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Two-level Game Analysis for International Trade Regime and Political Support Function

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K03585
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field International relations
Research InstitutionKobe University

Principal Investigator

Ishiguro Kaoru  神戸大学, 経済学研究科, 名誉教授 (20184509)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywords国際貿易レジーム / 政治的支持関数 / 2レベルゲーム / 国際貿易 / 3国間貿易交渉 / 3国間貿易交渉モデル / 2レベルゲーム / 国際貿易交渉 / 貿易交渉モデル / 国際関係 / 国際政治経済学
Outline of Final Research Achievements

I theoretically have examined whether a US-Japan trade agreement would be beneficial as a buffer in the US-China trade war. To mitigate US protectionism, there is a “domestic pressure effect to suppress external pressure,” which results from Japanese protectionist political pressure to suppress the negative impacts of US tariff increases on Japan’s political support function, as well as a “free trade agreement (FTA) effect” in the US-Japan trade agreement. In the absence of a US-Japan trade agreement, both Japan and China’s political support functions decrease when the US raises tariffs. By contrast, when an FTA is signed between Japan and the US, an increase in US tariffs causes the Chinese political support function to decrease, while the Japanese political support function increases. The US-Japan trade agreement thus plays a role in mitigating the negative effects of the US-China trade war on Japan.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究の学術的な意義は以下の点にある。米国や中国のような大国間の貿易戦争において日本のような第三国が締結する貿易レジーム(Free Trade Agreement: FTA)が、第三国の政治的支持関数に及ぼす影響について検討している点である。FTAの締結は、貿易戦争当事国の第三国に課す最適関税率の相違をもたらし、貿易削減効果や貿易転換効果に影響を及ぼす。第三国を含む貿易戦争のモデルを構築し、貿易戦争において最適関税率や貿易レジームの相違が第3国の貿易や政治的支持関数に及ぼす影響を分析した研究はこれまで存在しない。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2020 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (4 results)

All 2020 2019 2017

All Presentation (1 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Book (3 results)

  • [Presentation] 貿易戦争の緩衝としての貿易協定2020

    • Author(s)
      石黒馨
    • Organizer
      日本国際政治学会2020年度研究大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Book] The SAGE Handbook of Asian Foreign Policy Vol.12019

    • Author(s)
      Kaoru Ishiguro
    • Total Pages
      576
    • Publisher
      SAGE
    • ISBN
      9781473977990
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Book] グローバル政治経済のパズル2019

    • Author(s)
      石黒 馨
    • Total Pages
      240
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • ISBN
      9784326302741
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 国際貿易交渉と政府内対立2017

    • Author(s)
      石黒 馨
    • Total Pages
      248
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • ISBN
      9784326546466
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2022-01-27  

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