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The disaster risk assessment technique by the statistical approach and its applications for the safety measures

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18310111
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionYokohama National University

Principal Investigator

SEKINE Kazusyohi  Yokohama National University, Graduate School of Environment and Information Scienoes, Professor (40017934)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) YAMADA Minoru  National Research Institute of Fire and Disaster, Research & Development Division, Head (60358778)
MURAKAMI Fumio  Yokohaina National University, Center for Risk Management and Safety Sciences, Associate Professor (30397088)
FURUYA Takashi  Yokoharna National University, Center for Risk Managent and Safey Sciences, Lecturer (10397086)
Project Period (FY) 2006 – 2007
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2007)
Budget Amount *help
¥9,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥5,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,700,000)
KeywordsRisk assessment / Risk curve / Decision making / Fractal / Risk communication / 災害統計分析 / 安全施策立案 / GIS
Research Abstract

In the present study, the methodology of the decision making for the disaster risk assessment and the safety measures was suggested by using a new industrial disaster statistics analysis technique.
The results obtained during the period of 2006-2007 are as follows.
(1) The actual data of the various industrial disasters were analyzed by the proposed method in the present study and the parameters which showed the risk of the industrial disasters were arranged from the risk curve. Furthermore, the risks of the various industrial disasters were compared using the parameters.
(2) The display method on the map of the risk distribution was examined by using GIS to express the risk characteristic for the risk communication between the stakeholders.
(3) The new analytical model for the occurrence characteristics for the various industrial disasters was suggested to verify the method in the present study. Moreover, the occurrence characteristics for the various industrial disasters were also simulated using the percolation model.
(4) The tool of the risk communications was discussed from the viewpoint of social psychology.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2007 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2006 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (9 results)

All 2008 2007

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 石油タンク底板裏面腐食の確率統計的研究(第一報)-実タンクを対象とした連続面計測データを用いた実験的検討-2008

    • Author(s)
      田村孝市
    • Journal Title

      圧力技術 Vol.46,No.1

      Pages: 18-25

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report 2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical Analysis for Corrosion in Bottom Floors of Oil Storage Tanks(The First Report)2008

    • Author(s)
      Koichi, Tamura
    • Journal Title

      Journal of High Pressure Institute of Japan Vol.46, No.1

      Pages: 18-25

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 実データに基づく産業災害被害規模の確率的リスク評価法に関する研究2007

    • Author(s)
      花安繁郎
    • Journal Title

      構造物の安全性及び信頼性 Vol.6

      Pages: 641-646

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Study on Construction of Barrier for Earthquake Disaster Mitigation Based on Risk Management2007

    • Author(s)
      Yukio Yoshikawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society for Safety Engineering Vol.47,No.1

      Pages: 24-31

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report 2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A New probabilistic Assessment Method of Damage Magnitude due to Industrial Accidents based on Actual Data2007

    • Author(s)
      Shigeo, Hanayasu
    • Journal Title

      Japan Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability Vol.6

      Pages: 641-646

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] A Study on Construction of Barrier for Earthquake Disaster Mitigation Based on Risk Management2007

    • Author(s)
      Yukio, Yoshikawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society for Safety Engineering Vol.47, No.1

      Pages: 24-31

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 実データに基づく産業災害被害規模の確率的リスク評価法に関する研究2007

    • Author(s)
      花安 繁郎, 大幢 勝利, 関根 和喜
    • Journal Title

      構造物の安全性及び信頼性 Vol.5(受理済み)

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical Analysis for Corrosion in Bottom Floors of Oil Storage Tanks by Using the Continuous Plate Thickness Measurement Data2008

    • Author(s)
      Yoshio, Tsuji
    • Organizer
      The 40th annual meeting for safety engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Yokohama
    • Year and Date
      2008-12-07
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 連続面計測データを用いた石油タンク底板裏面腐食の統計的研究2007

    • Author(s)
      辻 芳生
    • Organizer
      安全工学会研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      横浜
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report 2007 Final Research Report Summary

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Published: 2006-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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