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Smooth Ambiguity and Real Options

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K03806
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Money/ Finance
Research InstitutionOkayama University

Principal Investigator

Asano Takao  岡山大学, 社会文化科学学域, 教授 (40423157)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywords曖昧性 / リアルオプション / 曖昧さ
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study was titled "Smooth Ambiguity Models and Real Options: Theory and Applications". The project was initially intended to last three years, but due to the impact of Covid 19, it was extended for three years for a total of six years. Analysis was conducted on how ambiguity, which differs from risk, affects the behavior of decision-makers, and research results were obtained that differ from those of conventional risk. This research project has further clarified the significance of analyzing ambiguity as distinct from risk. After completing this research project, we will continue to advance research on ambiguity and the role of ambiguity in decision-making.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究プロジェクトはリスクとは異なる曖昧性という概念が意思決定者の行動にどのような影響を与えるかに関する理論・応用研究である。従来の経済学では、リスクの枠組みで意思決定問題が分析されてきたが、人々の行動を上手く説明できない結果が少なくなかった。本研究プロジェクトは、従来のリスクに関する研究を曖昧性の概念まで拡張することで、従来の枠組みでは解明できなかった意思決定者の行動を説明する結果を提示した。本研究プロジェクトの成果は曖昧性の重要性に光を当てると同時に、更なる研究の必要性を認識させ、今後の応用研究を進展することが期待される。

Report

(7 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (14 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2019 2018 2017 Other

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 7 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Remarks (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Middle-income traps and complexity in economic development2023

    • Author(s)
      Asano Takao、Shibata Akihisa、Yokoo Masanori
    • Journal Title

      Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics

      Volume: 0 Issue: 4 Pages: 556-565

    • DOI

      10.1515/snde-2021-0100

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Quasi-Periodic Motions in a Two-Class Economy with Technology Choice: An Extreme Case2022

    • Author(s)
      Takao Asano, Akihisa Shibata, and Masanori Yokoo
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Dynamics

      Volume: 110 Issue: 1 Pages: 945-961

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11071-022-07643-9

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal investment under ambiguous technology shocks2021

    • Author(s)
      Asano Takao、Osaki Yusuke
    • Journal Title

      European Journal of Operational Research

      Volume: 293 Issue: 1 Pages: 304-311

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ejor.2020.11.047

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Portfolio Allocation Problems between Risky and Ambiguous Assets2019

    • Author(s)
      Asano, Takao and Yusuke Osaki
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Operations Research

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 1 Pages: 63-79

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10479-019-03206-1

    • NAID

      120006845805

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report 2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Initial Capital Induced by the Optimized Certainty Equivalent2019

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai, Takao Asano, and Katsumasa Nishide
    • Journal Title

      Insurance: Mathematics and Economics

      Volume: 85 Pages: 115-125

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.insmatheco.2019.01.006

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Chaotic Dynamics of a Piecewise Linear Model of Credit Cycles2019

    • Author(s)
      Takao Asano and Masanori Yokoo
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Mathematical Economics

      Volume: 80 Pages: 9-21

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jmateco.2018.11.001

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Consequentialism and dynamic consistency in updating ambiguous beliefs2018

    • Author(s)
      Asano Takao, Kojima Hiroyuki
    • Journal Title

      Economic Theory

      Volume: 68 Issue: 1 Pages: 223

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00199-018-1121-0

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report 2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Consequentialism and Dynamic Consistency in Updating Ambiguous Beliefs2018

    • Author(s)
      Takao Asano and Hiroyuki Kojima
    • Journal Title

      京都大学経済研究所ディスカッションペーパーシリーズ

      Volume: No. 987 Pages: 1-34

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Portfolio Allocation Problems between Risky and Ambiguous Assets2017

    • Author(s)
      Takao Asano and Yusuke Osaki
    • Journal Title

      京都大学経済研究所ディスカッションペーパーシリーズ

      Volume: No. 975 Pages: 1-27

    • NAID

      120006845805

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Initial Capital Induced by Optimized Certainty Equivalent2017

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai, Takao Asano, and Katsumasa Nishide
    • Journal Title

      京都大学経済研究所ディスカッションペーパーシリーズ

      Volume: No. 981 Pages: 1-22

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/takaoasano73/takao-asano/research

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/takaoasano73/

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/takaoasano73/home

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/takaoasano73/

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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