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Simulation Analysis of the Effects of Trade Policy on International Market of Agricultural Products - Analysis with Spatial Equilibrium Model of International Trade -

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18580235
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Agro-economics
Research InstitutionKyushu Sangyo University

Principal Investigator

KAWAGUCHI Tsunemasa  Kyushu Sangyo University, Faculty of Economics, Professor (00003129)

Project Period (FY) 2006 – 2007
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2007)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,970,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000)
KeywordsInternational Trade Policy / Simulation Analysis / Spatial Eaquilibrium Model / Agricultural Products Markets / Appreciation of Chinese YUAN / Drying up of Water Resource
Research Abstract

This Japanese report book has 158 pages of A4 size and collects 3 papers of this project (References [3] [4] [6] in 11.REFERENCES). Also this report includes other information for our presentation at conference ([7]).
Reference [1] summarizes the result of our research about appreciation effects of Chinese YUAN exchange rate on world grain markets. Spatial equilibrium analysis of three products international trade is applied in this research. But this reference published in 2006 is not included in this report. We include in this report only references published in 2007 or 2008.
Reference [2] is the result of our study concerning the effects of FTA mainly on world agricultural products markets. But this reference is not included in this report because of the same reason as reference [1].
Reference [5] is just this report book and includes references [3] [4] [6] in it.
References [3] and [4] summarize our study on the identification problem in cohort analysis of food demand. This study is important to develop a new demand function that takes the differences of consumption pattern among different generations into consideration.
Reference [6] summarizes the result of our research about effects of the change in grain trade fundamentals on world grain markets. Spatial equilibrium analysis of three products international trade is applied in this research. Grain trade fundamentals mean a rapid increase in bio-ethanol production with grain (corn), a rapid and large increase in ocean freight and inland marketing cost for grain trade, a rapid change of the structure of grain demand following a rapid economic growth in large developing countries such as China and India, and occurrence of abnormal weather resulting from the earth warming and a following decrease in grain yields.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2007 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2006 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (19 results)

All 2008 2007 2006 Other

All Journal Article (16 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 6 results) Presentation (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] コウホート分析における識別問題への対処-シミュレーションによる検定-論文[4]2008

    • Author(s)
      森宏, 三枝 義清, 川口 雅正
    • Journal Title

      社会科学年報(専修大学社会科学研究所) 42号

      Pages: 69-99

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 穀物需給の構造変化が世界穀物市場に与える影響-3生産物の国際貿易空間均衡モデルによる分析-論文[5]2008

    • Author(s)
      川口 雅正
    • Journal Title

      平成18年度〜平成19年度科学研究費補助金(基盤研究(C))課題番号18580235研究成果報告書(川口雅正『国際農畜産物市場の政策シミュレーション分析-国際貿易空間均衡モデルによる分析-』全158頁)

      Pages: 4-119

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Measures to Overcome the Identification Problem in Cohort Analysis : Tests Using Simulated Data2008

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi MORI, Yoshiharu SAEGUSA and Tsunemasa KAWAGUCHI
    • Journal Title

      The ShakaikagakuNenpo(The Annual Bulletin of Social Science edited by the Institute for Social Science, Senshu University) No.42

      Pages: 69-99

    • NAID

      120006785884

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Simulation Analysis of the Effects of Thule Pohy On kitemational Market of AgniuItzmd P,tducts-Analysis with Spatial Equilibiiurn Model of hztvmstional 71de -(Report of 2006-2007 Reseatch Project, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research(C), Project Number 18580235)2008

    • Author(s)
      Tsunemasa KAWAGUCHI
    • Journal Title

      (a report book)

      Pages: 1-158

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] コウホート分析における識別問題への対処-シミュレーションによる検定-【論文2】2008

    • Author(s)
      森 宏・三枝 義清・川口 雅正
    • Journal Title

      専修大学社会科学研究所『社会科学年報』 第42号

      Pages: 69-99

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 穀物需給の構造変化が世界穀物市場に与える影響-3生産物の国際貿易空間均衡モデルによる分析-【論文3】2008

    • Author(s)
      川口 雅正
    • Journal Title

      川口雅正『平成18年度〜平成19年度科学研究費補助金(基盤研究(C))課題番号18580235研究成果報告書』(全158頁)

      Pages: 4-119

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] コウホート分析における『識別問題』の克服-中村・IEモデルの比較検討-論文[3]2007

    • Author(s)
      田中 正光, 三枝 義清, 森宏, 川口 雅正
    • Journal Title

      専修経済学論集 42巻1号

      Pages: 1-44

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Overcoming the Identification Problem in Cohort Analysis : A Comparison of Nakamura's Bayesian Approach and Intrinsic Estimator2007

    • Author(s)
      M. TANAKA, Y. SAEGUSA, H. MORI and T. KAWAGUCHI
    • Journal Title

      Senshu Koizaigaku Ronshu(Economic Bulletin of Senshu University) Vol.42, No.1

      Pages: 1-44

    • NAID

      120006791869

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] コウホート分析における『識別問題』の克服-中村・IEモデルの川口雅正比較検討-【論文1】2007

    • Author(s)
      田中 正光・三枝 義清・森 宏・川口 雅正
    • Journal Title

      専修経済学論集 第42巻第1号

      Pages: 1-44

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 中国人民元の切り上げが世界穀物需給に与える影響-3生産物の国際貿易空間均衡モデルによる計量分析-論文[1]2006

    • Author(s)
      朱 正根, 前田 幸嗣, 川口 雅正
    • Journal Title

      農業経済論集 56巻2号

      Pages: 27-37

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 書評:鈴木宣弘編『FTAと食料-評価の論理と分析枠組-』論文[2]2006

    • Author(s)
      川口 雅正
    • Journal Title

      農業経済論集 56巻2号

      Pages: 67-69

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Appreciation Effects of Chinese YUAN Exchange Rate on World Grain Markets-A Spatial Equilibrium Analysis of Three Products2006

    • Author(s)
      Zheng Gen ZIJU, MAEDA Koshi, KAWAGUCHI Tsunemasa
    • Journal Title

      Review ofAgricultural Economics Vol.56, No.2

      Pages: 27-37

    • NAID

      10017331027

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Book Review : SUZUKI Nobuhifo Food and Agriculture in FTAs2006

    • Author(s)
      KAWAGUCHI Tsunemasa
    • Journal Title

      Review ofAgricultural Economics Vol.56, No.2

      Pages: 67-69

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 中国人民元の切り上げが世界穀物需給に与える影響-3生産物の国際貿易空間均衡モデルによる計量分析-【論文1】2006

    • Author(s)
      朱正根, 前田幸嗣, 川口雅生
    • Journal Title

      農業経済論集 第56巻第2号

      Pages: 27-37

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A spatial-equilibrium Model for Imperfectly Competitive Milk Markets 【論文2】2006

    • Author(s)
      Tsunemasa Kawaguchi, Nobuhuro Suzuki, Harry M.Kaiser
    • Journal Title

      New Empirical Industrial Organization & the Food System, (edi. by H.M.Kaiser and N.Suzuki)(Peater Lang Pub., Inc., New York) Chapter9

      Pages: 231-248

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Effects of the Change in Grain Trade Fundamentals on World Grain Markets-A Spatial Equilibrium Analysis of Three Products International Trade

    • Author(s)
      Tsunemasa KAWAGUCHI
    • Journal Title

      (of a report book[5]above)

      Pages: 4-119

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] コウホート分析におけるIE解とベイズ解の諸問題-シミュレーションによる考察-2008

    • Author(s)
      川口 雅正, 森宏, 三枝 義清
    • Organizer
      TEA会2008年春期大会(個別報告)
    • Place of Presentation
      宇都宮大学峰キャンパスE棟1351教室
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-26
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Problems of Intrinsic Estimator and Nakamura's Bayesian Approach In Cohort Analysis-An Analysis using Simulated Data-2008

    • Author(s)
      Tsunemasa KAWAGUCHI, Hiroshi MORI, Yoshiharu SAEGUSA
    • Organizer
      2008 Spring Meeting of TEA
    • Place of Presentation
      Utsunomiya University, Mine-Campus E-1351 Room
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-26
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2007 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] コウホート分析におけるIE解とベイズ解の諸問題-シミュレーションによる考察-2008

    • Author(s)
      川口 雅正・森 宏・三枝 義清
    • Organizer
      TEA会2008年春期大会
    • Place of Presentation
      宇都宮大学峰キャンパスE棟1351教室
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-26
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2006-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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