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Development of methods for trends analysis of cancer incidence and mortality with varying coefficient model

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K15842
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Epidemiology and preventive medicine
Research InstitutionOsaka Medical College (2018-2019)
Osaka International Cancer Institute (2017)

Principal Investigator

Fukui Keisuke  大阪医科大学, 研究支援センター, 助教 (50760922)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywordsがん / 変化係数モデル / ポアソン回帰 / がん疫学 / 統計科学 / 社会医学 / 統計数学 / 統計
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Projecting cancer mortality is fundamental to the process of planning cancer control. In this study, we focus on the varying coefficient model for analyzing the longitudinal trend of cancer incidence and mortality in order to generalize the structure of time-varying factors and introducing non-time-varying factors such as regional characteristics and socioeconomic disparities.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

がんの経時変動要因の分析はがん対策の評価・立案において重要である. 本研究ではがんの経時変動要因分析の手法の一つである変化係数モデルを用いた方法について, 経時変動要因以外の要因の導入可能性の検討や, 統計的推定手法の開発を行った. 本研究成果による変化係数モデルが実際に適用された場合には, 我が国のがん対策へ有用な情報の提供が可能になると考えられる.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (21 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 10 results,  Open Access: 6 results) Presentation (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Invited: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] A Fast Optimization Method for Additive Model via Partial Generalized Ridge Regression2020

    • Author(s)
      Fukui Keisuke、Ohishi Mineaki、Yamamura Mariko、Yanagihara Hirokazu
    • Journal Title

      ntelligent Decision Technologies: Proceedings of the 12th KES International Conference on Intelligent Decision Technologies (KES-IDT-20)

      Volume: 193 Pages: 279-290

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-981-15-5925-9_24

    • ISBN
      9789811559242, 9789811559259
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Trends in incidence and long-term survival of Japanese women with vulvar cancer: a population-based analysis2019

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka Yusuke、Ueda Yutaka、Kakuda Mamoru、Yagi Asami、Okazawa Akiko、Egawa-Takata Tomomi、Matsuzaki Shinya、Kobayashi Eiji、Yoshino Kiyoshi、Fukui Keisuke、Ito Yuri、Nakayama Tomio、Kimura Tadashi
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Clinical Oncology

      Volume: 24 Issue: 9 Pages: 1137-1142

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10147-019-01453-7

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Epidemiological and clinical analyses of cervical cancer using data from the population-based Osaka cancer registry2019

    • Author(s)
      Yagi A, Ueda Y, Kakuda M, Tanaka Y, Ikeda S, Matsuzaki S, Kobayashi E, Morishima T, Miyashiro I, Fukui K, Ito Y, Nakayama T, Kimura T
    • Journal Title

      Cancer Research

      Volume: 79 Issue: 6 Pages: 1252-1259

    • DOI

      10.1158/0008-5472.can-18-3109

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Statistical inference for estimating the incidence of cancer at the prefectural level in Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Tanabe, R., Kamo, K., Fukui, K., Imori, S.
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Clinical Oncology

      Volume: 49 Issue: 5 Pages: 481-485

    • DOI

      10.1093/jjco/hyz033

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Trends and projections of cancer mortality in Osaka, Japan from 1977 to 20322019

    • Author(s)
      Fukui Keisuke、Ito Yuri、Nakayama Tomio
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Clinical Oncology

      Volume: 49 Issue: 4 Pages: 383-388

    • DOI

      10.1093/jjco/hyy204

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A population-based cohort study to evaluate the effectiveness of lung cancer screening using low-dose CT in Hitachi city, Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Nawa Takeshi、Fukui Keisuke、Nakayama Tomio、Sagawa Motoyasu、Nakagawa Tohru、Ichimura Hideo、Mizoue Tetsuya
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Clinical Oncology

      Volume: 49 Issue: 2 Pages: 130-136

    • DOI

      10.1093/jjco/hyy185

    • NAID

      120007133650

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Simulation Models in Gastric Cancer Screening: A Systematic Review2018

    • Author(s)
      Matsuda Ayako、Saika Kumiko、Tanaka Rina、Ito Yuri、Fukui Keisuke、Kamo Ken-Ichi
    • Journal Title

      Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention

      Volume: 19 Issue: 12 Pages: 3321-3334

    • DOI

      10.31557/apjcp.2018.19.12.3321

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Tobacco Price Increases and Population Interest in Smoking Cessation in Japan Between 2004 and 2016: A Google Trends Analysis2018

    • Author(s)
      Tabuchi Takahiro、Fukui Keisuke、Gallus Silvano
    • Journal Title

      Nicotine & Tobacco Research

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 4 Pages: 475-480

    • DOI

      10.1093/ntr/nty020

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Short-term outcomes of open liver resection and laparoscopic liver resection: Secondary analysis of data from a multicenter prospective study (CSGO-HBP-004)2017

    • Author(s)
      Kobayashi Shogo、Fukui Keisuke、Takeda Yutaka、Nakahira Shin、Tsujie Masanori、Shimizu Junzo、Miyamoto Atsushi、Eguchi Hidetoshi、Nagano Hiroaki、Doki Yuichiro、Mori Masaki
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Gastroenterological Surgery

      Volume: 2 Issue: 1 Pages: 87-94

    • DOI

      10.1002/ags3.12046

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Descriptive epidemiological study of vaginal cancer using data from the Osaka Japan population-based cancer registry: Long-term analysis from a clinical viewpoint2017

    • Author(s)
      Yagi, A. Ueda, Y. Kakuda, M. Tanaka, Y. Egawa-Takata, T. Morimoto, A. Iwamiya, T. Matsuzaki, S. Kobayashi, E. Yoshino, K. Fukui, K. Ito, Y. Nakayama, T. Kimura, T.
    • Journal Title

      Medicine

      Volume: 96 Issue: 32 Pages: e7751-e7751

    • DOI

      10.1097/md.0000000000007751

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] Tool for survival analysis on cancer registry2019

    • Author(s)
      Fukui K., Komukai S. & Ito Y
    • Organizer
      The 41th annual meeting of the International Association of Cancer Registries
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Microsimulation model によるがん死亡率減少効果の推定2019

    • Author(s)
      福井敬祐
    • Organizer
      日本計量生物学会年会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Variable selection method for nonparametric varying coefficient model via group lasso penalty2019

    • Author(s)
      福井 敬祐・大石峰煇・小田凌也・岡村 健介・伊藤 嘉道・ 栁原 宏和
    • Organizer
      2019年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] がん登録を活用した生存率算出のためのツール作成と提供2019

    • Author(s)
      福井敬祐・小向翔・伊藤ゆり
    • Organizer
      日本がん登録協議会学術集会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimation of effects of colorectal cancer screening by Fecal Occult Blood Test for reduction in colorectal cancer mortality based on micro-simulation model.2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukui K, Ito Y, Kamo K, Katanoda K, Nakayama T.
    • Organizer
      The 40th annual meeting of the International Association of Cancer Registries
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] マイクロシミュレーションモデルを用いた大腸がん検診における受診年齢上限 の検討2018

    • Author(s)
      福井敬祐・加茂憲一・伊藤ゆり・片野田耕太・中山富雄
    • Organizer
      日本疫学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ミンククジラの身体データを例とした粗密がある空間データでのFused Lasso による空間効果の推定2018

    • Author(s)
      福井 敬祐・山村麻理子・栁原宏和・ Hiroko Solvang・NilsOien・Tore Haug.
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A local cohort detection for Osaka cancer registry with varying coefficient model2018

    • Author(s)
      福井敬祐
    • Organizer
      日本がん登録協議会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 加茂憲一, 片野田耕太, 中山富雄2018

    • Author(s)
      福井敬祐
    • Organizer
      第28回 日本疫学会学術総会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 都道府県別にみた健康格差指標の経年変化2017

    • Author(s)
      福井敬祐,伊藤ゆり, 近藤尚己, 中谷友樹
    • Organizer
      第76回日本公衆衛生学会総会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A local cohort detection for cancer incidence and mortality in Osaka, Japan using varying coefficient model2017

    • Author(s)
      Fukui K, Ito Y, Morishima T, Nakata K, Tabuchi T, Nakayama T, Miyashiro I, and Kamo K.
    • Organizer
      39th annual meeting of International Association of Cancer Registries
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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