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Trade-off analysis of returning home and radiation exposure using happy life expectancy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17K20069
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Research (Exploratory)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Environmental conservation measure and related fields
Research InstitutionFukushima Medical University

Principal Investigator

Murakami Michio  福島県立医科大学, 医学部, 准教授 (50509932)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 竹林 由武  福島県立医科大学, 医学部, 助教 (00747537)
Project Period (FY) 2017-06-30 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥6,370,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,470,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥3,120,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥720,000)
Keywordsリスク評価 / 主観的幸福度
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study, we proposed the methodology of the assessment from both life expectancy and wellbeing toward support for individual and societal decision-making and then performed trade-off analysis of returning home and radiation exposure after the Fukushima accident. Wellbeing among returnees was higher than those who could not decide whether to return. Disaster-related factors associated with wellbeing differed among return and evacuation status. Happy life expectancy was estimated under a scenario that returning home was achieved among those who could not decide whether to return or who hoped to return. Gain of happy life expectancy due to returning home was higher than loss of happy life expectancy due to radiation exposure.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究では、経済学および心理学の分野で用いられる幸福度の概念を構造化し、妥当性と信頼性を確認した。さらに、従来の指標では測定できないような便益や損失も評価できる指標として獲得幸福余命の概念を確立し、福島第一原子力発電所事故後の帰還と被ばくのトレードオフ解析に適用した。本研究により、避難指示解除に関する展望をできるだけ早く提示するといった対策や避難・帰還の状況に応じた対策が重要であることが明らかになったことに加えて、帰還に伴う幸福度向上が持つ効果量が被ばくによるリスクよりもはるかに大きい可能性があることが示された。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] The decision to return home and well being after the Fukushima disaster2020

    • Author(s)
      Michio Murakami, Y.Takebayashi, K.Ono, A.Kubota, M.Tsubokura
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction

      Volume: 47 Pages: 1-12

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101538

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Current Status and Issues of Health Risks Among Residents Affected by the Fukushima Nuclear Accident2019

    • Author(s)
      村上道夫
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Risk Analysis

      Volume: 28 Issue: 2 Pages: 63-66

    • DOI

      10.11447/sraj.28.63

    • NAID

      130007637991

    • ISSN
      0915-5465, 2185-4548
    • Year and Date
      2019-04-25
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Lower Psychological Distress Levels among Returnees Compared with Evacuees after the Fukushima Nuclear Accident2019

    • Author(s)
      Michio Murakami, Yoshitake Takebayashi, Masaharu Tsubokura
    • Journal Title

      The Tohoku Journal of Experimental Medicine

      Volume: 247 Issue: 1 Pages: 13-17

    • DOI

      10.1620/tjem.247.13

    • NAID

      130007555530

    • ISSN
      0040-8727, 1349-3329
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] Psychological distress and wellbeing in evacuees and returnees after the Fukushima nuclear disaster2020

    • Author(s)
      Michio Murakami, Yoshitake Takebayashi, and Masaharu Tsubokura
    • Organizer
      The 4th International Symposium of the Network-type Joint Usage/Research Center for Radiation Disaster Medical Science
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Psychological distress and wellbeing after the Fukushima disaster: Perspectives for lifting of evacuation order2020

    • Author(s)
      Michio Murakami, Yoshitake Takebayashi, and Masaharu Tsubokura
    • Organizer
      BfS, OECD/NEA, WHO “Toward a better integration of Non-Radiological Public Health Aspects of Protection Strategies during Radiation Emergency Planning, Response and Recovery” (postponed)
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Health Risks and Values: Support for Evidence- and Norm-Based Decisions2019

    • Author(s)
      Michio Murakami
    • Organizer
      ICRP-QST Symposium on Radiological Protection of People and the Environment in the Event of a Large Nuclear Accident
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 福島の今と未来:リスク学の挑戦2018

    • Author(s)
      村上道夫
    • Organizer
      2018年度一般社団法人日本リスク研究学会第31回年次大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 福島第一原子力発電所事故後のマルチプルリスクの比較2018

    • Author(s)
      村上道夫, 坪倉正治, 小野恭子
    • Organizer
      環境科学会 2018 年会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report

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Published: 2017-07-21   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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