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Development of Estimation Method of Future Wind Power Output Fluctuations Considering Smoothing Effects

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K17704
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Power engineering/Power conversion/Electric machinery
Energy engineering
Research InstitutionTokyo University of Agriculture and Technology

Principal Investigator

Ikegami Takashi  東京農工大学, 工学(系)研究科(研究院), 准教授 (70534460)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords風力発電 / 再生可能エネルギー / 発電出力変動 / 平滑化効果 / 電力需給解析 / 電力工学 / 風力
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The synthesized output fluctuation of geographically dispersed wind turbines is expected to decrease because positive and negative changes in outputs cancel each other. In order to quantitatively evaluate this "Smoothing Effect", the power output data at intervals of several seconds at 74 wind power plants in Japan. In this study, novel quantitative definitions of the Smoothing Effect of the output fluctuations associated with the frequency controls of power systems were proposed. Using the output fluctuation rate quantified by these definitions for each power system area, the future output fluctuations, which is the future spread of wind power generation, were estimated. By analyzing the supply and demand balancing of electric power system using these estimated fluctuation data, the effects of the renewable energy output fluctuation countermeasure technology were clarified.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

風力発電の出力変動について、平滑化効果を定量化することによって、普及が進んだ状況における変動を推計できるようになった。また、電力システムの運用に合わせて変動量を定義して用いたため、今後さらに導入が進むことが期待される風力発電を既存の電力システムに組み込む際に必要となる需給調整力を適切に評価することができ、必要となる対策技術の効果を分析できるようになった。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2020 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (10 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Long-term Transition of the Value of PV and Wind Power Installation based on the Renewable Energy Penetration Scenario2020

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki Ikumi、Negishi Shintaro、Ikegami Takashi
    • Journal Title

      IEEJ Transactions on Power and Energy

      Volume: 140 Issue: 6 Pages: 521-530

    • DOI

      10.1541/ieejpes.140.521

    • NAID

      130007850236

    • ISSN
      0385-4213, 1348-8147
    • Year and Date
      2020-06-01
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Geographical smoothing effects on wind power output variation in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Takanori Enomoto、Takashi Ikegami、Chiyori T. Urabe、Tetsuo Saitou、Kazuhiko Ogimoto,
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Smart Grid and Clean Energy

      Volume: 7(3) Pages: 188-194

    • DOI

      10.12720/sgce.7.3.188-194

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Numerical definitions of wind power output fluctuations for power system operations2018

    • Author(s)
      Ikegami Takashi、Urabe Chiyori T.、Saitou Tetsuo、Ogimoto Kazuhiko
    • Journal Title

      Renewable Energy

      Volume: 115 Pages: 6-15

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.renene.2017.08.009

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Long-term effects of reducing fuel costs and CO2 emissions by introducing renewable energy systems in Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Ikumi Suzuki、Shintaro Negishi、Takashi Ikegami
    • Organizer
      6th International Conference on Renewable Energy Technologies
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 再エネ普及シナリオに基づく長期的な太陽光・風力発電導入価値変遷の分析2019

    • Author(s)
      鈴木郁海、根岸信太郎、池上貴志
    • Organizer
      令和元年電気学会電力・エネルギー部門大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 風力発電出力変動量の地域特性と季節特性を考慮した電力需給解析2018

    • Author(s)
      好川宗一朗、池上貴志、荻本和彦
    • Organizer
      平成30年電気学会電力・エネルギー部門大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Quantification of wind power output fluctuations and its geographical smoothing effects for power system operations2018

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Ikegami
    • Organizer
      6th International Conference on Green Energy and Expo
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Geographical smoothing effects on wind power output variations in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Takanori Enomoto、Takashi Ikegami、Chiyori T. Urabe、Tetsuo Saitou、Kazuhiko Ogimoto
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Environment and Renewable Energy
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 風力発電出力変動量の地域特性および季節特性の分析2017

    • Author(s)
      榎本孝紀、池上貴志、占部千由、斉藤哲夫、荻本和彦
    • Organizer
      平成29年電気学会電力・エネルギー部門大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 平滑化効果を考慮した将来の風力発電出力短周期変動量の推計手法2017

    • Author(s)
      成澤邦明、池上貴志、占部千由、斉藤哲夫、荻本和彦
    • Organizer
      平成29年電気学会電力・エネルギー部門大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2022-01-27  

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