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Estimation of tourism benefits by considering travelers decision-making process and congestion

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K18038
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Tourism Studies
Environmental agriculture(including landscape science)
Research InstitutionHokusei Gakuen University

Principal Investigator

Nohara Katsuhito  北星学園大学, 経済学部, 教授 (80584854)

Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords仮想行動 / 旅行費用法 / 階層化意思決定法 / カウントデータモデル / 仮想行動法 / AHP / ハフモデル / 観光の便益 / 地域固有資源 / 魅力度評価 / 時間価値 / 混雑現象 / オンサイトサンプリング / 余剰分析 / カウントデータ / 環境経済学 / カウントデータ分析 / 仮想行動TCM / サイト選択モデル
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study, I have theoretically and empirically estimated tourism benefits by considering the impact of external factors on the decision-making structure of travelers. The empirical analysis was conducted in Hokkaido and Okinawa, which are very popular tourist destinations in Japan because of their use of the natural environment as a tourist resource, and in Fukushima, which suffered a significant negative impact on tourism due to the earthquake disaster. As a result, I was able to clarify the decision-making structure of tourists and identify measures to utilize tourism resources in each region.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究の学術的意義は3つある。1つ目は、旅行者の意思決定構造を明らかにし、地域の観光資源の何が観光客を惹きつけているのかについて、居住地と当該地との距離(時間価値)を考慮し明確に示した点である。2つ目は、TCM-CBにおいて従来の便益推計の手法よりも精緻な推計方法が可能となる方法を提案し、福島のレクリエーション便益の損失を推計した点である。3つ目は、地域の観光資源の劣化が観光客の減少に繋がり大きな観光便益の損失に繋がることを、沖縄県の離島を対象に実証的に明らかにした点である。今後、サステイナブルツーリズムを進めていく上で、重要な知見を提供した点において社会的意義は大きいと考えられる。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2022 2021 2019 2018 2017 Other

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Analysis of Tourism in Hokkaido Using Analytic Hierarchy Process and the Huff Model2021

    • Author(s)
      野原克仁
    • Journal Title

      The Tourism Studies

      Volume: 33 Issue: 1 Pages: 19-30

    • DOI

      10.18979/jitr.33.1_19

    • NAID

      40022751142

    • ISSN
      1342-0208, 2189-7530
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Using contingent behavior analysis to estimate benefits from coral reefs in Kume Island, Japan: A Poisson-inverse Gaussian approach with on-site correction2021

    • Author(s)
      Katsuhito Nohara, Masaki Narukawa, and Akira Hibiki
    • Journal Title

      Tohoku University Policy Design Lab Discussion Paper

      Volume: 1 Pages: 1-21

    • NAID

      120007033383

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Using contingent behavior analysis to estimate benefits from coral reefs in Kume Island, Japan: A Poisson-inverse Gaussian approach with on-site correction2021

    • Author(s)
      Nohara, K., Narukawa, M., and Hibiki, A
    • Journal Title

      Tohoku University Policy deign lab discussion paper

      Volume: 1 Pages: 1-21

    • NAID

      120007033383

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Estimating the value of coral reefs in Kume Island, Japan, using a contingent behavior method: A Poisson-Inverse Gaussian approach with on-site correction2019

    • Author(s)
      Nohara,K., Narukawa, M. and Hibiki, A.
    • Journal Title

      Data Science and Service Research Discussion Paper

      Volume: 103 Pages: 1-21

    • NAID

      120006767963

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] The recreational value of coral reefs in Okinawa Prefecture: A site choice model2018

    • Author(s)
      Nohara, K, A. Okagawa, A. Hibiki, and H. Yamano
    • Journal Title

      韓国環境経済学会夏季学術大会論文集

      Volume: 0 Pages: 137-149

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Zero-truncated panel Poisson mixture models: Estimating the impact on tourism benefits in Fukushima Prefecture2018

    • Author(s)
      Masaki Narukawa and Katsuhito Nohara
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Environmental Management

      Volume: 211 Pages: 238-246

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] How much do households value the avoidance of prolonged outages due to natural disasters?2022

    • Author(s)
      Katsuhito Nohara
    • Organizer
      Hiroshima International Conference on Peace and Sustainability
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Estimating the value of coral reefs in Kume Island, Japan, using a contingent behavior method: A Poisson-Inverse Gaussian approach with on-site correction2019

    • Author(s)
      野原克仁
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The recreational value of coral reefs in Okinawa Prefecture: A site choice model (revised version)2019

    • Author(s)
      野原克仁
    • Organizer
      Western Economic Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The recreational value of coral reefs in Okinawa Prefecture: A site choice model2018

    • Author(s)
      野原克仁
    • Organizer
      Korea Environmental Economics Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ゼロ切断パネルポアソン混合モデル: 仮想トラベルコスト法を用いた福島県の レクリエーション便益損失の推計2017

    • Author(s)
      野原克仁・生川雅紀
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 東北大学大学院 経済学研究科 Policy Design Lab.

    • URL

      https://www2.econ.tohoku.ac.jp/~PDesign/001.html

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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