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Empirical Analyses on Radical Right Party Support, Xenophobia, and Electoral Mobilizations in Europe

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K13676
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Politics
Research InstitutionThe University of Kitakyushu

Principal Investigator

NAKAI Ryo  北九州市立大学, 法学部, 准教授 (10546328)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Keywords世論調査 / ヨーロッパ / 排外主義 / 右翼 / 選挙 / ナショナリズム / 反移民感情 / サーベイ調査 / 政治学 / 比較政治 / 極右 / 政党政治 / 政治意識 / 極右政党 / 社会調査 / 移民 / 難民 / 計量分析 / 欧州懐疑主義 / 反移民
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We found three main arguments: (1) Xenophobic sentiments, such as support for Radical Right Parties (RRP) and anti-immigrant sentiment, are not defined by individual socioeconomic inferiority, but rather influenced by cultural conservatism. The influences of political distrusts toward European integration are also significant; (2) The effect of electoral mobilization is more significant on the influence of the major centrist parties than on those of the RRP. Xenophobic sentiment among supporters of the RRP has remained stable regardless electoral timing; (3) Individuals with low political interest tend to increase chauvinist sentiment at election time. This may be due to the influence of the information environment including political discourses projected by the RRP.
The above findings were identified through statistical analyses on public opinion polls (in particular, the European Social Survey) and other surveys conducted by author with the support of this research grant.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

学術的には右翼政党支持や反移民感情研究の既存研究と整合的な知見が,ポスト難民危機期においても有効であることを示すとともに,政党支持と排外主義感情(反移民感情)との相互関係についてのより実質的な知見を実証的根拠をもって明らかにした。多文化社会の安定的共生にあって,排外主義政党や感情の支持者を社会経済的弱者だとスティグマタイズすることの誤りや,選挙期間の情報流通へ注視する必要性などを示したと言える。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (41 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (3 results) Journal Article (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Open Access: 7 results,  Peer Reviewed: 6 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results,  Invited: 2 results) Book (3 results) Remarks (7 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Queen's University Belfast(英国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] IRES Uppsala University/Umea University(スウェーデン)

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Queen's University Belfast(英国)

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 「欧州におけるポスト難民危機期の排外意識分析:右翼政党支持・反移民態度・反欧州統合」2020

    • Author(s)
      中井遼
    • Journal Title

      『国際論集』

      Volume: 18 Pages: 43-72

    • NAID

      120006860680

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 「2019年欧州議会選前の右翼政党支持要因の計量分析――European Social Surveyによる実証」2020

    • Author(s)
      中井遼
    • Journal Title

      『ワセダアジアレビュー』

      Volume: 22 Pages: 33-39

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 「選挙と政党政治はどのようなナショナリズムを強めるのか―ラトヴィア総選挙前後サーベイ調査から」2019

    • Author(s)
      中井遼
    • Journal Title

      『日本比較政治学会年報』

      Volume: 21 Pages: 107-134

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Determinants of Society Integration in Estonia and Latvia: International Environments, Domestic Political Actors, and Discourses2019

    • Author(s)
      Nakai Ryo
    • Journal Title

      Nationalism and Ethnic Politics

      Volume: 25 Issue: 3 Pages: 329-335

    • DOI

      10.1080/13537113.2019.1639430

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 「翻訳:ジュジャ・チェルゲー、ジェームス・M・ゴーリアー「ナショナリストの諸戦略とヨーロッパ統合」」2019

    • Author(s)
      中井遼
    • Journal Title

      『北九州市立大学法政論集』

      Volume: 46(3/4) Pages: 137-184

    • NAID

      40021841344

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] "Does Electoral Proximity Enhance National Pride? Evidence from Monthly Surveys in a Multi‐ethnic Society - Latvia"2018

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Journal Title

      Studies in Ethnicity and Nationalism

      Volume: 18(3) Issue: 3 Pages: 262-280

    • DOI

      10.1111/sena.12285

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] "Rise of Outsiders in Estonia and Latvia Municipal Elections in 2017: Radical Rightist and Reformist Populist"2018

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Law and Political Science (Kitakyushu Shiritsu Daigaku Hou-Sei Ronshu)

      Volume: 46(1/2) Pages: 95-105

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 「ヨーロッパにおける2つの反移民感情:人種差別と外国人忌避の規定要因分析」2018

    • Author(s)
      中井遼
    • Journal Title

      『レヴァイアサン』

      Volume: 62 Pages: 48-70

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] "Latvia’s Same Old Story: the rise of new parties and a never-ending inchoate party system”2018

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Journal Title

      Who Governs Europe

      Volume: 0 Pages: 1-1

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 書評:Grigore Pop-Eleches and Joshua A. Tucker, Communism's Shadow: Historical Legacies and Contemporary Political Attitudes2018

    • Author(s)
      中井遼
    • Journal Title

      『アジア経済』

      Volume: 59(4) Pages: 89-91

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 中井遼「ヨーロッパにおける2つの反移民感情:人種差別と外国人忌避の規定要因分析」2018

    • Author(s)
      中井遼
    • Journal Title

      『レヴァイアサン』

      Volume: 62

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] "Is Solidarity a Long Way Off? Explaining Divergent National Positions towards Refugee-Sharing in the midst of the EU's Refugee Crisis,"2018

    • Author(s)
      TAKEDA, Ken and Ryo NAKAI
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Inter-Regional Studies: Regional and Global Perspectives

      Volume: 1(1) Pages: 74-93

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] "Attitudes toward Visible Migrants in the Baltic States: An Empirical Analysis with Social Survey Data"2018

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Law and Political Science (Kitakyushu Shiritsu Daigaku Hou-Sei Ronshu)

      Volume: 45(3/4)

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 「難民の分担をめぐる欧州諸国の世論分析-欧州懐疑要因の検討」2018

    • Author(s)
      中井遼,武田健
    • Journal Title

      『国際政治』

      Volume: 190 Pages: 49-64

    • NAID

      130007535519

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 「バルト諸国におけるカリーニングラード認識の差異と変化:報道内容分析による接近」2017

    • Author(s)
      中井遼
    • Journal Title

      『ロシア・ユーラシアの経済と社会』

      Volume: 2017年12月号(No.1023) Pages: 2-16

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] "Critical Trust in European Institutions: The Case of the Russian-Speaking Minorities in Estonia and Latvia"2016

    • Author(s)
      Cianetti, Licia and Ryo Nakai
    • Journal Title

      Problems of Post-Communism

      Volume: online first Issue: 5 Pages: 276-290

    • DOI

      10.1080/10758216.2016.1237292

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Ethnofederal Elections and National Identities: Cross-National Survey Research"2019

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Organizer
      , International Political Science Association - Reserach Commitee 44 International Conference International Conference on Global Risk, Security and Ethnicity, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Presence-Polarization Dilemma of Minority Political Participation: Evidence from Estonia, Latvia, Slovakia, and Romania"2019

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo, and Timofey AGARIN
    • Organizer
      International Political Science Association - Research Commitee 14 Colloquium, Sarajevo University, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Minority Participation in New Democracies: Which Segment of Latvian Society is Challenging Democracy?"2019

    • Author(s)
      AGARIN, Timofey and Ryo NAKAI
    • Organizer
      International Political Science Association - Research Commitee 14 Colloquium, Sarajevo University, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Variety of Political Participation and Trust for Democracy among Ethnic Minorities: A Comparative Analysis of Central and Eastern Europe"2019

    • Author(s)
      中井 遼
    • Organizer
      第4回 Japanese Consortium for Political Science
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] "Compassi"Compassing honest and diverse attitude toward immigrants in Latvia and Estonia: Empirical result from an experimental survey" ng honest and diverse attitude toward immigrants in Latvia and Estonia: Empirical result from an experimental survey"2018

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Organizer
      2nd Riga Readings in Social Sciences
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Electoral Proximity and National Pride Evidence from Monthly Survey in a Multiethnic Society Latvia"2018

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Organizer
      2018 Annual Conference of Taiwanese Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] "Support Bases of Latvian Political Parties in 2018 Elections: An Approach from Survey Data"2018

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Organizer
      Roundtable discussion "Latvian Parliamentary Elections 2018" Institute for Russian and Eurasian Studies, Uppsala University
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] "Does Ethnofederalism Increase or Reduce Voters National Attachment? Cross-national Longitudinal Survey Research"2018

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Organizer
      25th World Congress of Political Science, International Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "New phase of party politics in which ‘west meet the east’? 2017 municipal elections in Estonia and Latvia,"2018

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Organizer
      International Conference - West-European Politics in 2017 [Waseda University: Tokyo, Japan]
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Ethnic Federalism and National Identity"2018

    • Author(s)
      中井遼
    • Organizer
      第3回 Japan Consortium of Political Research 〔東北大学,仙台市〕
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] "Dilution of National Identity in Ethnofederal Election: Cross National Longitudinal Survey Research"2017

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Organizer
      International Political Science Association, Join Colloquium of RC14, RC28, and RC13 [University of Cyprus: Nicosia, Cyprus]
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Attitude toward Non-European Outsider Migrants in the Baltic States: An Empirical Analysis with Social Survey Data"2017

    • Author(s)
      NAKAI, Ryo
    • Organizer
      The 12th Conference on Baltic Studies in Europe [University of Latvia: Riga, Latvia]
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] 共生社会の再構築Ⅱ デモクラシーと境界線の再定位2019

    • Author(s)
      大賀 哲、仁平 典宏、山本 圭、北田 暁大、新嶋 良恵、津田 正太郎、高原 基彰、西田 亮介、加藤 伸吾、富永 京子、中井 遼、秦 正樹、山腰 修三
    • Total Pages
      254
    • Publisher
      法律文化社
    • ISBN
      4589040026
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 教養としてのヨーロッパ政治2019

    • Author(s)
      松尾 秀哉、近藤 康史、近藤 正基、溝口 修平
    • Total Pages
      496
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • ISBN
      9784623086412
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Europeanization and Minority Political Agency: Lessons from Central and Eastern Europe2018

    • Author(s)
      Zsuzsa Csergo & Ada-Charlotte Regelmann
    • Total Pages
      108
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781138614406
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 個人ページ

    • URL

      http://www.ryonakai.jpn.org/works.html

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] ResearchMap

    • URL

      https://researchmap.jp/read0141431

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Google Scholar

    • URL

      https://scholar.google.co.jp/citations?user=F-ebPBsAAAAJ&hl=ja

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] researchmap

    • URL

      https://researchmap.jp/read0141431

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Ryo NAKAI's Home Page

    • URL

      http://www.ryonakai.jpn.org/index.html

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 代表者Researchmap

    • URL

      https://researchmap.jp/read0141431/

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 代表者個人webページ

    • URL

      http://www.geocities.jp/stebuklas0311/works.html

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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