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The firm's financial and investment decisions under the interaction between the rollover and insolvency risks of debt

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K03621
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic theory
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Osano Hiroshi  京都大学, 経済研究所, 教授 (90152462)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords企業投資 / 負債の借り換えリスク / 負債支払い能力 / 負債借り換えリスク / 負債借り換え能力 / 資本構成 / 負債償還期限 / 学習 / 投資 / デット・オーバーハング
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Under the rollover risk of the firm, I investigated the interaction between the short-run liquidity uncertainty and the long-run insolvency uncertainty of the firm. In addition, I modeled the situation in which the market participants gradually learn the long-run insolvency uncertainty that is unknown in the initial period. Under this situation, I examined how the short-run liquidity uncertainty and the long-run insolvency uncertainty affect the firm's financial and investment decisions.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

負債借り換えリスクがある状況で、企業の流動性に関する短期の不確実性から生じる問題と企業の長期支払い能力に関する不確実性の問題とから生じる相互作用があり、かつ、市場参加者の間で企業のキャッシュフロー生産能力に関して学習が行われる状況下において企業の財務戦略や投資決定の問題を明らかにすることは、金融危機の際に企業がどのような行動をとるかを明らかにすることができ、適切な政策を考えることができるという意味で社会的意義がある。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (4 results)

All 2020 2019 2017

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Dynamic contract and discretionary termination policy under loss aversion2020

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Hori and Hiroshi Osano
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control

      Volume: 111 Pages: 1-28

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jedc.2019.103794

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Credit default swaps and market information2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Osano
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Financial Market

      Volume: 48 Pages: 1-23

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.finmar.2019.06.001

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Credit Default Swaps and Market Information2019

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Osano
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Financial Markets

      Volume: 印刷中

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Agency Contracts, Noncommitment Timing Strategy and Real Options2017

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Hori and Hiroshi Osano
    • Journal Title

      The Japanese Economic Re view

      Volume: 68 Pages: 521-554

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed

URL: 

Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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