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An Attempt to Developing the Hybrid Bayesian Conjugate Analysis

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18500220
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionChuo University (2007)
The Institute of Statistical Mathematics (2006)

Principal Investigator

YANAGIMOTO Takemi  Chuo University, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Visiting Professor (40000195)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TOSHIO Ohnishi  The Institute of Statistical Mathmatics, Department of Date Science, Assistant Professor (60353413)
Project Period (FY) 2006 – 2007
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2007)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000)
KeywordsBavesian method / Generalized linear model / Predictive distribution / Coniueate nrior distribution / Comparison of estimators / Frequentist approach / Gaussian hyper-geometric function / ガウス超幾何関数 / ベイズ法 / 共通母数の推定 / 修正尤度法 / 特殊関数 / 高次元母数の推定
Research Abstract

The aim of the present research is to allow Bayesian methods to be acceptable for usual statistical users such as frequentists. It becomes now apparent that Bayesian methods are useful when the model employed contains a high-dimensional parameter This aspect is now important, since such a model is becoming popular in order to apply a realistic model explaining adequately characteristics of the data set in the study. Although a model having a high-dimensional parameter gave rise to serious problem pertaining to numerical computations, this burden is eliminated due to advances in numerical instruments and techniques.
Our approach is to assume a prior distribution only on a part of parameters. This is because a part ofparameters are subject to controversy, and it is not easy to assume a prior distribution acceptable for both sides of stakeholders. When the portion is relatively small, we can expect both advantages of Bayesian and frequentist approaches, since we assume a prior distribution … More on a high-dimensional parameter but do not assume a prior distribution on parameters under controversy. This approach gives rises to various interesting problems to be solved. An example is to reduce necessary computations in terms of the special functions. Note that the use of special functions can allow us the analytical evaluation of the functions appeared in the analysis. Actual models in the study contain the generalized linear model with multiple strata containing a common slope parameter through strata where an error distribution is in the exponential family. A primary interest in this model is usually placed on the common slope parameter, and the remaining stratum-wise parameters are.of secondary interest Recall that such parameter was often treated as nuisance. Such a treatment, however is unrealistic but was employed because of avoidable technical reasons. The present research showed that our research program meets with the need of the current theoretical statistics. We succeeded in proposing several practical methods for inference of a common parameter through strata. The actual error distributions cover the gamma and binomial distributions, which are familiar in the practical data analysis
As a byproduct of our research program we obtained an unexpected result, though any result is not published as yet. It pertains to the relation between the test statistic and the predictive density. It looks that the close relation is widely accepted among theoretical researchers, but any explicit test statistic is no proposed. Note that further detailed studies will be necessary to implement a test statistic and a confidence interval. Less

Report

(3 results)
  • 2007 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2006 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (28 results)

All 2008 2007 2006 Other

All Journal Article (15 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 6 results) Presentation (13 results)

  • [Journal Article] Asymptotical improvement of maximum likelihood estimators on Kullback-Leibler loss2008

    • Author(s)
      Eguchi, S. and Yanagimoto, T.
    • Journal Title

      J.Statist.Plann.Inf. (To appear)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotical improvement of maximum likelihood estimators on Kullback-Leibler loss2008

    • Author(s)
      Eguchi, S., Yanagimoto, T
    • Journal Title

      J. Statist. Plann. Inf (To appear)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotical improvement of maximum likelihood estimators on Kullback-Leibler loss2008

    • Author(s)
      Eguchi, S. and Yanagimoto, T
    • Journal Title

      J.Statist.Plann.Inf. (To appear)

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Conjugate location-dispersion families2007

    • Author(s)
      Ohnishi, T. and Yanagimoto, T.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japan Statistical Society 37

      Pages: 307-325

    • NAID

      110006570587

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report 2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 評価を支える基盤としての項目プールとランダム出題の役割2007

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Journal Title

      東京医歯大融センター記録集 3

      Pages: 29-36

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 統計的方法:設計と否定を重視した検証的推測2007

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Journal Title

      人工知能学会誌 22

      Pages: 648-655

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 生活環境要因のリスク評価:個人と社会2007

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Journal Title

      計量生物学会誌 28

      Pages: 63-73

    • NAID

      10019757777

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Conjugate location-dispersion families2007

    • Author(s)
      Ohnishi, T., Yanagimoto, T
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japan Statistical Society 37

      Pages: 307-325

    • NAID

      110006570587

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] The role of the item pool and random selection as infrastructure of the evaluation2007

    • Author(s)
      Yanagimoto, T
    • Journal Title

      TDM-MD Center Memoir Series 3

      Pages: 29-36

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Statistical method : Confirmatory inference with emphasis on design and rejection2007

    • Author(s)
      Yanagimoto, T
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese Society of the Artificial Intelligence 22

      Pages: 648-655

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Risk Assessment of Human Environmental Factors : An Individual and a Society2007

    • Author(s)
      Yanagimoto, T
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Biometrics 28

      Pages: 63-73

    • NAID

      10019757777

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 評価を支える基盤としての項目プールとランダム出題の役割2007

    • Author(s)
      柳本武美
    • Journal Title

      東京医歯大MDセンター記録集

      Pages: 29-36

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] von Mises分布における経験Bayes推定2006

    • Author(s)
      叶 雄, 大西 俊郎
    • Journal Title

      統計数理 54

      Pages: 177-190

    • NAID

      40007460689

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Empirical Bayesian estimation of von-Mises distribution2006

    • Author(s)
      Ye, S. Ohnishi, T
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of Statistical Mathematics 54

      Pages: 177-190

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic improvement of maximum likelihood estimators on Kullback-Leibler loss

    • Author(s)
      Eguchi, S, Yanagimoto T.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference (In press)

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The use of the Kullback-Leibler separator in place of the the likelihood ratio2008

    • Author(s)
      Yanagimoto, T
    • Organizer
      Research Meeting of Multivariate Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      Hiroshima Univ
    • Year and Date
      2008-01-18
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 尤度比統計量に代わるKL統計量の可能性2008

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Organizer
      シンポジウム「統計的データ解析手法の評緬と開発」
    • Place of Presentation
      広島大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-01-17
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 尤度比統計量に代わるKL統計量の可能性2008

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Organizer
      シンポジウム「「統計的データ解析手法の評価と開発」
    • Place of Presentation
      広島大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-01-17
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Data science as a notion of innovating the present academic carrier in the graduate course2007

    • Author(s)
      Yanagimoto, T
    • Organizer
      Memorial Symposium of Prof. Okamoto
    • Place of Presentation
      Osaka Univ
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-27
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 大学(院)教育を牽引する機軸としてのデータ科学2007

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Organizer
      丘本教授追悼シンポジュウム
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-25
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] ガンマ回帰モデルにおける共通スロープの推定2007

    • Author(s)
      箕田 雄太, 鎌倉 稔成, 柳本 武美
    • Organizer
      日本計算機統計学会第21回シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      鎌倉芸術館
    • Year and Date
      2007-11-15
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report 2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Estimation of a common parameter in the multiple gamma regression models2007

    • Author(s)
      Minoda, Y., Kamakura, T. Yanagimoto, T
    • Organizer
      21st Symp., Japanese Soc. Comput. Statist
    • Place of Presentation
      Kamakura Arts Hall
    • Year and Date
      2007-11-15
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 分布族のe-混合を利用したベイズ予測2007

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Organizer
      2007年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-07
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 分布族の e-混合を利用したベイズ予測2007

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Organizer
      日本計算機統計学会第21回シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-07
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Hybrid Bayes法の提案とその技法2007

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美, 大西 俊郎
    • Organizer
      平成18年度統計数理研究所重点型共同研究研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-01-26
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 洗練された科学的認識論のベイズ統計への含意2006

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Organizer
      研究集会「統計学の哲学と推論」
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Year and Date
      2006-12-16
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 尤度比から相対エントロピーへ:信頼領域の構成2006

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美, 大西 俊郎
    • Organizer
      2006年度 統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学
    • Year and Date
      2006-09-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] 生活環境要因のリスク評価:個人と社会2006

    • Author(s)
      柳本 武美
    • Organizer
      計量生物学会25周年記念企画セッション
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学
    • Year and Date
      2006-09-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary

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Published: 2006-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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