546

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 高齢者施設入所の高齢者に対する転倒予防介入とケアスタッフ・組織への教育介入のエビデンス: システマティック・レビューに基づく課題抽出.2020

    • Author(s)
      鈴木みずえ, 内藤智義, 澤木圭介, 金森雅夫
    • Journal Title

      日本転倒予防学会誌

      Volume: 7 Pages: 33-41

    • NAID

      130007995327

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] パーソン・センタード・ケアをめざした看護実践自己評価尺度による看護実践の英国と日本のWEB 調査による比較.2020

    • Author(s)
      鈴木みずえ, 澤木圭介, 金森雅夫.
    • Journal Title

      日本老年医学会雑誌

      Volume: 57 Pages: 484-488

    • NAID

      130007948786

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Effects of a fall intervention program for elderly patients with dementia based on person-centered care on care staff2019

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki Mizue、Matsui Youko、Ootaka Etuko、Ichikawa Chieko、Abe Kunihiko、Furuta Yoshie、Naito Tomoyoshi、Kato Mayumi、Taniguchi Yoshimi、Hiramatsu Tomoko、Maruoka Naoko、Kobayashi Sayuri、Rokkaku Ryouko、Seki Yukari、Izumi Kiyoko、Kanamori Masao
    • Journal Title

      Nippon Ronen Igakkai Zasshi. Japanese Journal of Geriatrics

      Volume: 56 Issue: 4 Pages: 487-497

    • DOI

      10.3143/geriatrics.56.487

    • NAID

      130007749914

    • ISSN
      0300-9173
    • Year and Date
      2019-10-25
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 転倒予防の介入研究に必要な統計学2019

    • Author(s)
      金森雅夫
    • Journal Title

      日本転倒予防学会誌

      Volume: 6(1) Pages: 19-24

    • NAID

      130007837621

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Effects of a Fall-Prevention Program for Older Adults with Dementia Based on Person-Centered Care2019

    • Author(s)
      Mizue Suzuki, Masao Kanamori, Yoshie Furuta, Kunihiko Abe, Mayumi Kato, Yoshimi Taniguchi, Tomoko Hiramatsu, Naoko Maruoka, Sayuri Kobayashi, Tomoyoshi Naito, Hiroyuki Shimada, Kiyoko Izumi
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Gerontology

      Volume: 1

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Behavioral and Psychological Symptoms of Dementia Influencing Care Dependency of Older People with Dementia in Geriatric Residential Facilities in Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Mizue Suzuki, Hideyuki Hattori, Hajime Oshiro, Takayuki Saruhara, Yoshie Furuta, Kunihiko Abe, Kouji Fukuda, Masao Kanamori
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Gerontology

      Volume: 1

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] コンタクトスポーツにおける脳振盪の疫学2018

    • Author(s)
      佃文子・金森雅夫
    • Journal Title

      体育の科学

      Volume: 68 Pages: 55-64

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Monitoring SpO2 during Mountain Trekking Activities -Analyses of Various Factors at Different Altitudes from 10 Mountain Trips2017

    • Author(s)
      Hayashi Aya, Kanamori Masao
    • Journal Title

      Jananese Journal of Mountain Medicine

      Volume: 37 Pages: 170-175

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 介護保険施設に入所する認知症高齢者のBPSDに及ぼす生活の質(QOL)の影響2017

    • Author(s)
      鈴木みずえ・金森雅夫他
    • Journal Title

      老年医学会雑誌

      Volume: 54 Pages: 392-402

    • NAID

      130006022858

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 認知症高齢者の痛みの疫学研究2017

    • Author(s)
      鈴木みずえ・金森雅夫
    • Journal Title

      臨床整形外科

      Volume: 52 Pages: 611-617

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] A study on the relationship between monthly temperature and cause of death in Kyoto and Sapporo, Japan from 1995 to 20172020

    • Author(s)
      Masao Kanamori, Yasushi Honda
    • Organizer
      32nd Annual Conference of the International Society for Environmental Epidemiology, ISEE 2020 Virtual Conference, Washington, Aug. 24th, 2020.
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Trends of Age-Specific Mortality with an Underlying or Contributing Cause Attributed to a Weather-Related Cause of Death in Japan, 1995-20152018

    • Author(s)
      Masao Kanamori, Fumiko Tsukuda, Aya Hayashi, Seiichi Nakai, Yasushi Honda
    • Organizer
      ISEE Conference Abstracts 2018(1)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 転倒予防の介入研究に必要な統計学2018

    • Author(s)
      金森雅夫
    • Organizer
      転倒予防学会 第5回転倒予防学会 転倒予防学会誌5(2) pp65 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BEHAVIORAL AND PSYCHOLOGICAL SYMPTOMS OF DEMENTIA, CARE DEPENDENCY, AND QUALITY OF LIFE AMONG ELDERLY JAPANESE POPULATION WITH DEMENTIA IN LONG-TERM INSURANCE FACILITIES2017

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki Mizue, Kanamori Masao et al.
    • Organizer
      32nd International Conference of Alzheimer's Disease, 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evaluation on the effects of daily temperature on mortality in Kyoto and Hokkaido(Japan) from 1972-2012 using a Distributed Lag Nonlinear Model.2017

    • Author(s)
      Kanamori Masao, Seposo Xerxes, Honda Yasushi.
    • Organizer
      ISEE
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 医学統計入門:いつも迷う統計の疑問に答えるー多変量解析ー2017

    • Author(s)
      金森雅夫
    • Organizer
      2017年度認知症ケア・老年学研究合同夏季セミナー
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Book] 認知症plus予防教育 運動・食事・社会参加など最新知見からの提案ISBN978-4-8180-2248-52020

    • Author(s)
      金森雅夫
    • Total Pages
      209
    • Publisher
      日本看護協会出版会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Book] パーソン・センタード・ケアでひらく『認知症看護の扉』2018

    • Author(s)
      鈴木みずえ・酒井郁子編 金森雅夫
    • Total Pages
      332
    • Publisher
      南江堂
    • ISBN
      9784524255146
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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