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Study on Optimization Method of Phased Evacuation using Mathematical Model of Pedestrian Traffic Flow on Stairs

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K06722
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Town planning/Architectural planning
Research InstitutionTokyo University of Science

Principal Investigator

Mizuno Masayuki  東京理科大学, 理工学研究科国際火災科学専攻, 准教授 (40366448)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords階段避難 / 順次避難 / 避難流動予測 / 避難訓練 / 画像認識 / 避難シミュレーション / 全館避難 / 避難流動 / 防災計画 / 順次避難の最適化 / シミュレーション / 建物火災 / 最適化
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purpose of this study is to develop a method to effectively perform phased evacuation from a high-rise office building. Here, the target solution in phased evacuation is to avoid excessive congestion (long-term waiting state in stairwell) and to keep the evacuation flow from the stairs on the evacuation floor uninterrupted. In addition, in consideration of the smoke flow through the vertical shafts such as elevator shafts and ducting spaces, prioritize the evacuation of the upper floors of the building next to the fire floor and the floor right above.
In this study, we conducted a survey of the evacuation drills in two high-rise office buildings, and developed an image recognition tool to analyze the evacuation flow from the images captured by the survey, a prototype of evacuation simulation in stairwell using an agent-based model, and an evacuation flow calculation method using a spreadsheet.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

実際の全館避難訓練で順次避難を効果的に実施できた。また,避難訓練における階段内の避難流動に関するパラメータを抽出し,階段避難流動予測手法を開発した。開発した手法を用いて階段内の避難流動を予測し避難シナリオ(各階のフェイズ分けと,各フェイズ対象階への避難指示を出すタイミングの設定)を評価できる。階段の寸法や扉配置により避難流動に関するパラメータが多少変わるため,避難訓練を調査することで適用可能である。
画像認識ツールや階段避難シミュレーションのプロトタイプは,改善の余地があるが,ぞれそれリアルタイムでの階段内避難流動の把握や避難流動予測を俯瞰的に可視化するツールとして活用が期待される。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (21 results)

All 2021 2019 2018 2017 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Central Police University(その他の国・地域「台湾」)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Lund University(スウェーデン)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Center Police University(その他の国・地域「台湾」)

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Center Police University(Taiwan)

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 高層事務所ビルにおける全館避難訓練時の階段室内の滞留の発生要因と伝播条件に関する研究2019

    • Author(s)
      門倉博之,関澤愛,佐野友紀,水野雅之,藤井皓介
    • Journal Title

      日本火災学会論文集

      Volume: 69 Pages: 27-36

    • NAID

      130008094736

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The numerical analysis of mass evacuation in Taipei 101 with control volume model2019

    • Author(s)
      Guan-Yuan Wu,Masayuki Mizuno
    • Journal Title

      Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory

      Volume: 96 Pages: 101937-101937

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.simpat.2019.101937

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 超高層集合住宅における避難訓練の調査2018

    • Author(s)
      水野雅之, 野竹宏彰, 吉野攝津子
    • Journal Title

      火災

      Volume: 68(1) Pages: 8-13

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 高層事務所ビルにおける全館避難訓練の実測調査2018

    • Author(s)
      門倉博之, 水野雅之, 関澤愛
    • Journal Title

      火災

      Volume: 68(1) Pages: 2-7

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] International Comparison of Fire Safety Regulations on Means of Escape among Vietnam and Other Countries2018

    • Author(s)
      Hai Duy Bui,Masayuki Mizuno
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of Japan Association for Fire Science and Engineering

      Volume: 68(2) Pages: 45-62

    • NAID

      130007742784

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Study on Pedestrian Flow Inducement Effect in Staircase at evacuation drill of a High-rise Office Building2021

    • Author(s)
      SeongKyung Park, Masayuki Mizuno, Tomonori Sano, Kosuke Fujii, Ai Sekizawa, Hiroyuki Kadokura
    • Organizer
      13th International Association for Fire Safety Science Symposium
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 高層事務所ビルの全館避難訓練での避難誘導調査 その2 順次避難シナリオによる階段内避難流動2019

    • Author(s)
      朴聖經,水野雅之、土方佑一郞、関澤愛、藤井皓介、佐野友紀、奥山将行
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高層事務所ビルにおける全館避難訓練の実測調査 その3 避難訓練参加者へのアンケート調査結果2019

    • Author(s)
      水野雅之、朴聖經,土方佑一郞、鈴木駿太、関澤愛、藤井皓介、佐野友紀
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高層事務所ビルの全館避難訓練時における階段歩行に関する実測調査とその分析 その19 階段室内に警備員を配置した避難誘導と順次避難シナリオの改善2019

    • Author(s)
      朴聖經,水野雅之、土方佑一郞、鈴木駿太、関澤愛、藤井皓介、門倉博之、佐野友紀、奥山将行
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高層事務所ビルの全館避難訓練時における階段歩行に関する実測調査とその分析 その20 階段踊り場での避難誘導に関する画像解析2019

    • Author(s)
      鈴木駿太、朴聖經,水野雅之、関澤愛、藤井皓介、門倉博之、佐野友紀
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Descending Evacuation on Staircases: How Accurate are Models in Representing Movement Without Merging?2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomonori Sano, Enrico Ronchi, Yalong Wu, Ai Sekizawa, Masayuki Mizuno, Seounkyung Park, Kosuke Fujii, and Hiroyuki Kadokura
    • Organizer
      15th International Conference and Exhibition on Fire Science and Engineering
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 高層事務所ビルにおける全館避難訓練の実測調査2018

    • Author(s)
      SeongKyung Park, 水野雅之,土方佑一郞,藤井皓介,佐野友紀,奥山将行
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Development of Mathematical Model of Evacuation Flow in A Staircase Based on A Survey Result of A Real Evacuation Drill in A High-rise Office Building2017

    • Author(s)
      MASAYUKI MIZUNO, KOSUKE FUJII, HIROYUKI KADOKURA, FUQIU WANG, TOMONORI SANO, and AI SEKIZAWA
    • Organizer
      International Association for Fire Safety Science
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 高層オフィスビルでの順次避難による全館避難訓練時の階段内の避難流動の分析2017

    • Author(s)
      水野雅之,藤井皓介,門倉博之,佐野友紀,関澤愛
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Analysis of Optimal Scenario of Total Evacuation in High-rise Office Buildings2017

    • Author(s)
      Fuqiu Wang, Masayuki Mizuno
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 高層事務所ビルの全館避難訓練時における階段歩行にカンする実測調査とその分析 その17 -順次避難計画の作成と合流及び滞留の発生に対する計画の効果-2017

    • Author(s)
      藤井皓介,水野雅之,名角貫志,田中教之,門倉博之,関澤愛,佐野友紀
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 高層事務所ビルの全館避難訓練時における階段歩行に関する実測調査とその分析 その18 -階段での混雑回避を目指した順次避難計画下の避難流動の分析2017

    • Author(s)
      名角貫志,水野雅之,田中教之,王福秋,藤井皓介,門倉博之,関澤愛,佐野友紀
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2022-08-22  

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