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Optimal forward guidance and macroprudential policy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K13768
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Money/ Finance
Research InstitutionMatsuyama University

Principal Investigator

Hasui Kohei  松山大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (90780619)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywordsゼロ金利政策 / 金融安定化 / マクロ・プルーデンス政策 / 信用拡大 / 金融安定化政策 / 金利の慣性 / フィナンシャル・アクセラレータ / 金融機関のバランスシート / 金融摩擦 / フォワード・ガイダンス / 最適金融政策 / 流動性の罠 / マクロ・プルーデンス
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The objective of this project is to analyze interaction of forward guidance and macroprudential policy. The main finding of this research project is as follows. I found that the long zero-interest-rate policy possibly increases the excess credit expansion (Hasui, 2020, Bulletin of Matsuyama University). On the other hand, credit stabilization policy expands credit when the economy is in a liquidity trap. This is because the strong credit stabilization policy requires the longer zero-interest-rate policy, and hence the excess credit expansion occurs.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

以下の学術的・社会的意義があると考えている。第1は,2008年の米国の金融危機後の先進国では長期間のゼロ金利政策が続いているが,こうした長期的ゼロ金利政策がマクロ・プルーデンス政策の観点からは基本的にトレードオフになる可能性があることを数量的に示したことである。
第2は,ゼロ金利政策時には,金融安定化・マクロ・プルーデンス政策が必ずしも意図した政策効果が得られない可能性があることを数量的に示したことである。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2020 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 Other

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Open Access: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 5 results) Presentation (5 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Optimal irreversible monetary policy2021

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Hasui, Teruyoshi Kobayashi, and Tomohiro Sugo
    • Journal Title

      European Economic Review

      Volume: 134 Pages: 103707-103707

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103707

    • NAID

      120007002562

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 金利の不完全パススルーが存在する経済における頑健な金融政策の分析2021

    • Author(s)
      蓮井康平
    • Journal Title

      掛下達郎・西尾圭一郎・蓮井康平「日米の証券化と地方銀行の経営戦略―頑健な金融政策を視野に入れて―」松山大学地域研究センター叢書

      Volume: 17 Pages: 94-142

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Monetary policy inertia, macroprudential policy, and financial stability in a liquidity trap2020

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Hasui
    • Journal Title

      松山大学論集

      Volume: 32(5) Pages: 59-78

    • NAID

      120007037683

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Trend growth and robust monetary policy2020

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Hasui
    • Journal Title

      The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics

      Volume: online publication Issue: 2 Pages: 449-472

    • DOI

      10.1515/bejm-2020-0133

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] How robustness can change the desirability of speed limit policy2020

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Hasui
    • Journal Title

      Scottish Journal of Political Economy

      Volume: online publication Issue: 5 Pages: 553-570

    • DOI

      10.1111/sjpe.12268

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A note on robust monetary policy and non-zero trend Inflation2020

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Hasui
    • Journal Title

      Macroeconomic Dynamics

      Volume: 24(6) Issue: 6 Pages: 1574-1594

    • DOI

      10.1017/s1365100518000883

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Role of expectations in a liquidity trap2018

    • Author(s)
      Hasui Kohei、Nakazono Yoshiyuki、Teranishi Yuki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 52 Pages: 201-215

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2018.12.004

    • NAID

      210000180915

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Speed Limit Policy and Knightian Uncertainty2019

    • Author(s)
      蓮井康平
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Policy Irreversibility as a Commitment Device at the Zero-Lower Bound2019

    • Author(s)
      蓮井康平
    • Organizer
      DSGE Conference 2019
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Speed Limit Policy and Knightian Uncertainty2018

    • Author(s)
      蓮井康平
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Note on Robust Monetary Policy and Non-zero Trend Inflation.2018

    • Author(s)
      蓮井康平
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Note on Nominal Rigidities and Model Misspecification2017

    • Author(s)
      蓮井康平
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 松山大学論集

    • URL

      https://matsuyama-u-r.repo.nii.ac.jp/index.php?action=pages_view_main&active_action=repository_view_main_item_snippet&index_id=10&pn=1&count=20&order=7&lang=japanese&page_id=13&block_id=32

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2022-01-27  

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